Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MCH Arena (Herning).

Landspokal Cup - Semi-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.90	1.13
Ball possession
53%	47%
Total shots
19	11
Shots on target
7	5
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	1
Passes
83% (288/346)	75% (227/303)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.90	1.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.76	0.92
Total shots
19	11
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked shots
7	3
Shots inside the box
16	6
Shots outside the box
3	5
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
45	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free kicks
19	18
Passes
83% (288/346)	75% (227/303)
Long passes
49% (24/49)	31% (11/35)
Passes in final third
69% (79/114)	78% (76/98)
Crosses
15% (3/20)	6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.73	0.36
Throw ins
21	20
Fouls
18	19
Tackles
90% (9/10)	65% (17/26)
Duels won
59	66
Clearances
20	29
Interceptions
15	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	6
xGOT faced
0.92	1.76
Goals prevented
-0.08	0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Bech T. ⚽, Arnstad K. (A),
61', Erlic M. 🟨,
65', Osorio D. ↓, Cho Gue-Sung ↑,
65', Bravo P. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Junior Brumado ⚽, Lee Han-Beom (A),
74', Carstensen R. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
74', Kahl E. ↓, Tingager F. ↑,
76', Serra J. ↓, Mortensen P. ↑,
77', Simsir A. ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
86', Bech T. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
86', Beijmo F. 🟨,
88', Billing P. 🟨,
90+6', Junior Brumado ↓, Uhre M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Midtjylland
44.2%

Draw
26.8%

AGF Aarhus
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

26%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

24.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.31)	3.45 ↓ (3.59)	3.19 ↑ (2.79)	7.8% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Midtjylland will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 2.
Midtjylland has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Aarhus is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Midtjylland might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Midtjylland won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against AGF Aarhus?

Midtjylland has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Midtjylland?

AGF Aarhus has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus were as follows:

12.02.2026 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 0:1

03.11.2025 Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus 1:1

03.08.2025 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 0:0

04.05.2025 Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus 3:1

13.04.2025 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 1:1

Latest results of Midtjylland

01.03.2026 Midtjylland - Brøndby 0:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Silkeborg IF - Midtjylland 0:4 ✺

15.02.2026 OB Odense - Midtjylland 1:4 ✺

12.02.2026 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 0:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Midtjylland - Copenhagen 2:1 ✺

Latest results of AGF Aarhus

01.03.2026 Vejle Boldklub Kolding - AGF Aarhus 1:2 ✺

22.02.2026 AGF Aarhus - Viborg 5:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Fredericia - AGF Aarhus 1:1 ✺

12.02.2026 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 0:1 ✺

09.02.2026 AGF Aarhus - OB Odense 2:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/64-finals

1	Ringsted	Nykobing	7 : 6
2	LUIF	Skjold	0 : 7
3	Snejbjerg SG&I	Vejgaard	0 : 6
4	Marienlyst	Esbjerg	1 : 2
5	Vallensbaek	Nakskov	1 : 7
6	Fredensborg	Hellerup	1 : 3
8	Bye	Randers FC
9	Grenaa IF	Young Boys	0 : 3
10	Skibsby-Hojene	Aarhus Fremad	0 : 3
11	B 1909	FC Sonderborg	1 : 0
12	Skovsgaard	Hobro	2 : 4
13	Ledoje-Smorum	BK Frem	1 : 0
14	Helsingor	Lyngby	0 : 1
16	Bye	FC Copenhagen
17	Mejrup	TRIF	2 : 1
18	Skodstrup SF	Thisted FC	0 : 2
19	ESPM	Tune	1 : 2
20	Bye	Fredericia
21	Oksbol	Billund	4 : 1
22	Bramming	SfB-Oure	3 : 2
23	Naesby	Horsens	1 : 2
24	Bye	Viborg
25	Holstebro	Odder	2 : 4
26	ASA Aarhus	Lyseng	1 : 2
27	Gorslev	Naestved	2 : 1
28	Kastrup	Roskilde	0 : 2
29	Husum BK	Holbaek	1 : 6
30	Ishoj	F. Amager	2 : 1
31	Skanderborg	Kjellerup	4 : 0
32	Bye	Vejle
33	Bornholm	Gentofte-Vangede	0 : 2
34	Allerod	Bronshoj	2 : 4
35	FC Bih Odense	FC Horsens	2 : 7
36	Norager	VSK Aarhus	1 : 6
37	Sakskobing	Sundby	1 : 6
38	OKF	Vanlose	0 : 5
39	Kalundborg	Stenlose	1 : 0
40	Bye	Odense
41	Brondby Strand	Nerashte Ballerup	2 : 1
42	BK Viktoria	Hillerod	0 : 5
44	Bye	Aarhus
45	Tarnby FF	FA 2000	0 : 1
46	Hvidovre IF	Koge	4 : 3
47	Raklev	Avarta	2 : 0
48	Bye	Sonderjyske
49	Marstal/Rise	Tved	3 : 2
50	Vendsyssel	Aalborg	1 : 2
52	Bye	Midtjylland
53	Farso Ullits	Norresundby	4 : 3
54	Chang Odense	Kolding BK	0 : 3
55	OKS Odense	Middelfart	2 : 3
56	Bye	Silkeborg
57	Brabrand	Skive	0 : 3
58	Odense KFUM	Kolding IF	0 : 4
60	Bye	Nordsjaelland
61	Rudersdal	AB Copenhagen	1 : 3
62	Alholm IF	B.93	0 : 10
64	Bye	Brondby

