Derby County vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Derby County - Millwall
Result
0:1
22/02/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 34
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.422.49
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
911
Shots on Goal
04
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
65
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
30
Free Kicks
810
Offsides
11
Fouls
108
Yellow Cards
20
Throw-ins
3047
Touches in the Opposition Box
1417
Passes
66% (236/356)66% (225/343)
Passes in the final third
54% (58/107)62% (67/108)
Crosses
38% (8/21)15% (3/20)
Tackles
68% (19/28)88% (21/24)
Clearances Total
2823
Interceptions
117

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Goudmijn K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Nyambe R. 🟨,
  • 57', Bryan J. , Sturge Z. ,
  • 65', Cundle L. , Coburn J. ,
  • 66', Ivanovic M. , Honeyman G. ,
  • 66', Jackson K. , Barkhuizen T. ,
  • 66', Goudmijn K. , Harness M. ,
  • 66', Salvesen L. , Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 74', Clarke M. , Forsyth C. ,
  • 79', De Norre C. , Mitchell B. ,
  • 79', Azeez F. , Emakhu A. ,
  • 83', Coburn J. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Ozoh D. , Roofe K. ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 1, Coburn J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
38.1%
Draw
32.9%
Millwall
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 27.7% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 29.5% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Millwall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Derby County - Millwall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.5)
    2.89
    (3.41)
    3.3
    (2.74)
    4.8%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Millwall will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2%84.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
    • Derby is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Millwall is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Derby will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Wilson K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Millwall: Langstaff M. (Leg Injury) Leonard R. (Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Derby won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:18 (average 1.2:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Millwall were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Millwall - Derby County 1:1
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Millwall
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City31205:235
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Hull21103:214
    8Preston21103:214
    9Southampton21103:214
    10Charlton21101:014
    11Leicester21013:303
    12Norwich21013:303
    13Portsmouth21012:203
    14Watford21012:203
    15Swansea21011:103
    16Millwall21012:4-23
    17Ipswich20202:202
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Derby30125:9-41
    20Wrexham20023:5-20
    21Oxford Utd20022:4-20
    22Blackburn20021:3-20
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One