Result
0:0
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (391/485) | 53% (121/228) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (391/485) | 53% (121/228) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 25% (20/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (110/169) | 38% (34/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (11/44) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Earing J. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
- 34', Harper R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mellish J. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 60', Mahoney C. ↓, McCann C. ↑,
- 72', Sanders J. 🟨,
- 76', Jackson B. 🟨,
- 78', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 78', Paterson C. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
- 78', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
- 81', Rose D. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
- 81', Gordon J. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
- 85', Shipley L. 🟨,
- 86', Crowley D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Wiles B. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons 66.3% | Draw 21.5% | Barrow 12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↓ (1.47) |
4.34 ↑ (4.15) |
7.55 ↑ (6.47) |
7% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- MK Dons has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Barrow is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, MK Dons is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Offord L.
(Red Card)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F.
(Injury)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Raglan C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lemonheigh-Evans C.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Matete J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Paterson C.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Whitfield B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Barrow?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Barrow has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow were as follows:
09.08.2025
Barrow
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:2
05.04.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Barrow
0:3
11.02.2025
Barrow
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
03.02.2024
Barrow
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
14.10.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Barrow
2:2
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One