Millwall vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 2
  • Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.24
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
610
Passes
74% (247/332)79% (329/417)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.61
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
610
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
915
Passes
74% (247/332)79% (329/417)
Long passes
46% (23/50)30% (18/61)
Passes in final third
54% (53/99)65% (75/115)
Crosses
33% (7/21)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.17
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
1610
Tackles
87% (20/23)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5459
Clearances
2828
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.610.00
Goals prevented
-1.390.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Crama T. 🟨,
  • 32', Coburn J. 🟨,
  • 38', Mitchell B. 🟨,
  • 42', Conway T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Kante A. , Hansen S. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Hackney H. , Whittaker M. (A),
  • 57', Doughty A. , Sturge Z. ,
  • 59', Whittaker M. 🟨,
  • 66', Crama T. , Leonard R. ,
  • 66', Coburn J. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 68', Silvera S. 🟨,
  • 69', Whittaker M. , Azaz F. ,
  • 69', Conway T. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 70', Sturge Z. 🟨,
  • 79', Mitchell B. , Luongo M. ,
  • 79', Neghli C. , Emakhu A. ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Jones A. ,
  • 89', Edmundson G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Silvera S. , Neto Borges ,
  • 90+7', 0 - 3, Burgzorg D. , Azaz F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millwall
42.8%
Draw
29.3%
Middlesbrough
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 28.9% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 29.1% 33.3%

Millwall - Middlesbrough Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.21
(2.49)
3.22
(3.27)
3.42
(2.87)
5.5%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millwall - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: Millwall will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millwall will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.
    • Millwall has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Middlesbrough has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Millwall has had a series of away games.
    • Millwall might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Bryan J. (Inactive) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:0
    14.12.2024 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0
    13.01.2024 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:3
    05.08.2023 Middlesbrough - Millwall 0:1
    14.01.2023 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0
    Latest results of Millwall
    12.08.2025 Newport County - Millwall 0:1
    09.08.2025 Norwich City - Millwall 1:2
    02.08.2025 Estoril Praia - Millwall 0:3
    29.07.2025 Sutton United - Millwall 2:6
    26.07.2025 Bromley - Millwall 1:2
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry18134150:183243
    2Middlesbrough1896324:19533
    3Millwall1894522:25-331
    4Stoke1893626:141230
    5Preston1886425:19630
    6Bristol City1885526:20629
    7Hull1884630:30028
    8Ipswich1776429:181127
    9Wrexham1868423:20326
    10Derby1875625:25026
    11Birmingham1774625:19625
    12West Brom1874720:22-225
    13QPR1874722:28-625
    14Southampton1866628:25324
    15Watford1766523:21224
    16Leicester1866622:23-124
    17Charlton1865718:23-523
    18Blackburn1762917:22-520
    19Sheffield Utd18611120:28-819
    20Oxford Utd1846820:25-518
    21Swansea1845918:27-917
    22Portsmouth1845915:25-1017
    23Norwich18341119:29-1013
    24Sheffield Wed18151214:36-22-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One