Millwall vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Den (London).

Championship - Round 42
Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	0.69
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
71% (223/312)	80% (386/483)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	0.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.27	0.30
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
15	22
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
10	21
Passes
71% (223/312)	80% (386/483)
Long passes
47% (33/70)	47% (31/66)
Passes in final third
49% (46/93)	70% (105/149)
Crosses
60% (9/15)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	0.56
Fouls
21	10
Tackles
65% (17/26)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
57	67
Clearances Total
28	22
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.30	1.27
Goals prevented
0.30	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cundle L. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
58', De Norre C. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
58', Emakhu A. ↓, Azeez F. ↑,
58', Honeyman G. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Neghli C. ⚽,
66', Burgzorg D. ↓, McGree R. ↑,
66', Whittaker M. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
79', Neghli C. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
84', Dijksteel A. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
88', Azeez F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Millwall
31%

Draw
29%

Middlesbrough
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

27.5%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

27.9%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Millwall - Middlesbrough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.34)	3.29 ↓ (3.44)	2.4 ↑ (2.13)	4.8% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Millwall - Middlesbrough?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 9 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 2.
Recent matches Millwall is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Middlesbrough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Middlesbrough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Hamstring Injury) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Neghli C. (Muscle Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Watmore D. (Injury)
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Ankle Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Brynn S. (Muscle Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Millwall: Bangura-Williams R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Honeyman G. (Injury) Sturge Z. (Injury) Tanganga J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Neto Borges (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Millwall won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17:30 (average 0.9:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:15 (average 1:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Middlesbrough?

Millwall has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Millwall?

Middlesbrough has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Middlesbrough were as follows:

14.12.2024 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0

13.01.2024 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:3

05.08.2023 Middlesbrough - Millwall 0:1

14.01.2023 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0

08.10.2022 Millwall - Middlesbrough 2:0

Latest results of Millwall

08.04.2025 Sheffield United - Millwall 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Millwall - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Sunderland - Millwall 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Leeds United - Millwall 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Middlesbrough

08.04.2025 Middlesbrough - Leeds United 0:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough 0:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Oxford United 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Derby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leicester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Preston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	QPR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sheffield Wed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Watford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	West Brom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Swansea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Oxford Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One