Result
0:0
03/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 3
- Referee: Putros S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (596/662) | 68% (168/247) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 51 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (596/662) | 68% (168/247) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (32/48) | 42% (30/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (228/262) | 55% (46/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (5/38) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Chilufya E. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gogorza M. ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
- 46', Castillo D. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
- 55', Links G. 🟨,
- 64', Dalsgaard H. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
- 66', Mortensen P. (Pen),
- 70', Simsir A. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
- 70', Sorensen O. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
- 71', Links G. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 71', Poulsen N. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 83', Osorio D. 🟨,
- 84', Mortensen P. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
- 84', Bech T. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
- 87', Mbabu K. ↓, Gabriel A. ↑,
- 90+2', Byskov V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AGF Aarhus
37.9% | Draw
26.5% | Midtjylland
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.75) |
3.55 ↑
(3.35) |
2.64 ↑
(2.5) |
6%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 0.
- Recent performances by Aarhus have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Midtjylland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Badji Y.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Molgaard T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Cho Gue-Sung
(Knee Injury)
Diao O.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Midtjylland?
AGF Aarhus has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against AGF Aarhus?
Midtjylland has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland were as follows:
04.05.2025
Midtjylland
-
AGF Aarhus
3:1
13.04.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Midtjylland
1:1
27.10.2024
Midtjylland
-
AGF Aarhus
2:0
19.07.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Midtjylland
1:1
04.07.2024
Midtjylland
-
AGF Aarhus
4:0
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Latest results of Midtjylland
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Brondby | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Randers FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Fredericia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Odense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Midtjylland | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Viborg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Aarhus | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Vejle | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sonderjyske | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 4 |
| 11 | Silkeborg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | Nordsjaelland | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
