Result
0:2
19/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 29
- Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 10 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
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| 14 | 11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Flis M. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Flis M. ⚽,
- 38', Szczepaniak M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Dzieciol E. ↓, Poczobut B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lis J. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
- 46', Adamczyk H. ↓, Korczakowski I. ↑,
- 46', Dias M. ↓, Adkonis J. ↑,
- 65', Gieroba S. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 2, Noiszewski K. (Own goal),
- 68', Konstantyn J. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
- 74', Demianiuk C. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
- 81', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
- 81', Zbrog J. ↓, Misiak P. ↑,
- 81', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Rosolek M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 43.3% | Draw 27.3% | Pogoń Siedlce 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pogoń Siedlce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↑ (1.99) |
3.4 ↓ (3.42) |
3.19 ↓ (3.41) |
7.2% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pogoń Siedlce?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1.
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pogoń Siedlce is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won against Pogoń Siedlce?
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Siedlce won against Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Pogoń Siedlce has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
04.10.2025
Pogoń Siedlce
-
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:2
04.02.2023
Pogoń Siedlce
-
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:1
Latest results of Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 65:31 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 60:44 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | Wieczysta Krakow | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 60:43 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 41:29 | 12 | 48 |
| 5 | Polonia Warszawa | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 46:43 | 3 | 47 |
| 6 | Ruch Chorzow | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | LKS Lodz | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 8 | Grodzisk M | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 47:44 | 3 | 43 |
| 9 | Legnica | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:50 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 | Puszcza | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 41:37 | 4 | 42 |
| 11 | Polonia Bytom | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 47:40 | 7 | 41 |
| 12 | S. Rzeszow | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42:49 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 38 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
| 16 | Leczna | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 27 |
| 17 | Pruszkow | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 34:58 | -24 | 25 |
| 18 | Tychy | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 35:64 | -29 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2