Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Holker Street (Barrow in Furness).

League Two - Round 2
Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.35	0.95
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
7	11
Shots on target
0	4
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	5
Passes
64% (196/308)	70% (246/352)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35	0.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	1.34
Total shots
7	11
Shots on target
0	4
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
3	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
16	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
10	18
Passes
64% (196/308)	70% (246/352)
Long passes
36% (27/75)	29% (23/79)
Passes in final third
59% (70/119)	52% (68/130)
Crosses
6% (1/16)	8% (2/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	0.56
Throw-ins
32	19
Fouls
19	12
Tackles
70% (7/10)	54% (13/24)
Duels won
70	76
Clearances
42	43
Interceptions
7	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.34	0.00
Goals prevented
-0.66	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
29', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
35', Jackson B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Jones G. 🟨,
58', Barkhuizen T. 🟨,
59', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
62', Harper R. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
63', Fletcher I. 🟨,
73', 0 - 1, Gilbey A. ⚽,
77', Newby E. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
78', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Ekpiteta M. ↑,
79', Kelly L. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Paterson C. ⚽,
87', Smith S. ↓, Earing J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barrow
34.6%

Draw
30%

Milton Keynes Dons
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.5%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.5%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.36)	3.12 ↓ (3.29)	2.64 ↓ (2.94)	7% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 25%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 4% – 71%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Recent performances by Barrow have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
MK Dons has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M. (Inactive)
There will not play in MK Dons: Crowley D. (Inactive) Hogan S. (Injury) Maguire L. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barrow: Williams M. (Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Barrow has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Barrow?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

05.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 0:3

11.02.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1

03.02.2024 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0

14.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 2:2

Latest results of Barrow

02.08.2025 Chesterfield - Barrow 1:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Barrow - Rochdale 1:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Tamworth - Barrow 0:2 ✺

15.07.2025 Barrow - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Lancaster City - Barrow 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

02.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 0:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Stevenage Borough - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Peterborough United 1:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Wealdstone - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 3:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League