AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Landspokal Cup - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.430.53
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
73
Shots on target
31
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
04
Passes
74% (253/341)69% (229/330)
Yellow cards
04
Expected goals (xG)
0.430.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.210.86
Total shots
73
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
31
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
43
Shots outside the box
30
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
04
Touches in opposition box
1914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
2412
Passes
74% (253/341)69% (229/330)
Long passes
32% (15/47)42% (35/84)
Passes in final third
66% (72/109)54% (53/99)
Crosses
0% (0/12)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.58
Throw ins
3323
Fouls
1224
Tackles
38% (6/16)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5457
Clearances
3021
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.860.21
Goals prevented
-0.140.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Castillo D. , Paulinho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Uhre M. , Osorio D. ,
  • 62', 0 - 1, Lee Han-Beom , Simsir A. (A),
  • 66', Mortensen P. , Serra J. ,
  • 70', Cho Gue-Sung 🟨,
  • 70', Osorio D. 🟨,
  • 76', Cho Gue-Sung , Junior Brumado ,
  • 76', Billing P. , Byskov V. ,
  • 76', Knudsen M. , Emmery F. ,
  • 76', Carstensen R. , Kristjansson T. ,
  • 84', Diao O. 🟨,
  • 86', Bech T. , Jorgensen S. ,
  • 86', Kahl E. , Tingager F. ,
  • 90', Paulinho , Chilufya E. ,
  • 90+5', Junior Brumado 🟨,

Chances of winning


AGF Aarhus
38.8%
Draw
27.6%
Midtjylland
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 24.9% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.38)
    3.36
    (3.68)
    2.72
    (2.51)
    8.1%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Midtjylland (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Midtjylland (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 1 - 25%). Midtjylland (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 0.
    • Aarhus has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Midtjylland is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Midtjylland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Midtjylland has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland were as follows:
    03.11.2025 Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus 1:1
    03.08.2025 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 0:0
    04.05.2025 Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    13.04.2025 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 1:1
    27.10.2024 Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus 2:0
    Latest results of AGF Aarhus
    09.02.2026 AGF Aarhus - OB Odense 2:1
    26.01.2026 Elfsborg - AGF Aarhus 0:1
    19.01.2026 AGF Aarhus - Kryvbas 4:2
    15.01.2026 Hobro - AGF Aarhus 2:3
    14.12.2025 AGF Aarhus - OB Odense 3:1
    Latest results of Midtjylland
    08.02.2026 Midtjylland - Copenhagen 2:1
    22.01.2026 Brann - Midtjylland 3:3
    15.01.2026 Midtjylland - Kryvbas 3:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1RingstedNykobing7 : 6
    2LUIFSkjold0 : 7
    3Snejbjerg SG&IVejgaard0 : 6
    4MarienlystEsbjerg1 : 2
    5VallensbaekNakskov1 : 7
    6FredensborgHellerup1 : 3
    8ByeRanders FC
    9Grenaa IFYoung Boys0 : 3
    10Skibsby-HojeneAarhus Fremad0 : 3
    11B 1909FC Sonderborg1 : 0
    12SkovsgaardHobro2 : 4
    13Ledoje-SmorumBK Frem1 : 0
    14HelsingorLyngby0 : 1
    16ByeFC Copenhagen
    17MejrupTRIF2 : 1
    18Skodstrup SFThisted FC0 : 2
    19ESPMTune1 : 2
    20ByeFredericia
    21OksbolBillund4 : 1
    22BrammingSfB-Oure3 : 2
    23NaesbyHorsens1 : 2
    24ByeViborg
    25HolstebroOdder2 : 4
    26ASA AarhusLyseng1 : 2
    27GorslevNaestved2 : 1
    28KastrupRoskilde0 : 2
    29Husum BKHolbaek1 : 6
    30IshojF. Amager2 : 1
    31SkanderborgKjellerup4 : 0
    32ByeVejle
    33BornholmGentofte-Vangede0 : 2
    34AllerodBronshoj2 : 4
    35FC Bih OdenseFC Horsens2 : 7
    36NoragerVSK Aarhus1 : 6
    37SakskobingSundby1 : 6
    38OKFVanlose0 : 5
    39KalundborgStenlose1 : 0
    40ByeOdense
    41Brondby StrandNerashte Ballerup2 : 1
    42BK ViktoriaHillerod0 : 5
    44ByeAarhus
    45Tarnby FFFA 20000 : 1
    46Hvidovre IFKoge4 : 3
    47RaklevAvarta2 : 0
    48ByeSonderjyske
    49Marstal/RiseTved3 : 2
    50VendsysselAalborg1 : 2
    52ByeMidtjylland
    53Farso UllitsNorresundby4 : 3
    54Chang OdenseKolding BK0 : 3
    55OKS OdenseMiddelfart2 : 3
    56ByeSilkeborg
    57BrabrandSkive0 : 3
    58Odense KFUMKolding IF0 : 4
    60ByeNordsjaelland
    61RudersdalAB Copenhagen1 : 3
    62Alholm IFB.930 : 10
    64ByeBrondby

