Milton Keynes Dons vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 9
  • Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.58
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
68% (259/381)62% (196/315)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.661.44
Total shots
715
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
714
Passes
68% (259/381)62% (196/315)
Long passes
31% (24/78)30% (25/83)
Passes in final third
46% (38/83)60% (88/147)
Crosses
9% (1/11)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.191.06
Throw-ins
2828
Fouls
147
Tackles
67% (14/21)60% (6/10)
Duels won
7474
Clearances
5729
Interceptions
617
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.441.66
Goals prevented
-0.560.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Kelly L. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Sinclair I. , Walton T. (A),
  • 27', Heath I. 🟨,
  • 38', Conneely S. 🟨,
  • 45', Offord L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kelly L. , Collar W. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Gilbey A. ,
  • 52', Lemonheigh-Evans C. 🟨,
  • 65', Conneely S. , Coyle L. ,
  • 65', Walton T. , Caton C. ,
  • 73', 1 - 2, Caton C. , Heath I. (A),
  • 79', Brown C. , Love D. ,
  • 79', Mendez-Laing N. , Maguire L. ,
  • 79', Lemonheigh-Evans C. , Hogan S. ,
  • 83', Woods J. , Henderson A. ,
  • 87', Crowley D. , Thompson-Sommers K. ,
  • 87', Hepburn-Murphy R. , Leko J. ,
  • 90+5', Gilbey A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Offord L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
57.3%
Draw
23.8%
Accrington Stanley
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 22.9% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 22% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.52)
    4.14
    (4.1)
    5.28
    (6.05)
    -1.4%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 3.
    • MK Dons has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Accrington has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G. (Injury) Tomlinson J. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Thompson N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C. (Injury) Rawson F. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0
    22.10.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    10.02.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    21.10.2023 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0
    18.03.2023 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League