Result
2:0
21/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 11
- Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (204/317) | 77% (353/461) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (204/317) | 77% (353/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (21/65) | 30% (20/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (62/124) | 56% (49/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Azeez F. ⚽, Ballo T. (A),
- 15', Ballo T. 🟨,
- 21', 2 - 0, Crama T. ⚽, Ballo T. (A),
- 27', Smallbone W. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
- 37', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Seko T. ↓, Baker L. ↑,
- 46', Bocat E. ↓, Cresswell A. ↑,
- 46', Cisse L. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 62', N'Zonzi S. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
- 77', Sturge Z. 🟨,
- 79', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
- 83', Bozenik R. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
- 85', Azeez F. ↓, Bangura-Williams R. ↑,
- 85', De Norre C. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Millwall
39.3% | Draw
29.3% | Stoke City
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Millwall - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.41) |
3.22 ↓
(3.24) |
3.02 ↓
(3.04) |
5.3%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millwall - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Stoke will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 15.1% – 58.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
- Millwall is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Stoke's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Millwall might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Bae J.
(Inactive)
Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
Lawal B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 0.9:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.1:0.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Stoke City?
Millwall has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Millwall?
Stoke City has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Stoke City were as follows:
15.03.2025
Millwall
-
Stoke City
1:0
09.11.2024
Stoke City
-
Millwall
1:1
23.12.2023
Stoke City
-
Millwall
0:0
26.08.2023
Millwall
-
Stoke City
1:0
25.02.2023
Stoke City
-
Millwall
0:1
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 28 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Millwall | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Charlton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Hull | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Leicester | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | West Brom | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 | Swansea | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Watford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Derby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Oxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 20 | Southampton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
| 23 | Norwich | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
