Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 9
- Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (259/381) | 62% (196/315) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (259/381) | 62% (196/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (24/78) | 30% (25/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (38/83) | 60% (88/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 74 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 57 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Kelly L. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Sinclair I. ⚽, Walton T. (A),
- 27', Heath I. 🟨,
- 38', Conneely S. 🟨,
- 45', Offord L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kelly L. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Gilbey A. ⚽,
- 52', Lemonheigh-Evans C. 🟨,
- 65', Conneely S. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
- 65', Walton T. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Caton C. ⚽, Heath I. (A),
- 79', Brown C. ↓, Love D. ↑,
- 79', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Maguire L. ↑,
- 79', Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 83', Woods J. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
- 87', Crowley D. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 87', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 90+5', Gilbey A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Offord L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
57.3% | Draw
23.8% | Accrington Stanley
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.52) |
4.14 ↑
(4.1) |
5.28 ↓
(6.05) |
-1.4%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 3.
- MK Dons has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Accrington has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G.
(Injury)
Tomlinson J.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Thompson N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C.
(Injury)
Rawson F.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Accrington Stanley?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Accrington Stanley has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
04.03.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:0
22.10.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Accrington Stanley
2:1
10.02.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Accrington Stanley
2:1
21.10.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
18.03.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:1
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
