Result
1:3
05/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4
- Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Afghanistan | Meraj Sport, Solh TV |
Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | ESPN |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Sport Austria 3 |
Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | ESPN |
China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
Colombia | ESPN |
Cote-d-ivoire | RTI 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
France | Canal+ Live 2, New World TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
Hungary | RTL+, Sport 1, Sport 2 |
Iceland | Stod 2 Sport 3 |
India | Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5 |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Japan | Wowow Prime |
Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malta | TSN Malta 7 |
Mexico | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
Montenegro | Arena Premium 1 |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2 |
North-central-america | ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean |
North-macedonia | Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto |
Norway | TV2 Play |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | ESPN |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 1 |
Portugal | Canal 11, DAZN 1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Slovakia | Kanal A, Voyo |
South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
South-korea | SPOTV Prime 2 |
Spain | LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1, #Vamos |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 1 |
Tajikistan | Varzish Sport |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 4 |
Usa | Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision |
Venezuela | ESPN, Inter |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Disney+, JioTV app |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.44 | 2.45 |
Ball Possession |
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57% | 43% |
Goal Attempts |
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23 | 14 |
Shots on Goal |
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10 | 9 |
Shots off Goal |
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10 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 11 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 5 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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14 | 15 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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6 | 9 |
Fouls |
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11 | 9 |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 2 |
Total Passes |
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512 | 398 |
Completed Passes |
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477 | 350 |
Crosses Completed |
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4 | 4 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Thiaw M. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
- 21', Morata A. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior (Pen),
- 39', 1 - 2, Morata A. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Valverde F. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
- 46', Tchouameni A. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
- 58', Camavinga E. 🟨,
- 63', Modric L. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
- 68', Lucas 🟨,
- 68', Militao E. 🟨,
- 70', Morata A. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
- 70', Pulisic C. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
- 71', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 3, Reijnders T. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
- 74', Bellingham J. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
- 74', Mendy F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 77', Leao R. ↓, Okafor N. ↑,
- 85', Fofana Y. 🟨,
- 90+3', Emerson Royal ↓, Calabria D. ↑,
- 90+3', Musah Y. ↓, Pavlovic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid 65.6% | Draw 19.7% | Milan 14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Real Madrid - Milan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↓ (1.55) |
4.87 ↑ (4.6) |
6.55 ↑ (5.57) |
4.4% (4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers) Network on : UniMás
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Milan?
Users Predictions:
108 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 91 - 84.3%). Milan will win (votes: 6 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 10.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 77.4% – 91.2%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 3.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Real is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Real: Alaba D.
(Knee Injury)
Carvajal D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I.
(Calf Injury)
Florenzi A.
(Knee Injury)
Gabbia M.
(Muscle Injury)
Jovic L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Real: Courtois T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Milan: Calabria D.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Real won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Real won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Milan?
Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Real Madrid?
Milan has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Milan were as follows:
31.07.2024
Milan
-
Real Madrid
1:0
23.07.2023
Milan
-
Real Madrid
2:3
Latest results of Real Madrid
Draw
2025/261/8-finals1 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
2 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
3 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
4 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
5 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
6 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
7 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
8 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
9 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
10 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
11 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
12 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
13 | Rijeka | Bye | |
14 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
15 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
16 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
17 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
18 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
19 | Pafos | Bye | |
20 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
21 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
22 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
23 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
24 | Bye | Qarabag | |
25 | Brann | Bye | |
26 | Bye | Salzburg | |
28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
29 | Rangers | Bye | |
30 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
31 | Plzen | Bye | |
32 | Bye | Servette | |
33 | Nice | Bye | |
36 | Bye | Benfica | |
37 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
40 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Quarter-finals1 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
2 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
3 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
4 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
5 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
6 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
7 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
8 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
9 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
10 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
11 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
12 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
13 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
14 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
15 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
16 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
17 | Nice | Bye | |
18 | Bye | Benfica | |
19 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
20 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Semi-finals1 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | |
2 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | |
3 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | |
4 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | |
5 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | |
6 | Shkendija | Qarabag | |
7 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | |
8 | Rangers | Plzen | |
9 | Nice | Benfica | |
10 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | |