Result
3:1
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Championship Group - Round 29
- Referee: Hansen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.61 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/475) | 76% (276/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.61 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/475) | 76% (276/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 34% (21/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (98/137) | 58% (62/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 47% (8/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Castillo D. 🟨,
- 21', Bech T. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Sorensen O. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Tingager F. ↓, Akoto M. ↑,
- 46', Castillo D. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
- 58', Gogorza M. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Arnstad K. ⚽, Bach T. (A),
- 63', Bach T. ↓, Mortensen P. ↑,
- 67', Bak V. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 73', Byskov V. 🟥,
- 80', 2 - 1, Franculino (Pen),
- 85', Beijmo F. ↓, Brandhof F. ↑,
- 85', Bech T. 🟨,
- 87', Poulsen N. ↓, Duelund M. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Osorio D. ⚽, Franculino (A),
- 90+7', Franculino ↓, Johannesen S. ↑,
- 90+7', Mbabu K. ↓, Gabriel A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Midtjylland
52.3% | Draw
24.2% | AGF Aarhus
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.94) |
3.9 ↑
(3.72) |
4.02 ↑
(3.68) |
5.8%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Midtjylland will win
(22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Midtjylland will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 3.
- Midtjylland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aarhus has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Midtjylland is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Buksa A.
(Yellow Cards)
Cho Gue-Sung
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Injury)
Tingager F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Midtjylland: Simsir A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Midtjylland won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against AGF Aarhus?
Midtjylland has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Midtjylland?
AGF Aarhus has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
13.04.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Midtjylland
1:1
27.10.2024
Midtjylland
-
AGF Aarhus
2:0
19.07.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Midtjylland
1:1
04.07.2024
Midtjylland
-
AGF Aarhus
4:0
12.05.2024
Midtjylland
-
AGF Aarhus
2:1
Latest results of Midtjylland
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Brondby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Nordsjaelland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Odense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Sonderjyske | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Vejle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Randers FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Fredericia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Viborg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Silkeborg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