1/32-finals

1	Ringsted	Skjold	3 : 1
2	Vejgaard	Esbjerg	1 : 2
3	Nakskov	Hellerup	0 : 4
4	Bye	Randers FC
5	Young Boys	Aarhus Fremad	1 : 6
6	B 1909	Hobro	0 : 3
7	Ledoje-Smorum	Lyngby	1 : 2
8	Bye	FC Copenhagen
9	Mejrup	Thisted FC	0 : 4
10	Tune	Fredericia	2 : 4
11	Oksbol	Bramming	4 : 0
12	Horsens	Viborg	0 : 1
13	Odder	Lyseng	1 : 2
14	Gorslev	Roskilde	0 : 5
15	Holbaek	Ishoj	3 : 0
16	Skanderborg	Vejle	0 : 6
17	Gentofte-Vangede	Bronshoj	3 : 4
18	FC Horsens	VSK Aarhus	0 : 5
19	Sundby	Vanlose	3 : 2
20	Kalundborg	Odense	0 : 11
21	Brondby Strand	Hillerod	2 : 3
22	Bye	Aarhus
23	FA 2000	Hvidovre IF	1 : 2
24	Raklev	Sonderjyske	0 : 10
25	Marstal/Rise	Aalborg	1 : 6
26	Bye	Midtjylland
27	Farso Ullits	Kolding BK	1 : 2
28	Middelfart	Silkeborg	1 : 2
29	Skive	Kolding IF	0 : 2
30	Bye	Nordsjaelland
31	AB Copenhagen	B.93	1 : 2
32	Bye	Brondby

1/16-finals

1	Ringsted	Esbjerg	0 : 1
2	Hellerup	Randers FC	1 : 2
3	Aarhus Fremad	Hobro	1 : 2
4	Lyngby	FC Copenhagen	0 : 2
5	Thisted FC	Fredericia	1 : 2
6	Oksbol	Viborg	0 : 6
7	Lyseng	Roskilde	4 : 3
8	Holbaek	Vejle	2 : 3
9	Bronshoj	VSK Aarhus	3 : 1
10	Sundby	Odense	0 : 3
11	Hillerod	Aarhus	1 : 2
12	Hvidovre IF	Sonderjyske	1 : 2
13	Aalborg	Midtjylland	0 : 3
14	Kolding BK	Silkeborg	0 : 5
15	Kolding IF	Nordsjaelland	0 : 2
16	B.93	Brondby	1 : 4

1/8-finals

1	Esbjerg	Randers FC	1 : 0
2	Hobro	FC Copenhagen	1 : 4
3	Fredericia	Viborg	2 : 3
4	Lyseng	Vejle	0 : 4
5	Bronshoj	Odense	0 : 3
6	Aarhus	Sonderjyske	2 : 1
7	Midtjylland	Silkeborg	4 : 0
8	Nordsjaelland	Brondby	4 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Esbjerg	FC Copenhagen	0 : 2, 2 : 4
2	Viborg	Vejle	0 : 1, 4 : 1
3	Odense	Aarhus	1 : 3, 1 : 0
4	Midtjylland	Nordsjaelland	1 : 2, 5 : 1

Semi-finals

1	FC Copenhagen	Viborg	2 : 1, 2 : 1
2	Aarhus	Midtjylland	1 : 1, 0 : 1

Final

1

FC Copenhagen

Midtjylland