Result
1:1
03/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 14
- Referee: Krogh M. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (317/394) | 65% (142/217) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (317/394) | 65% (142/217) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (36/66) | 22% (11/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (65/102) | 52% (45/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/24) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Billing P. 🟨,
- 27', Franculino 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Bech T. ⚽, Yakob K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Simsir A. ↓, Mbabu K. ↑,
- 46', Junior Brumado ↓, Gogorza M. ↑,
- 48', Erlic M. 🟨,
- 48', Tullberg M. 🟨,
- 50', Castillo D. 🟨,
- 58', Mortensen P. 🟨,
- 66', Carstensen R. 🟨,
- 70', Erlic M. ↓, Cho Gue-Sung ↑,
- 78', Poulsen N. ↓, Jensen-Abbew J. ↑,
- 78', Dalsgaard H. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
- 80', Castillo D. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
- 80', Bak V. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Franculino ⚽,
- 87', Yakob K. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 87', Carstensen R. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
- 90+1', Bech T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bech T. ↓, Badji Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Midtjylland
51.5% | Draw
23.8% | AGF Aarhus
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.92) |
3.93 ↓
(3.97) |
3.79 ↑
(3.5) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Aarhus (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Midtjylland will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 2.
- Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
- Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Midtjylland is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Chilufya E.
(Inactive)
Ejeheri O.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Molgaard T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Aarhus: Tingager F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:17. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Midtjylland won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against AGF Aarhus?
Midtjylland has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Midtjylland?
AGF Aarhus has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
03.08.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Midtjylland
0:0
04.05.2025
Midtjylland
-
AGF Aarhus
3:1
13.04.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Midtjylland
1:1
27.10.2024
Midtjylland
-
AGF Aarhus
2:0
19.07.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Midtjylland
1:1
Latest results of Midtjylland
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32:17 | 15 | 34 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 39:18 | 21 | 32 |
| 3 | Brondby | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 31 |
| 4 | FC Copenhagen | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Sonderjyske | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28:25 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Viborg | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Nordsjaelland | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Odense | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:36 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Randers FC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Silkeborg | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
| 11 | Fredericia | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18:40 | -22 | 11 |
| 12 | Vejle | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
