Result
2:2
21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 33
- Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (228/317) | 76% (305/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (228/317) | 76% (305/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (22/58) | 23% (11/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/91) | 68% (87/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 33% (4/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Wilmot B. ⚽, Cresswell A. (A),
- 39', Kristiansen V. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', Pearson B. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 1, Mukasa D. ⚽, Monga J. (A),
- 54', Pearson B. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
- 63', Monga J. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
- 70', Thomas L. 🟨,
- 70', Thomas S. 🟨,
- 71', Smit M. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 71', Bocat E. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Winks H. ⚽, Mukasa D. (A),
- 79', Bae J. ↓, Rak-Sakyi J. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Wilmot B. ⚽, Cisse L. (A),
Chances of winning
Stoke City
41.4% | Draw
29% | Leicester City
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+1%)
Stoke City - Leicester City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.1) |
3.29 ↓
(3.56) |
3.21 ↓
(3.32) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Leicester City?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Leicester will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 48.9% – 92.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Leicester (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stoke City will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 50%). Leicester (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 0.
- Stoke is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Leicester has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Stoke will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A.
(Inactive)
Baker L.
(Inactive)
Bazunu G.
(Thigh Injury)
Bozenik R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johansson V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mubama D.
(Ankle Injury)
Tchamadeu J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Leicester: Aribo J.
(Inactive)
Choudhury H.
(Knee Injury)
James J.
(Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Injury)
Souttar H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vestergaard J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Leicester: Ayew J.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:29. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.1:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Leicester City?
Stoke City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leicester City won against Stoke City?
Leicester City has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Leicester City were as follows:
22.11.2025
Leicester City
-
Stoke City
2:1
03.02.2024
Stoke City
-
Leicester City
0:5
07.10.2023
Leicester City
-
Stoke City
2:0
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Leicester City
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry ✔ | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton ✔ | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd ✔ | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester ✔ | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
Leicester is Relegated to League One
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
