Result
0:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 2
- Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.35 | 0.95 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
64% (196/308) | 70% (246/352) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.35 | 0.95 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 1.34 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
64% (196/308) | 70% (246/352) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (27/75) | 29% (23/79) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (70/119) | 52% (68/130) |
Crosses |
---|
6% (1/16) | 8% (2/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.51 | 0.56 |
Throw-ins |
---|
32 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
70% (7/10) | 54% (13/24) |
Duels won |
---|
70 | 76 |
Clearances |
---|
42 | 43 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.34 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.66 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
- 29', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
- 35', Jackson B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 56', Jones G. 🟨,
- 58', Barkhuizen T. 🟨,
- 59', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 62', Harper R. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
- 63', Fletcher I. 🟨,
- 73', 0 - 1, Gilbey A. ⚽,
- 77', Newby E. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
- 78', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Ekpiteta M. ↑,
- 79', Kelly L. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Paterson C. ⚽,
- 87', Smith S. ↓, Earing J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barrow 34.6% | Draw 30% | Milton Keynes Dons 35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.7 ↑ (2.36) |
3.12 ↓ (3.29) |
2.64 ↓ (2.94) |
7% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 25%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Barrow have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- MK Dons has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Crowley D.
(Inactive)
Hogan S.
(Injury)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Sherring S.
(Inactive)
Thompson N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Williams M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Barrow has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Barrow?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
05.04.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Barrow
0:3
11.02.2025
Barrow
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
03.02.2024
Barrow
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
14.10.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Barrow
2:2
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gillingham | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
2 | Swindon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
4 | Grimsby | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
5 | Bromley | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Crewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
7 | Chesterfield | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Salford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
9 | MK Dons | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
10 | Notts Co | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
11 | Fleetwood | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
12 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
15 | Harrogate | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
16 | Colchester | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
17 | Oldham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
18 | Barnet | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
19 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
20 | Crawley | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
21 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
22 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Cheltenham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Accrington | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League