Result
3:3
08/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 6
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (269/327) | 74% (230/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (269/327) | 74% (230/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (11/32) | 34% (15/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (73/94) | 69% (59/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | -1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Giordana S. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Palacios H. ⚽, Viveros S. (A),
- 35', Corujo G. ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
- 35', Javier Reina ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
- 36', Gordillo Y. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 41', Colorado A. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Hurtado A. (Pen),
- 45+2', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', 2 - 2, Hurtado A. ⚽, Castillo F. (A),
- 62', 2 - 3, Martinez J. ⚽,
- 65', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 65', Giordana S. ↓, Marimon L. ↑,
- 68', De Amores G. ↓, Novoa D. ↑,
- 74', Llinas A. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
- 75', Viveros S. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
- 75', Hurtado J. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
- 77', Hurtado A. ↓, Estupinan A. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 3, Banguero D. ⚽,
- 83', Varela J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Estupinan A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Castillo F. ↓, Viafara F. ↑,
- 90+2', Arias J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Banguero D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4f9bawjw
Chances of winning
Millonarios
68.9% | Draw
21.9% | Deportivo Cali
9.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Millonarios's performance.Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Cali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Millonarios that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Cali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Millonarios - Deportivo Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.53) |
4.31 ↑
(4.1) |
9.96 ↑
(6.25) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Deportivo Cali?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cali (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.
- Millonarios is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Cali's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Millonarios is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Deportivo Cali?
Millonarios has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Millonarios?
Deportivo Cali has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Deportivo Cali were as follows:
23.02.2025
Deportivo Cali
-
Millonarios
3:1
04.10.2024
Deportivo Cali
-
Millonarios
0:1
23.03.2024
Millonarios
-
Deportivo Cali
1:1
24.08.2023
Deportivo Cali
-
Millonarios
0:0
05.03.2023
Millonarios
-
Deportivo Cali
2:0
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Pereira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Envigado | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Chico | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Dep. Pasto | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Alianza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | America De Cali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
