Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
norwayNorwayVG+
swedenSwedenDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.39
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
88% (395/450)83% (386/464)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.630.42
Total shots
134
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
88% (395/450)83% (386/464)
Long passes
51% (22/43)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
77% (79/103)61% (75/122)
Crosses
30% (3/10)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.46
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
1012
Tackles
58% (11/19)75% (18/24)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
1816
Interceptions
1315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.422.63
Goals prevented
-0.580.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Bech Sorensen M. ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Paulinho , Gogorza M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bjartalid J. , Holten E. ,
  • 46', Rafn S. , Shein R. R. ,
  • 58', Ohlenschlaeger O. , Sorlokk S. ,
  • 59', Buksa A. , Byskov V. ,
  • 59', Erlic M. , Lee Han-Beom ,
  • 60', Franculino , Chilufya E. ,
  • 70', Owusu S. , Eid D. ,
  • 75', Bravo P. , Dani Silva ,
  • 78', Gogorza M. , Osorio D. ,
  • 78', Owusu L. , Granaas E. ,
  • 85', Gabriel A. 🟨,
  • 89', Molde S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Midtjylland
66.9%
Draw
19.2%
Fredrikstad
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 19.5% 9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1% 18.8% 9.6%

Midtjylland - Fredrikstad Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.41
(1.35)
5
(4.9)
7.08
(9.6)
5%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Midtjylland - Fredrikstad?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 78.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Fredrikstad (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Fredrikstad (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Fredrikstad (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Fredrikstad (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
    • Midtjylland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fredrikstad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Midtjylland is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Midtjylland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - Fredrikstad were as follows:
    07.08.2025 Fredrikstad - Midtjylland 1:3
    09.02.2024 Midtjylland - Fredrikstad 0:1
    Latest results of Midtjylland
    10.08.2025 Midtjylland - Fredericia 3:3
    07.08.2025 Fredrikstad - Midtjylland 1:3
    03.08.2025 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 0:0
    31.07.2025 Hibernian - Midtjylland 1:2
    28.07.2025 Midtjylland - SønderjyskE 6:2
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon870118:51321
    2Aston Villa870114:6821
    3Midtjylland861118:81019
    4Betis852113:7617
    5FC Porto852113:7617
    6Braga852111:5617
    7Freiburg852110:4617
    8AS Roma851213:6716
    9Genk851211:7416
    10Bologna843114:7715
    11Stuttgart850315:9615
    12Ferencvaros843112:11115
    13Nottingham842215:7814
    14Plzen83508:3514
    15Crvena zvezda84227:6114
    16Celta Vigo841315:11413
    17PAOK833217:14312
    18Lille840412:9312
    19Fenerbahce833210:7312
    20Panathinaikos833211:9212
    21Celtic832313:15-211
    22Ludogorets831412:15-310
    23Din. Zagreb831412:16-410
    24Brann82339:11-29
    25Young Boys830510:16-69
    26Sturm Graz82155:11-67
    27FCSB82159:16-77
    28G.A. Eagles82156:14-87
    29Feyenoord820611:15-46
    30Basel82069:13-46
    31Salzburg820610:15-56
    32Rangers81165:14-94
    33Nice81077:15-83
    34Utrecht80175:15-101
    35Malmo FF80174:15-111
    36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:22-201

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