Middlesbrough vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 40
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoDisney+
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomITV 1, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD, STV, STV Player, UTV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.120.79
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
3211
Shots on target
55
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
176
Passes
76% (320/419)65% (177/273)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
3.120.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.220.85
Total shots
3211
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
193
Shots inside the box
277
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
176
Touches in opposition box
6920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
144
Passes
76% (320/419)65% (177/273)
Long passes
31% (16/52)29% (16/55)
Passes in final third
69% (107/154)53% (44/83)
Crosses
33% (12/36)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
2.181.27
Throw ins
2417
Fouls
414
Tackles
64% (7/11)36% (4/11)
Duels won
5640
Clearances
1736
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
0.851.22
Goals prevented
-1.150.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', McGree R. 🟨,
  • 13', Cooper J. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Fry D. , Browne A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Coburn J. , Ivanovic M. (A),
  • 64', De Norre C. , Bannan B. ,
  • 78', Targett M. , Bangura A. ,
  • 85', Ivanovic M. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Coburn J. , Bannan B. (A),
  • 89', Brittain C. , Sarmiento J. ,
  • 90+5', Mitchell B. , Cundle L. ,
  • 90+5', Azeez F. , McNamara D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
54.4%
Draw
24.7%
Millwall
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 23.8% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 25.8% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Middlesbrough - Millwall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.74)
    3.84
    (3.98)
    4.59
    (4.32)
    4.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 8 - 25%). Millwall will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 49.1%82.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Millwall (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Millwall (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Millwall (4.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millwall will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 3.
    • Middlesbrough has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Millwall is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Middlesbrough is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Jones A. (Ankle Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Silvera S. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Hamstring Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Hackney H. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: De Norre C. (Groin Injury) Doughty A. (Calf Injury) Leonard R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Millwall were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 0:3
    12.04.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:0
    14.12.2024 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0
    13.01.2024 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:3
    05.08.2023 Middlesbrough - Millwall 0:1
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Millwall
    21.03.2026 Ipswich Town - Millwall 1:1
    10.03.2026 Millwall - Derby County 1:0
    07.03.2026 Hull City - Millwall 1:3
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry41259784:424284
    2Ipswich392012769:402972
    3Middlesbrough412012962:412172
    4Millwall412191156:47972
    5Hull412081363:58568
    6Southampton4018121068:491966
    7Wrexham4117131163:58564
    8Derby411891460:51963
    9Norwich411771755:48758
    10Watford4114151252:49357
    11Bristol City411691652:51157
    12QPR411691658:63-557
    13Stoke411591748:45354
    14Preston4113151348:52-454
    15Swansea411591749:54-554
    16Birmingham4114111649:52-353
    17Sheffield Utd411562057:58-151
    18Charlton4112131638:49-1149
    19Blackburn4112111837:49-1247
    20West Brom4111121842:56-1445
    21Portsmouth4010121840:57-1742
    22Leicester4111141654:63-941
    23Oxford Utd419141839:54-1541
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 411103025:82-57-5

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One