Millwall vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 2
  • Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.24
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
610
Passes
74% (247/332)79% (329/417)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.61
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
610
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
915
Passes
74% (247/332)79% (329/417)
Long passes
46% (23/50)30% (18/61)
Passes in final third
54% (53/99)65% (75/115)
Crosses
33% (7/21)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.17
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
1610
Tackles
87% (20/23)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5459
Clearances
2828
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.610.00
Goals prevented
-1.390.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Crama T. 🟨,
  • 32', Coburn J. 🟨,
  • 38', Mitchell B. 🟨,
  • 42', Conway T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Kante A. , Hansen S. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Hackney H. , Whittaker M. (A),
  • 57', Doughty A. , Sturge Z. ,
  • 59', Whittaker M. 🟨,
  • 66', Crama T. , Leonard R. ,
  • 66', Coburn J. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 68', Silvera S. 🟨,
  • 69', Whittaker M. , Azaz F. ,
  • 69', Conway T. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 70', Sturge Z. 🟨,
  • 79', Mitchell B. , Luongo M. ,
  • 79', Neghli C. , Emakhu A. ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Jones A. ,
  • 89', Edmundson G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Silvera S. , Neto Borges ,
  • 90+7', 0 - 3, Burgzorg D. , Azaz F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millwall
42.8%
Draw
29.3%
Middlesbrough
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 28.9% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 29.1% 33.3%

Millwall - Middlesbrough Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.21
(2.49)
3.22
(3.27)
3.42
(2.87)
5.5%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millwall - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: Millwall will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millwall will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.
    • Millwall has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Middlesbrough has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Millwall has had a series of away games.
    • Millwall might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Bryan J. (Inactive) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:0
    14.12.2024 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0
    13.01.2024 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:3
    05.08.2023 Middlesbrough - Millwall 0:1
    14.01.2023 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0
    Latest results of Millwall
    12.08.2025 Newport County - Millwall 0:1
    09.08.2025 Norwich City - Millwall 1:2
    02.08.2025 Estoril Praia - Millwall 0:3
    29.07.2025 Sutton United - Millwall 2:6
    26.07.2025 Bromley - Millwall 1:2
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry22146253:233048
    2Middlesbrough22126433:24942
    3Ipswich22107538:231537
    4Hull22114737:35237
    5Preston2299430:23736
    6Millwall22105725:31-635
    7QPR22104832:34-234
    8Stoke22103928:21733
    9Bristol City2296730:24633
    10Watford2288631:28332
    11Southampton2287736:31531
    12Derby2287731:30131
    13Leicester2287731:31031
    14Birmingham2285930:29129
    15Wrexham22610627:27028
    16West Brom22841025:29-428
    17Charlton2176821:26-527
    18Sheffield Utd22821228:31-326
    19Swansea22751024:30-626
    20Blackburn21741022:26-425
    21Portsmouth21561018:28-1021
    22Oxford Utd22471122:31-919
    23Norwich22461225:35-1018
    24Sheffield Wed21161416:43-27-9

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One