Result
2:0
18/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 43
- Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (214/306) | 76% (314/413) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (214/306) | 76% (314/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 33% (15/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (66/104) | 57% (68/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Mazou-Sacko D. ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 0, Neghli C. ⚽, Mazou-Sacko D. (A),
- 20', Edwards R. 🟨,
- 30', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
- 34', Azeez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Smyth P. ↓, Burrell R. ↑,
- 46', Varane J. ↓, Madsen N. ↑,
- 46', Morgan K. ↓, Hayden I. ↑,
- 46', Mbengue A. S. ↓, Cook S. ↑,
- 60', Poku K. ↓, Chair I. ↑,
- 70', De Norre C. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 70', Ballo T. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
- 86', Azeez F. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
- 86', Coburn J. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
- 90', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Bannan B. ↑,
- 90+2', Hayden I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Millwall
55.5% | Draw
24.5% | Queens Park Rangers
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Millwall - Queens Park Rangers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.66) |
3.85 ↑
(3.84) |
4.7 ↓
(4.9) |
5.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Millwall - Queens Park Rangers?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 15 - 75%). QPR will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 56% – 94%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - QPR (4.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. QPR (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
- In recent matches, Millwall has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- QPR is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Millwall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Millwall is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelly D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in QPR: Chair I.
(Muscle Injury)
Dembele K.
(Knee Injury)
Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
Madsen N.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Doughty A.
(Calf Injury)
Smallbone W.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in QPR: Obikwu J.
(Knock)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Queens Park Rangers?
Millwall has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Millwall?
Queens Park Rangers has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
18.10.2025
Queens Park Rangers
-
Millwall
1:2
01.02.2025
Millwall
-
Queens Park Rangers
2:1
21.09.2024
Queens Park Rangers
-
Millwall
1:1
20.01.2024
Queens Park Rangers
-
Millwall
2:0
26.12.2023
Millwall
-
Queens Park Rangers
2:0
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
