Result
2:2
21/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 28
- Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 4 |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (203/315) | 71% (318/448) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 56% (61/109) | 64% (94/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 21% (3/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 38% (12/32) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Scanlon C. ⚽,
- 19', 2 - 0, De Norre C. ⚽, Bangura-Williams R. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Willock C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Siopis M. ↓, Ng P. ↑,
- 59', Leonard R. ↓, McNamara D. ↑,
- 63', McNamara D. ↓, Crama T. ↑,
- 64', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
- 70', Meite Y. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
- 70', Colwill R. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
- 78', Willock C. ↓, El Ghazi A. ↑,
- 78', Watmore D. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
- 78', Scanlon C. ↓, Honeyman G. ↑,
- 78', Daland J. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Salech Y. ⚽, Ng P. (A),
Chances of winning
Millwall
41.7% | Draw
33.2% | Cardiff City
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-3%)
Millwall - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(1.95) |
2.87 ↓
(3.37) |
3.77 ↓
(4.05) |
5.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Millwall - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Cardiff will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 21.2% – 57.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 20).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 3.
- Recent matches Millwall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cardiff is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cardiff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Millwall will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J.
(Broken Leg)
Emakhu A.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Leg Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Muscle Injury)
Reindorf M.
(Ankle Injury)
Riza O.
(Red Card)
Turnbull D.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Millwall won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:16 (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Cardiff City?
Millwall has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Millwall?
Cardiff City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Cardiff City were as follows:
01.10.2024
Cardiff City
-
Millwall
1:0
13.04.2024
Millwall
-
Cardiff City
3:1
09.12.2023
Cardiff City
-
Millwall
1:0
21.01.2023
Cardiff City
-
Millwall
0:1
03.09.2022
Millwall
-
Cardiff City
2:0
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
