Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 9
- Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.68 | 1.58 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
68% (259/381) | 62% (196/315) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.68 | 1.58 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.66 | 1.44 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
68% (259/381) | 62% (196/315) |
Long passes |
---|
31% (24/78) | 30% (25/83) |
Passes in final third |
---|
46% (38/83) | 60% (88/147) |
Crosses |
---|
9% (1/11) | 17% (4/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.19 | 1.06 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 28 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (14/21) | 60% (6/10) |
Duels won |
---|
74 | 74 |
Clearances |
---|
57 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 17 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.44 | 1.66 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.56 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Kelly L. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Sinclair I. ⚽, Walton T. (A),
- 27', Heath I. 🟨,
- 38', Conneely S. 🟨,
- 45', Offord L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kelly L. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Gilbey A. ⚽,
- 52', Lemonheigh-Evans C. 🟨,
- 65', Conneely S. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
- 65', Walton T. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Caton C. ⚽, Heath I. (A),
- 79', Brown C. ↓, Love D. ↑,
- 79', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Maguire L. ↑,
- 79', Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 83', Woods J. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
- 87', Crowley D. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 87', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 90+5', Gilbey A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Offord L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons 57.3% | Draw 23.8% | Accrington Stanley 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↑ (1.52) |
4.14 ↑ (4.1) |
5.28 ↓ (6.05) |
-1.4% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 3.
- MK Dons has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Accrington has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G.
(Injury)
Tomlinson J.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Thompson N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C.
(Injury)
Rawson F.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Accrington Stanley?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Accrington Stanley has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
04.03.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:0
22.10.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Accrington Stanley
2:1
10.02.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Accrington Stanley
2:1
21.10.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
18.03.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:1
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League