Result
0:3
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 2
- Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (247/332) | 79% (329/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (247/332) | 79% (329/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (23/50) | 30% (18/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (53/99) | 65% (75/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (20/23) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.39 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Crama T. 🟨,
- 32', Coburn J. 🟨,
- 38', Mitchell B. 🟨,
- 42', Conway T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Kante A. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Hackney H. ⚽, Whittaker M. (A),
- 57', Doughty A. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
- 59', Whittaker M. 🟨,
- 66', Crama T. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
- 66', Coburn J. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 68', Silvera S. 🟨,
- 69', Whittaker M. ↓, Azaz F. ↑,
- 69', Conway T. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
- 70', Sturge Z. 🟨,
- 79', Mitchell B. ↓, Luongo M. ↑,
- 79', Neghli C. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 2, Jones A. ⚽,
- 89', Edmundson G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Silvera S. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
- 90+7', 0 - 3, Burgzorg D. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
Chances of winning
Millwall
42.8% | Draw
29.3% | Middlesbrough
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Middlesbrough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Middlesbrough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Millwall - Middlesbrough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.49) |
3.22 ↓
(3.27) |
3.42 ↑
(2.87) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millwall - Middlesbrough?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Millwall will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.
- Millwall has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Middlesbrough has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Millwall has had a series of away games.
- Millwall might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Millwall: Bryan J.
(Inactive)
Jensen L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Middlesbrough?
Millwall has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Millwall?
Middlesbrough has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Middlesbrough were as follows:
12.04.2025
Millwall
-
Middlesbrough
1:0
14.12.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Millwall
1:0
13.01.2024
Millwall
-
Middlesbrough
1:3
05.08.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Millwall
0:1
14.01.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Millwall
1:0
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Middlesbrough
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 70:37 | 33 | 68 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:34 | 17 | 63 |
| 3 | Millwall | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 59 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56:34 | 22 | 57 |
| 5 | Hull | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | 7 | 57 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 53:45 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Southampton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 47:42 | 5 | 50 |
| 9 | Preston | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 49 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:43 | 2 | 49 |
| 11 | Derby | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
| 12 | Watford | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 48 |
| 13 | Stoke | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 38:32 | 6 | 47 |
| 14 | QPR | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 47 |
| 15 | Swansea | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40:40 | 0 | 46 |
| 16 | Sheffield Utd | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 48:48 | 0 | 45 |
| 17 | Norwich | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 45:44 | 1 | 42 |
| 18 | Charlton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34:43 | -9 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 47:54 | -7 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 29:46 | -17 | 29 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 34 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 20:68 | -48 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
