Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 8
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (341/427) | 67% (218/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (341/427) | 67% (218/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (23/64) | 33% (26/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (89/129) | 48% (56/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
- 35', Crowley D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
- 62', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
- 63', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
- 63', