Real Madrid vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
1:3
05/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Solh TV
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireRTI 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1, Sport 2
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 3
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Sports
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalCanal 11, DAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1, #Vamos
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
tajikistanTajikistanVarzish Sport
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.442.45
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
2314
Shots on Goal
109
Shots off Goal
101
Blocked Shots
34
Free Kicks
911
Corner Kicks
85
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
1415
Goalkeeper Saves
69
Fouls
119
Yellow Cards
42
Total Passes
512398
Completed Passes
477350
Crosses Completed
44
Interceptions
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Thiaw M. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
  • 21', Morata A. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior (Pen),
  • 39', 1 - 2, Morata A. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Valverde F. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
  • 46', Tchouameni A. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 58', Camavinga E. 🟨,
  • 63', Modric L. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
  • 68', Lucas 🟨,
  • 68', Militao E. 🟨,
  • 70', Morata A. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
  • 70', Pulisic C. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
  • 71', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 3, Reijnders T. ⚽, Leao R. (A),
  • 74', Bellingham J. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
  • 74', Mendy F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
  • 77', Leao R. ↓, Okafor N. ↑,
  • 85', Fofana Y. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Emerson Royal ↓, Calabria D. ↑,
  • 90+3', Musah Y. ↓, Pavlovic S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
65.6%		Draw
19.7%		Milan
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 20.9% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 20.1% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.46 ↓
    (1.55)    		 4.87 ↑
    (4.6)    		 6.55 ↑
    (5.57)    		 4.4%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : UniMás
    •
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 108 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 91 - 84.3%). Milan will win (votes: 6 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 10.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 77.4% – 91.2%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Real is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Calf Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Gabbia M. (Muscle Injury) Jovic L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real: Courtois T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Calabria D. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Real won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Milan were as follows:
    31.07.2024 Milan - Real Madrid 1:0
    23.07.2023 Milan - Real Madrid 2:3
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    26.10.2024 Real Madrid - Barcelona 0:4 ✺
    22.10.2024 Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund 5:2 ✺
    19.10.2024 Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    05.10.2024 Real Madrid - Villarreal 2:0 ✺
    02.10.2024 Lille - Real Madrid 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Milan
    02.11.2024 Monza - Milan 0:1 ✺
    29.10.2024 Milan - Napoli 0:2 ✺
    22.10.2024 Milan - Club Brugge 3:1 ✺
    19.10.2024 Milan - Udinese 1:0 ✺
    06.10.2024 Fiorentina - Milan 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    3Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    5Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    6Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    8Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    9Barcelona (5)Bye
    10Chelsea (6)Bye
    11Liverpool (3)Bye
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Sporting CP (7)Bye
    14Manchester City (8)Bye
    15Arsenal (1)Bye
    16Bayern Munich (2)Bye
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