Cardiff City vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 19
  • Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.79
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
124
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
40
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
148
Offsides
33
Fouls
814
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
3415
Touches in the Opposition Box
2121
Passes
70% (249/356)71% (241/341)
Passes in the final third
64% (86/135)54% (38/70)
Crosses
36% (5/14)24% (4/17)
Tackles
67% (6/9)60% (12/20)
Clearances Total
3347
Interceptions
1010

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Porteous R. , Vata R. ,
  • 61', Ngakia J. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Ashford C. , Chambers C. (A),
  • 68', Willock C. , Tanner O. ,
  • 69', Sissoko M. , Kayembe E. ,
  • 73', Pollock M. 🟨,
  • 79', Colwill R. , Meite Y. ,
  • 83', Larouci Y. , Ebosele F. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Bayo V. , Baah K. (A),
  • 88', Robertson A. , Ralls J. ,
  • 88', Ashford C. , Bagan J. ,
  • 90+5', Chambers C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
41.9%
Draw
29.5%
Watford
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 26.5% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 28.7% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Cardiff City - Watford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.19)
    3.2
    (3.57)
    3.3
    (3.11)
    6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Watford?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Watford will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 49.7%86.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2.
    • Cardiff is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Watford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cardiff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Cardiff will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Etete K. (Leg Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Tsunoda R. (Muscle Injury) Turnbull D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Watford: Andrews R. (Knock) Dele-Bashiru T. (Knee Injury) Ogbonna A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:21 (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1.4:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Watford were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Watford - Cardiff City 1:2
    03.02.2024 Watford - Cardiff City 0:1
    07.10.2023 Cardiff City - Watford 1:1
    19.04.2023 Watford - Cardiff City 1:3
    02.11.2022 Cardiff City - Watford 1:2
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Watford
    09.01.2025 Fulham - Watford 4:1
    04.01.2025 Watford - Sheffield United 1:2
    29.12.2024 Watford - Cardiff City 1:2
    26.12.2024 Watford - Portsmouth 2:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One