Result
1:3
05/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4
- Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Afghanistan | Meraj Sport, Solh TV |
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | ESPN |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Cote-d-ivoire | RTI 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | Canal+ Live 2, New World TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Hungary | RTL+, Sport 1, Sport 2 |
 Iceland | Stod 2 Sport 3 |
 India | Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Japan | Wowow Prime |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malta | TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Montenegro | Arena Premium 1 |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2 |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 1 |
 Portugal | Canal 11, DAZN 1 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovakia | Kanal A, Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1, #Vamos |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 1 |
 Tajikistan | Varzish Sport |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision |
 Venezuela | ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Disney+, JioTV app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 2.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 512 | 398 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 477 | 350 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Thiaw M. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
- 21', Morata A. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior (Pen),
- 39', 1 - 2, Morata A. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Valverde F. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
- 46', Tchouameni A. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
- 58', Camavinga E. 🟨,
- 63', Modric L. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
- 68', Lucas 🟨,
- 68', Militao E. 🟨,
- 70', Morata A. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
- 70', Pulisic C. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
- 71', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 3, Reijnders T. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
- 74', Bellingham J. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
- 74', Mendy F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 77', Leao R. ↓, Okafor N. ↑,
- 85', Fofana Y. 🟨,
- 90+3', Emerson Royal ↓, Calabria D. ↑,
- 90+3', Musah Y. ↓, Pavlovic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid
65.6% | Draw
19.7% | Milan
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Real Madrid - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.55) |
4.87 ↑
(4.6) |
6.55 ↑
(5.57) |
4.4%
(4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers) Network on : UniMás
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Milan?
Users Predictions:
108 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 91 - 84.3%). Milan will win (votes: 6 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 10.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 77.4% – 91.2%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 3.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Real is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Real: Alaba D.
(Knee Injury)
Carvajal D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I.
(Calf Injury)
Florenzi A.
(Knee Injury)
Gabbia M.
(Muscle Injury)
Jovic L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Real: Courtois T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Milan: Calabria D.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Real won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Real won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Milan?
Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Real Madrid?
Milan has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Milan were as follows:
31.07.2024
Milan
-
Real Madrid
1:0
23.07.2023
Milan
-
Real Madrid
2:3
Latest results of Real Madrid
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 1 : 3 |
