Stal Mielec vs Miedź Legnica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 14
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
513
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
10
Total shots
810
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
513
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
136
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
920

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Domanski M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Gerbowski F. , Matynia H. ,
  • 53', Podgorski J. 🟨,
  • 57', Sommerfeld K. 🟨,
  • 61', Sommerfeld K. , Pisek J. ,
  • 62', Fucak K. 🟥,
  • 63', Podgorski J. , Bochnak M. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Cordoba A. , Kuchko G. (A),
  • 72', Serafin J. , Petrovic Z. ,
  • 72', Stanclik D. , Mansfeld M. ,
  • 73', Petrovic Z. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Koscielny K. ,
  • 81', Letniowski J. 🟨,
  • 82', Szeliga B. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 82', Kavcic M. , Odolak K. ,
  • 85', Letniowski J. , Drygas K. ,
  • 85', Antonik K. , Mioc B. ,
  • 87', Cordoba A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
32.3%
Draw
26.4%
Miedź Legnica
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 26.3% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 24.7% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (2.9)
    3.5
    (3.51)
    2.25
    (2.2)
    7.8%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Miedź will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Stal Mielec (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stal Mielec will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3.
    • Stal Mielec is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Miedź's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Stal Mielec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Miedź will win today's game, with odds of 2.22.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica were as follows:
    17.04.2023 Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica 1:1
    02.10.2022 Miedź Legnica - Stal Mielec 0:2
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of Miedź Legnica
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla23147254:193549
    2Polonia Warszawa23117539:32740
    3Grodzisk M23109441:301139
    4Chrobry Glogow23115732:221038
    5Wieczysta Krakow23107648:351337
    6Slask Wroclaw23107642:37537
    7Polonia Bytom23105838:30835
    8Legnica23105839:39035
    9S. Rzeszow23105835:36-135
    10Ruch Chorzow2397735:33234
    11LKS Lodz2396834:35-133
    12Puszcza23610729:30-128
    13Pogon Siedlce2369825:25027
    14Odra Opole2368921:29-826
    15Pruszkow23551324:45-2120
    16Stal Mielec23451427:48-2117
    17Leczna232101126:42-1616
    18Tychy23351528:50-2214

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2