Milton Keynes Dons vs Barrow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two
Football English League Two Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow
Result
0:3
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.472.14
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
88% (536/611)78% (249/321)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.472.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.951.87
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2914
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
88% (536/611)78% (249/321)
Long passes
36% (15/42)41% (29/70)
Passes in final third
70% (125/178)62% (58/93)
Crosses
36% (8/22)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.581.01
Fouls
1411
Tackles
78% (7/9)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4043
Clearances Total
1026
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
1.870.95
Goals prevented
-1.130.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Pressley A. ⚽, Mahoney C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', 0 - 2, Pressley A. ⚽, Fletcher I. (A),
  • 59', Offord L. 🟨,
  • 68', Tomlinson J. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
  • 68', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
  • 69', Fletcher I. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
  • 69', Foley S. ↓, Barnes S. ↑,
  • 69', Mahoney C. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
  • 70', Pressley A. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
  • 77', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
  • 78', O'Reilly T. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
  • 89', Leko J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 3, Smith T. ⚽, Whitfield B. (A),
  • 90+6', Campbell D. ↓, Kouyate K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
38.8%		Draw
28.4%		Barrow
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 28.3% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 29.6% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
    •

    Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.46 ↑
    (2.24)    		 3.3 ↓
    (3.31)    		 2.84 ↓
    (3.13)    		 6.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Barrow will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 11.9% – 76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 50%). Barrow (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 16).
    • MK Dons is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Barrow is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Barrow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently MK Dons have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Hendry C. (Injury) Patterson T. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury) White J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Barrow: Duru L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Barrow: Spence K. (Injury) Vassell T. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1
    03.02.2024 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0
    14.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 2:2
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    02.04.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town 2:4 ✺
    25.03.2025 Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons 2:2 ✺
    22.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Barrow
    01.04.2025 Barrow - Salford City 1:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Barrow - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺
    25.03.2025 Port Vale - Barrow 0:1 ✺
    22.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Barrow 2:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2 ✺
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colchester00000:000
    2Bristol Rovers00000:000
    3Cheltenham00000:000
    4Crewe00000:000
    5Gillingham00000:000
    6Oldham00000:000
    7Swindon00000:000
    8Tranmere00000:000
    9Walsall00000:000
    10Accrington00000:000
    11Barnet00000:000
    12Chesterfield00000:000
    13Grimsby00000:000
    14MK Dons00000:000
    15Notts Co00000:000
    16Shrewsbury00000:000
    17Cambridge Utd00000:000
    18Crawley00000:000
    19Barrow00000:000
    20Bromley00000:000
    21Newport00000:000
    22Harrogate00000:000
    23Fleetwood00000:000
    24Salford00000:000

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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