Result
2:0
14/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (395/450) | 83% (386/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (395/450) | 83% (386/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 77% (79/103) | 61% (75/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
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| 13 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.42 | 2.63 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.58 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Bech Sorensen M. ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 0, Paulinho ⚽, Gogorza M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bjartalid J. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
- 46', Rafn S. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
- 58', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
- 59', Buksa A. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
- 59', Erlic M. ↓, Lee Han-Beom ↑,
- 60', Franculino ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
- 70', Owusu S. ↓, Eid D. ↑,
- 75', Bravo P. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
- 78', Gogorza M. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
- 78', Owusu L. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
- 85', Gabriel A. 🟨,
- 89', Molde S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Midtjylland
66.9% | Draw
19.2% | Fredrikstad
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Midtjylland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Midtjylland - Fredrikstad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.35) |
5.05 ↑
(4.9) |
6.96 ↓
(9.6) |
4.9%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Midtjylland - Fredrikstad?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 78.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
- Midtjylland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fredrikstad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Midtjylland is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Midtjylland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Fredrikstad?
Midtjylland has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Midtjylland?
Fredrikstad has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - Fredrikstad were as follows:
07.08.2025
Fredrikstad
-
Midtjylland
1:3
09.02.2024
Midtjylland
-
Fredrikstad
0:1
Latest results of Midtjylland
Latest results of Fredrikstad
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Lille | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Plzen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Betis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Ferencvaros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Basel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Brann | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Young Boys | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | Ludogorets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 23 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 24 | FCSB | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Nottingham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | Crvena zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Bologna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 28 | PAOK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Celtic | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 31 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 34 | Salzburg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | Feyenoord | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 36 | Malmo FF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
