Milton Keynes Dons vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 9
  • Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.58
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
68% (259/381)62% (196/315)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.44
Total shots
715
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
714
Passes
68% (259/381)62% (196/315)
Long passes
31% (24/78)30% (25/83)
Passes in final third
46% (38/83)60% (88/147)
Crosses
9% (1/11)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.191.06
Throw-ins
2828
Fouls
147
Tackles
67% (14/21)60% (6/10)
Duels won
7474
Clearances
5729
Interceptions
617
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.441.66
Goals prevented
-0.560.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Kelly L. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Sinclair I. , Walton T. (A),
  • 27', Heath I. 🟨,
  • 38', Conneely S. 🟨,
  • 45', Offord L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kelly L. , Collar W. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Gilbey A. ,
  • 52', Lemonheigh-Evans C. 🟨,
  • 65', Conneely S. , Coyle L. ,
  • 65', Walton T. , Caton C. ,
  • 73', 1 - 2, Caton C. , Heath I. (A),
  • 79', Brown C. , Love D. ,
  • 79', Mendez-Laing N. , Maguire L. ,
  • 79', Lemonheigh-Evans C. , Hogan S. ,
  • 83', Woods J. , Henderson A. ,
  • 87', Crowley D. , Thompson-Sommers K. ,
  • 87', Hepburn-Murphy R. , Leko J. ,
  • 90+5', Gilbey A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Offord L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
57.3%
Draw
23.8%
Accrington Stanley
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 22.9% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 22% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.52)
    4.14
    (4.1)
    5.28
    (6.05)
    -1.4%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 3.
    • MK Dons has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Accrington has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G. (Injury) Tomlinson J. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Thompson N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C. (Injury) Rawson F. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0
    22.10.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    10.02.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    21.10.2023 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0
    18.03.2023 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League