Miedź Legnica vs Pogoń Siedlce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 13
  • Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
22
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
123
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
22
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
123
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1416
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1612

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Podlinski K. , Pik D. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Antonik K. , Letniowski J. (A),
  • 24', Bochnak M. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 2, Pik D. , Flis M. (A),
  • 45+2', Szuprytowski D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 63', Zbrog J. , Zielonka N. ,
  • 68', Koscielny K. 🟨,
  • 73', Letniowski J. , Petrovic Z. ,
  • 73', Drygas K. , Serafin J. ,
  • 75', Szuprytowski D. , Rybak A. ,
  • 76', Lemanowicz J. 🟨,
  • 79', Mansfeld M. , Stanclik D. ,
  • 80', Antonik K. , Mioc B. ,
  • 87', Bochnak M. , Kwiecien B. ,
  • 90+1', Pik D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Stanclik D. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Dzieciol E. , Pakulski D. ,
  • 90+6', Kwiecien B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Miedź Legnica
51.6%
Draw
24.7%
Pogoń Siedlce
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 25.5% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Miedź Legnica have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.73)
    3.81
    (3.5)
    3.9
    (3.91)
    5.5%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • Users Predictions: Miedź Legnica will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Miedź Legnica will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 4.
    • Recent performances by Miedź have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pogoń Siedlce is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Miedź is the team to beat.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 1.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miedź won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce 2:0
    10.05.2025 Pogoń Siedlce - Miedź Legnica 3:0
    03.11.2024 Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce 4:1
    Latest results of Miedź Legnica
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2