Stal Mielec vs Miedź Legnica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 14
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
513
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
10
Total shots
810
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
513
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
136
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
920

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Domanski M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Gerbowski F. , Matynia H. ,
  • 53', Podgorski J. 🟨,
  • 57', Sommerfeld K. 🟨,
  • 61', Sommerfeld K. , Pisek J. ,
  • 62', Fucak K. 🟥,
  • 63', Podgorski J. , Bochnak M. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Cordoba A. , Kuchko G. (A),
  • 72', Serafin J. , Petrovic Z. ,
  • 72', Stanclik D. , Mansfeld M. ,
  • 73', Petrovic Z. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Koscielny K. ,
  • 81', Letniowski J. 🟨,
  • 82', Szeliga B. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 82', Kavcic M. , Odolak K. ,
  • 85', Letniowski J. , Drygas K. ,
  • 85', Antonik K. , Mioc B. ,
  • 87', Cordoba A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
32.3%
Draw
26.4%
Miedź Legnica
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 26.3% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 24.7% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (2.9)
    3.5
    (3.51)
    2.25
    (2.2)
    7.8%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Miedź will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Stal Mielec (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stal Mielec will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3.
    • Stal Mielec is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Miedź's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Stal Mielec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Miedź will win today's game, with odds of 2.22.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica were as follows:
    17.04.2023 Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica 1:1
    02.10.2022 Miedź Legnica - Stal Mielec 0:2
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of Miedź Legnica
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla27168361:273456
    2Slask Wroclaw27138651:401147
    3Chrobry Glogow27136839:261345
    4Grodzisk M27119745:40542
    5Ruch Chorzow27119741:37442
    6LKS Lodz27118840:38241
    7Polonia Warszawa27118843:39441
    8Wieczysta Krakow26117852:401240
    9Legnica27117945:45040
    10S. Rzeszow271161040:42-239
    11Puszcza27911737:33438
    12Polonia Bytom26107940:33737
    13Odra Opole27810927:33-634
    14Pogon Siedlce27791127:31-430
    15Stal Mielec27751537:52-1526
    16Pruszkow27651629:52-2323
    17Leczna273111332:49-1720
    18Tychy27361831:60-2915

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2