Milton Keynes Dons vs Barrow: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadium MK (Milton Keynes).

: League Two - Round 41
Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	2.14
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
88% (536/611)	78% (249/321)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	2.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.95	1.87
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
14	6
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
29	14
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
11	14
Passes
88% (536/611)	78% (249/321)
Long passes
36% (15/42)	41% (29/70)
Passes in final third
70% (125/178)	62% (58/93)
Crosses
36% (8/22)	47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.58	1.01
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
78% (7/9)	86% (12/14)
Duels won
40	43
Clearances Total
10	26
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	7
xGOT faced
1.87	0.95
Goals prevented
-1.13	0.95

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Pressley A. ⚽, Mahoney C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, Pressley A. ⚽, Fletcher I. (A),
59', Offord L. 🟨,
68', Tomlinson J. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
68', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
69', Fletcher I. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
69', Foley S. ↓, Barnes S. ↑,
69', Mahoney C. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
70', Pressley A. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
77', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
78', O'Reilly T. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
89', Leko J. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 3, Smith T. ⚽, Whitfield B. (A),
90+6', Campbell D. ↓, Kouyate K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Milton Keynes Dons
38.8%

Draw
28.4%

Barrow
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.24)	3.3 ↓ (3.31)	2.84 ↓ (3.13)	6.2% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Barrow will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 50%). Barrow (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 16).
MK Dons is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Barrow is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Barrow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently MK Dons have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in MK Dons: Hendry C. (Injury) Patterson T. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury) White J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Barrow: Duru L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barrow: Spence K. (Injury) Vassell T. (Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Barrow?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Barrow has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow were as follows:

11.02.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1

03.02.2024 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0

14.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 2:2

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

02.04.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town 2:4 ✺

25.03.2025 Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons 2:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Barrow

01.04.2025 Barrow - Salford City 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Barrow - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺

25.03.2025 Port Vale - Barrow 0:1 ✺

22.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Barrow 2:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: