Result
0:1
22/02/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 34
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 47 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (236/356) | 66% (225/343) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 54% (58/107) | 62% (67/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 15% (3/20) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (19/28) | 88% (21/24) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Goudmijn K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Nyambe R. 🟨,
- 57', Bryan J. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
- 65', Cundle L. ↓, Coburn J. ↑,
- 66', Ivanovic M. ↓, Honeyman G. ↑,
- 66', Jackson K. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
- 66', Goudmijn K. ↓, Harness M. ↑,
- 66', Salvesen L. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
- 74', Clarke M. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
- 79', De Norre C. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
- 79', Azeez F. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 83', Coburn J. (Pen),
- 90+1', Ozoh D. ↓, Roofe K. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 1, Coburn J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Derby County
38.1% | Draw
32.9% | Millwall
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Millwall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Derby County - Millwall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.5) |
2.89 ↓
(3.41) |
3.3 ↑
(2.74) |
4.8%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Derby County - Millwall?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Millwall will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
- Derby is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Millwall is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Derby will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Brown D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Wilson K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Millwall: Langstaff M.
(Leg Injury)
Leonard R.
(Injury)
Scanlon C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Derby won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:18 (average 1.2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Millwall?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Derby County?
Millwall has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Millwall were as follows:
19.10.2024
Millwall
-
Derby County
1:1
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Millwall
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
