Millwall vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Den (London).

Championship - Round 18
Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	1.20
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
21	11
Shots on target
7	8
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
9	6
Passes
75% (227/301)	83% (387/467)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	1.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.83	3.27
Total shots
21	11
Shots on target
7	8
Shots off target
10	2
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
13	9
Shots outside the Box
8	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
9	6
Touches in opposition box
31	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
6	11
Passes
75% (227/301)	83% (387/467)
Long passes
37% (19/51)	38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
62% (72/116)	66% (57/87)
Crosses
28% (10/36)	6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	0.41
Throw-ins
17	19
Fouls
11	6
Tackles
77% (10/13)	50% (5/10)
Duels won
45	37
Clearances
23	41
Interceptions
18	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	3
xGOT faced
3.27	1.83
Goals prevented
1.27	-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Fellows T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
47', Armstrong A. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Armstrong A. (Pen),
62', Robinson J. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Azeez F. ⚽, Crama T. (A),
73', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
73', McNamara D. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
76', Bragg C. ↓, Romeu O. ↑,
76', Fellows T. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
78', Azeez F. ↓, Ballo T. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽, De Norre C. (A),
87', 2 - 2, Azaz F. ⚽,
88', Kelly D. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
88', Emakhu A. ↓, Lovelace Z. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 2, Crama T. ⚽, Ballo T. (A),
90+7', Crama T. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Millwall
31.1%

Draw
27.5%

Southampton
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

26.8%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.5%

42.1%

Millwall - Southampton Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.99)	3.42 ↓ (3.52)	2.31 ↑ (2.27)	5.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Millwall - Southampton?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). S`hampton will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 48.9% – 92.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 1.
Millwall has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
S`hampton is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
S`hampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J. (Muscle Injury) Leonard R. (Calf Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) Smallbone W. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Hamstring Injury) Downes F. (Yellow Cards) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Millwall: Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mitchell B. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in S`hampton: Jelert E. (Injury) Romeu O. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Southampton?

Millwall has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Millwall?

Southampton has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Southampton were as follows:

03.08.2024 Millwall - Southampton 0:1

24.02.2024 Southampton - Millwall 1:2

04.11.2023 Millwall - Southampton 0:1

Latest results of Millwall

26.11.2025 Millwall - Sheffield Wednesday 1:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Portsmouth - Millwall 3:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Millwall - Preston North End 1:1 ✺

04.11.2025 Birmingham City - Millwall 4:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Oxford United - Millwall 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Southampton

25.11.2025 Southampton - Leicester City 3:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Charlton Athletic - Southampton 1:5 ✺

08.11.2025 Southampton - Sheffield Wednesday 3:1 ✺

05.11.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Southampton 1:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Southampton - Preston North End 0:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	19	13	4	2	50:21	29	43
2	Middlesbrough	19	10	6	3	28:20	8	36
3	Millwall	19	10	4	5	23:25	-2	34
4	Ipswich	19	8	7	4	33:19	14	31
5	Preston	19	8	7	4	26:20	6	31
6	Stoke	19	9	3	7	26:18	8	30
7	Bristol City	19	8	5	6	26:21	5	29
8	Birmingham	19	8	4	7	28:23	5	28
9	Hull	19	8	4	7	31:34	-3	28
10	QPR	19	8	4	7	25:29	-4	28
11	Southampton	19	7	6	6	31:26	5	27
12	Wrexham	19	6	9	4	24:21	3	27
13	Watford	19	7	6	6	27:25	2	27
14	Leicester	19	7	6	6	25:24	1	27
15	Derby	19	7	5	7	26:28	-2	26
16	West Brom	19	7	4	8	21:25	-4	25
17	Charlton	18	6	5	7	18:23	-5	23
18	Sheffield Utd	19	7	1	11	24:28	-4	22
19	Blackburn	18	6	3	9	18:23	-5	21
20	Swansea	19	5	5	9	20:27	-7	20
21	Oxford Utd	19	4	6	9	20:27	-7	18
22	Portsmouth	18	4	5	9	15:25	-10	17
23	Norwich	19	3	4	12	21:32	-11	13
24	Sheffield Wed	18	1	5	12	14:36	-22	-10

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One