Accrington Stanley vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Wham Stadium (Accrington).

League Two - Round 27
Referee: Martin R. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.43	0.93
Ball possession
65%	35%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
2	3
Passes
69% (323/466)	48% (121/252)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.43	0.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.45	0.49
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
4	6
Shots outside the box
8	5
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
11	13
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
14	13
Passes
69% (323/466)	48% (121/252)
Long passes
25% (26/105)	27% (26/98)
Passes in final third
54% (87/160)	39% (41/106)
Crosses
22% (4/18)	50% (6/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	0.74
Throw ins
37	23
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
74% (14/19)	88% (15/17)
Duels won
74	76
Clearances
37	55
Interceptions
3	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.49	0.45
Goals prevented
-1.51	0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Whalley S. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Wiles B. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
45+4', 0 - 2, Collins A. ⚽, Mellish J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Woods J. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
60', Henderson A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
62', Kelly L. 🟨,
65', Collins A. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
65', Wiles B. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
66', Matthews D. 🟨,
70', Hogan S. 🟨,
76', Kelly L. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
76', Conneely S. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
77', O'Brien C. ↓, Brown C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Accrington Stanley
30%

Draw
27.8%

Milton Keynes Dons
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.8%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

26.7%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.51)	3.31 ↓ (3.46)	2.21 ↑ (1.99)	7.7% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Accrington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, MK Dons has had a series of home games.
MK Dons is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive)
There will not play in MK Dons: Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Tomlinson J. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J. (Inactive) Grant C. (Inactive) Walton T. (Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Ekpiteta M. (Inactive) Gilbey A. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Accrington Stanley has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Accrington Stanley?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

20.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 1:2

04.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0

22.10.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 2:1

10.02.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 2:1

21.10.2023 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

04.01.2026 Colchester United - Accrington Stanley Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 0:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Accrington Stanley - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Accrington Stanley - Barrow 2:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Cambridge United - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

09.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United 1:2 ✺

04.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Chesterfield 2:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League