Milton Keynes Dons vs Barrow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadium MK (Milton Keynes).

League Two - Round 41
Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.97	0.14
Ball possession
69%	31%
Total shots
17	5
Shots on target
6	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
6	1
Passes
81% (391/485)	53% (121/228)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.97	0.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.62	0.00
Total shots
17	5
Shots on target
6	0
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked shots
7	3
Shots inside the box
13	1
Shots outside the box
4	4
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
46	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
8	1
Free kicks
13	16
Passes
81% (391/485)	53% (121/228)
Long passes
47% (31/66)	25% (20/79)
Passes in final third
65% (110/169)	38% (34/89)
Crosses
25% (11/44)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.06
Throw ins
23	13
Fouls
16	13
Tackles
40% (4/10)	45% (5/11)
Duels won
70	60
Clearances
22	48
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.00	0.62
Goals prevented
0.00	0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Earing J. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
34', Harper R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mellish J. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
60', Mahoney C. ↓, McCann C. ↑,
72', Sanders J. 🟨,
76', Jackson B. 🟨,
78', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
78', Paterson C. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
78', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
81', Rose D. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
81', Gordon J. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
85', Shipley L. 🟨,
86', Crowley D. 🟨,
90+4', Wiles B. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Milton Keynes Dons
66.3%

Draw
21.5%

Barrow
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

22.4%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

21.3%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)	4.34 ↑ (4.15)	7.55 ↑ (6.47)	7% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 35.9% – 97.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
MK Dons has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Barrow is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, MK Dons is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in MK Dons: Offord L. (Red Card) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F. (Injury) Hemmings K. (Injury) Raglan C. (Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W. (Hamstring Injury) Lemonheigh-Evans C. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive) Matete J. (Hamstring Injury) Paterson C. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Barrow: Whitfield B. (Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Barrow?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Barrow has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow were as follows:

09.08.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2

05.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 0:3

11.02.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1

03.02.2024 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0

14.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 2:2

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

28.03.2026 Salford City - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Barnet 1:3 ✺

18.03.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2 ✺

10.03.2026 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 1:5 ✺

Latest results of Barrow

28.03.2026 Barrow - Bromley 2:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Grimsby Town - Barrow 5:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Salford City - Barrow 3:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Barrow - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Barrow - Bristol Rovers 0:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League