Millwall vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Millwall - Stoke City
Result
2:0
21/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 11
  • Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.46
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
64% (204/317)77% (353/461)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.010.26
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2818
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
713
Passes
64% (204/317)77% (353/461)
Long passes
32% (21/65)30% (20/66)
Passes in final third
50% (62/124)56% (49/87)
Crosses
15% (3/20)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.60
Throw-ins
2231
Fouls
137
Tackles
75% (9/12)75% (6/8)
Duels won
6159
Clearances
2532
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.262.01
Goals prevented
0.260.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Azeez F. , Ballo T. (A),
  • 15', Ballo T. 🟨,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Crama T. , Ballo T. (A),
  • 27', Smallbone W. , Cundle L. ,
  • 37', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Seko T. , Baker L. ,
  • 46', Bocat E. , Cresswell A. ,
  • 46', Cisse L. , Manhoef M. ,
  • 62', N'Zonzi S. , Donley J. ,
  • 77', Sturge Z. 🟨,
  • 79', Sturge Z. , Bryan J. ,
  • 83', Bozenik R. , Mubama D. ,
  • 85', Azeez F. , Bangura-Williams R. ,
  • 85', De Norre C. , Neghli C. ,

Chances of winning


Millwall
39.3%
Draw
29.3%
Stoke City
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 29.3% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 30.1% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Millwall - Stoke City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.41)
    3.22
    (3.24)
    3.02
    (3.04)
    5.3%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Millwall - Stoke City?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Stoke will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 15.1%58.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
    • Millwall is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stoke's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Millwall might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Bae J. (Inactive) Gallagher S. (Muscle Injury) Lawal B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 0.9:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.1:0.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Stoke City were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0
    09.11.2024 Stoke City - Millwall 1:1
    23.12.2023 Stoke City - Millwall 0:0
    26.08.2023 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0
    25.02.2023 Stoke City - Millwall 0:1
    Latest results of Millwall
    01.10.2025 Millwall - Coventry City 0:4
    27.09.2025 Swansea City - Millwall 1:1
    22.09.2025 Millwall - Watford 1:0
    Latest results of Stoke City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1284034:92528
    2Middlesbrough1274116:8825
    3Millwall1272314:13123
    4Bristol City1264220:11922
    5Stoke1263313:8521
    6Charlton1254314:10419
    7Preston1254315:12319
    8Hull1254320:20019
    9QPR1253415:17-218
    10Leicester1245315:12317
    11West Brom1252512:14-217
    12Ipswich1144317:13416
    13Swansea1244412:12016
    14Watford1243514:16-215
    15Birmingham1243511:15-415
    16Wrexham1235416:17-114
    17Derby1235413:16-314
    18Portsmouth1234510:13-313
    19Oxford Utd1233613:15-212
    20Southampton1226413:17-412
    21Blackburn1131710:17-710
    22Sheffield Utd123099:20-119
    23Norwich1222812:18-68
    24Sheffield Wed1213810:25-15-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One