Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
norwayNorwayVG+
swedenSwedenDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.39
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
88% (395/450)83% (386/464)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.630.42
Total shots
134
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
88% (395/450)83% (386/464)
Long passes
51% (22/43)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
77% (79/103)61% (75/122)
Crosses
30% (3/10)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.46
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
1012
Tackles
58% (11/19)75% (18/24)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
1816
Interceptions
1315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.422.63
Goals prevented
-0.580.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Bech Sorensen M. ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Paulinho , Gogorza M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bjartalid J. , Holten E. ,
  • 46', Rafn S. , Shein R. R. ,
  • 58', Ohlenschlaeger O. , Sorlokk S. ,
  • 59', Buksa A. , Byskov V. ,
  • 59', Erlic M. , Lee Han-Beom ,
  • 60', Franculino , Chilufya E. ,
  • 70', Owusu S. , Eid D. ,
  • 75', Bravo P. , Dani Silva ,
  • 78', Gogorza M. , Osorio D. ,
  • 78', Owusu L. , Granaas E. ,
  • 85', Gabriel A. 🟨,
  • 89', Molde S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Midtjylland
66.9%
Draw
19.2%
Fredrikstad
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 19.5% 9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1% 18.8% 9.6%

Midtjylland - Fredrikstad Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.41
(1.35)
5
(4.9)
7.08
(9.6)
5%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Midtjylland - Fredrikstad?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 78.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
    • Midtjylland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fredrikstad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Midtjylland is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Midtjylland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - Fredrikstad were as follows:
    07.08.2025 Fredrikstad - Midtjylland 1:3
    09.02.2024 Midtjylland - Fredrikstad 0:1
    Latest results of Midtjylland
    10.08.2025 Midtjylland - Fredericia 3:3
    07.08.2025 Fredrikstad - Midtjylland 1:3
    03.08.2025 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 0:0
    31.07.2025 Hibernian - Midtjylland 1:2
    28.07.2025 Midtjylland - SønderjyskE 6:2
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland440011:3812
    2Freiburg43108:3510
    3Ferencvaros43108:4410
    4Celta Vigo43019:459
    5Braga43018:449
    6Aston Villa43016:249
    7Lyon43015:239
    8Plzen42206:248
    9Betis42206:248
    10PAOK42119:637
    11Brann42115:237
    12Din. Zagreb42117:617
    13Genk42115:417
    14FC Porto42114:407
    15Fenerbahce42114:407
    16Panathinaikos42027:616
    17Basel42026:516
    18AS Roma42025:416
    19Lille42026:606
    20Stuttgart42024:406
    21G.A. Eagles42024:5-16
    22Young Boys42026:10-46
    23Nottingham41216:515
    24Bologna41213:305
    25Sturm Graz41123:5-24
    26Crvena zvezda41123:5-24
    27Celtic41124:7-34
    28Salzburg41034:6-23
    29Feyenoord41033:6-33
    30Ludogorets41035:9-43
    31FCSB41033:7-43
    32Utrecht40131:5-41
    33Malmo FF40132:7-51
    34Maccabi Tel Aviv40131:8-71
    35Nice40044:9-50
    36Rangers40041:8-70

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