Result
1:0
15/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 38
- Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, ESPN 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
 Argentina | Disney+, Fox Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
 United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (253/339) | 64% (172/267) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 67% (78/117) | 52% (42/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (13/37) | 24% (4/17) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Emakhu A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Koumas L. 🟨,
- 63', Al Hamadi A. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
- 74', Emakhu A. ↓, Connolly A. ↑,
- 74', Crama T. ↓, Harding W. ↑,
- 76', Connolly A. 🟨,
- 76', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
- 78', Baker L. ↓, Moran A. ↑,
- 78', Bae J. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 90', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
- 90+2', Wilmot B. 🟨,
- 90+3', Burger W. 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Ivanovic M. (Pen),
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Millwall
41.6% | Draw
31.2% | Stoke City
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Millwall - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(1.97) |
3.04 ↓
(3.46) |
3.52 ↓
(3.81) |
5.1%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and English League Championship with fubo (for US customers) Network on : CBSSN
What is the prediction for Millwall - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Stoke will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 25.5% – 74.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 19).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 3.
- Recent matches Millwall is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Stoke is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Millwall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Millwall have a series of guest games.
- Millwall will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Honeyman G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Langstaff M.
(Leg Injury)
Leonard R.
(Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
Neghli C.
(Muscle Injury)
Roberts L.
(Red Card)
Scanlon C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Gibson B.
(Leg Injury)
Mmaee R.
(Muscle Injury)
Sidibe S.
(Muscle Injury)
Wilson-Esbrand J.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Bocat E.
(Knock)
Gooch L.
(Leg Injury)
Pearson B.
(Muscle Injury)
Stevens E.
(Knock)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Millwall won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:6 (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 1.2:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Stoke City?
Millwall has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Millwall?
Stoke City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Stoke City were as follows:
09.11.2024
Stoke City
-
Millwall
1:1
23.12.2023
Stoke City
-
Millwall
0:0
26.08.2023
Millwall
-
Stoke City
1:0
25.02.2023
Stoke City
-
Millwall
0:1
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 19 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Leicester | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Preston | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Stoke | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Bristol City | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Watford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Swansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Hull | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Southampton | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:20 | -12 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:16 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
