Result
0:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 2
- Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (196/308) | 70% (246/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (196/308) | 70% (246/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (27/75) | 29% (23/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (70/119) | 52% (68/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 8% (2/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.66 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
- 29', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
- 35', Jackson B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 56', Jones G. 🟨,
- 58', Barkhuizen T. 🟨,
- 59', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 62', Harper R. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
- 63', Fletcher I. 🟨,
- 73', 0 - 1, Gilbey A. ⚽,
- 77', Newby E. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
- 78', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Ekpiteta M. ↑,
- 79', Kelly L. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Paterson C. ⚽,
- 87', Smith S. ↓, Earing J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barrow
34.6% | Draw
30% | Milton Keynes Dons
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.36) |
3.12 ↓
(3.29) |
2.64 ↓
(2.94) |
7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 25%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Barrow have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- MK Dons has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Crowley D.
(Inactive)
Hogan S.
(Injury)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Sherring S.
(Inactive)
Thompson N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Williams M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Barrow has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Barrow?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
05.04.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Barrow
0:3
11.02.2025
Barrow
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
03.02.2024
Barrow
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
14.10.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Barrow
2:2
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
