Result
2:2
04/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 25
- Referee: Miller A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (176/261) | 83% (447/539) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (176/261) | 83% (447/539) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/63) | 49% (35/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (46/81) | 74% (117/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 12% (4/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', Lewis A. 🟨,
- 26', Nemane A. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽, Nemane A. (A),
- 31', Donacien J. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
- 44', 2 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Mellish J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Lewis A. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
- 54', Sanders J. 🟨,
- 58', Mellish J. 🟨,
- 66', Darcy R. ↓, Ladapo F. ↑,
- 66', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Curtis S. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
- 70', Crowley D. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 71', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 76', Mellish J. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
- 76', Curtis S. ↓, Daley-Campbell V. ↑,
- 79', Kelly L. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Grigg W. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
- 90+4', Grigg W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
51.8% | Draw
25.9% | Chesterfield
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.84) |
3.62 ↑
(3.43) |
4.13 ↑
(3.93) |
7.1%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 50%). Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
- MK Dons has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chesterfield is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, MK Dons is the team to beat.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Tomlinson J.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Dobra A.
(Inactive)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
Markanday D.
(Inactive)
McFadzean K.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M.
(Knee Injury)
Dunkley C.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Inactive)
Grimes J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Chesterfield?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Chesterfield were as follows:
13.09.2025
Chesterfield
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:1
01.01.2025
Chesterfield
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:2
03.12.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Chesterfield
3:0
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
