Millwall vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Den (London).

Championship - Round 11
Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.46
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
64% (204/317)	77% (353/461)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.01	0.26
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
28	18
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
7	13
Passes
64% (204/317)	77% (353/461)
Long passes
32% (21/65)	30% (20/66)
Passes in final third
50% (62/124)	56% (49/87)
Crosses
15% (3/20)	40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.11	0.60
Throw-ins
22	31
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
75% (9/12)	75% (6/8)
Duels won
61	59
Clearances
25	32
Interceptions
11	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
0.26	2.01
Goals prevented
0.26	0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Azeez F. ⚽, Ballo T. (A),
15', Ballo T. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Crama T. ⚽, Ballo T. (A),
27', Smallbone W. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
37', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Seko T. ↓, Baker L. ↑,
46', Bocat E. ↓, Cresswell A. ↑,
46', Cisse L. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
62', N'Zonzi S. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
77', Sturge Z. 🟨,
79', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
83', Bozenik R. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
85', Azeez F. ↓, Bangura-Williams R. ↑,
85', De Norre C. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Millwall
39.3%

Draw
29.3%

Stoke City
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

30.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Millwall - Stoke City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.41)	3.22 ↓ (3.24)	3.02 ↓ (3.04)	5.3% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Millwall - Stoke City?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Stoke will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 15.1% – 58.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
Millwall is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Stoke's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Millwall might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Bae J. (Inactive) Gallagher S. (Muscle Injury) Lawal B. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 0.9:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.1:0.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Stoke City?

Millwall has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Millwall?

Stoke City has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Stoke City were as follows:

15.03.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0

09.11.2024 Stoke City - Millwall 1:1

23.12.2023 Stoke City - Millwall 0:0

26.08.2023 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0

25.02.2023 Stoke City - Millwall 0:1

Latest results of Millwall

18.10.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Millwall 1:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Millwall - West Bromwich Albion 3:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Millwall - Coventry City 0:4 ✺

27.09.2025 Swansea City - Millwall 1:1 ✺

22.09.2025 Millwall - Watford 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Stoke City

18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Stoke City - Norwich City 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	35	21	8	6	72:38	34	71
2	Middlesbrough	35	19	9	7	54:35	19	66
3	Ipswich	34	18	9	7	60:34	26	63
4	Millwall	35	18	8	9	47:40	7	62
5	Hull	35	18	6	11	56:49	7	60
6	Wrexham	35	15	12	8	54:45	9	57
7	Southampton	35	14	11	10	57:46	11	53
8	Derby	35	14	9	12	52:46	6	51
9	Watford	35	13	12	10	45:41	4	51
10	Bristol City	35	14	8	13	48:44	4	50
11	Preston	35	12	13	10	41:40	1	49
12	Birmingham	35	13	10	12	46:46	0	49
13	Sheffield Utd	35	15	3	17	50:48	2	48
14	Stoke	35	13	8	14	39:34	5	47
15	QPR	35	13	8	14	46:54	-8	47
16	Swansea	35	13	7	15	40:43	-3	46
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	47:44	3	45
18	Charlton	35	10	11	14	33:44	-11	41
19	Portsmouth	34	10	9	15	34:44	-10	39
20	Blackburn	35	10	8	17	33:46	-13	38
21	West Brom	35	9	8	18	34:52	-18	35
22	Leicester	35	10	10	15	47:56	-9	34
23	Oxford Utd	35	7	11	17	31:47	-16	32
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	35	1	8	26	21:71	-50	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One