    1/32-finals
    1RingstedSkjold3 : 1
    2VejgaardEsbjerg1 : 2
    3NakskovHellerup0 : 4
    4ByeRanders FC
    5Young BoysAarhus Fremad1 : 6
    6B 1909Hobro0 : 3
    7Ledoje-SmorumLyngby1 : 2
    8ByeFC Copenhagen
    9MejrupThisted FC0 : 4
    10TuneFredericia2 : 4
    11OksbolBramming4 : 0
    12HorsensViborg0 : 1
    13OdderLyseng1 : 2
    14GorslevRoskilde0 : 5
    15HolbaekIshoj3 : 0
    16SkanderborgVejle0 : 6
    17Gentofte-VangedeBronshoj3 : 4
    18FC HorsensVSK Aarhus0 : 5
    19SundbyVanlose3 : 2
    20KalundborgOdense0 : 11
    21Brondby StrandHillerod2 : 3
    22ByeAarhus
    23FA 2000Hvidovre IF1 : 2
    24RaklevSonderjyske0 : 10
    25Marstal/RiseAalborg1 : 6
    26ByeMidtjylland
    27Farso UllitsKolding BK1 : 2
    28MiddelfartSilkeborg1 : 2
    29SkiveKolding IF0 : 2
    30ByeNordsjaelland
    31AB CopenhagenB.931 : 2
    32ByeBrondby

    1/16-finals
    1RingstedEsbjerg0 : 1
    2HellerupRanders FC1 : 2
    3Aarhus FremadHobro1 : 2
    4LyngbyFC Copenhagen0 : 2
    5Thisted FCFredericia1 : 2
    6OksbolViborg0 : 6
    7LysengRoskilde4 : 3
    8HolbaekVejle2 : 3
    9BronshojVSK Aarhus3 : 1
    10SundbyOdense0 : 3
    11HillerodAarhus1 : 2
    12Hvidovre IFSonderjyske1 : 2
    13AalborgMidtjylland0 : 3
    14Kolding BKSilkeborg0 : 5
    15Kolding IFNordsjaelland0 : 2
    16B.93Brondby1 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1EsbjergRanders FC1 : 0
    2HobroFC Copenhagen1 : 4
    3FredericiaViborg2 : 3
    4LysengVejle0 : 4
    5BronshojOdense0 : 3
    6AarhusSonderjyske2 : 1
    7MidtjyllandSilkeborg4 : 0
    8NordsjaellandBrondby4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1EsbjergFC Copenhagen0 : 2, 2 : 4
    2ViborgVejle0 : 1, 4 : 1
    3OdenseAarhus1 : 3, 1 : 0
    4MidtjyllandNordsjaelland1 : 2, 5 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FC CopenhagenViborg2 : 1
    2AarhusMidtjylland0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2