Miedź Legnica vs Pogoń Siedlce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 13
  • Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
22
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
123
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
22
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
123
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1416
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1612

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Podlinski K. , Pik D. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Antonik K. , Letniowski J. (A),
  • 24', Bochnak M. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 2, Pik D. , Flis M. (A),
  • 45+2', Szuprytowski D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 63', Zbrog J. , Zielonka N. ,
  • 68', Koscielny K. 🟨,
  • 73', Letniowski J. , Petrovic Z. ,
  • 73', Drygas K. , Serafin J. ,
  • 75', Szuprytowski D. , Rybak A. ,
  • 76', Lemanowicz J. 🟨,
  • 79', Mansfeld M. , Stanclik D. ,
  • 80', Antonik K. , Mioc B. ,
  • 87', Bochnak M. , Kwiecien B. ,
  • 90+1', Pik D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Stanclik D. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Dzieciol E. , Pakulski D. ,
  • 90+6', Kwiecien B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Miedź Legnica
51.6%
Draw
24.7%
Pogoń Siedlce
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 25.5% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Miedź Legnica have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.73)
    3.81
    (3.5)
    3.9
    (3.91)
    5.5%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • Users Predictions: Miedź Legnica will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Miedź Legnica will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 4.
    • Recent performances by Miedź have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pogoń Siedlce is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Miedź is the team to beat.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 1.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miedź won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce 2:0
    10.05.2025 Pogoń Siedlce - Miedź Legnica 3:0
    03.11.2024 Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce 4:1
    Latest results of Miedź Legnica
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla27168361:273456
    2Slask Wroclaw27138651:401147
    3Chrobry Glogow27136839:261345
    4Grodzisk M27119745:40542
    5Ruch Chorzow27119741:37442
    6LKS Lodz27118840:38241
    7Polonia Warszawa27118843:39441
    8Wieczysta Krakow26117852:401240
    9Legnica27117945:45040
    10S. Rzeszow271161040:42-239
    11Puszcza27911737:33438
    12Polonia Bytom26107940:33737
    13Odra Opole27810927:33-634
    14Pogon Siedlce27791127:31-430
    15Stal Mielec27751537:52-1526
    16Pruszkow27651629:52-2323
    17Leczna273111332:49-1720
    18Tychy27361831:60-2915

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2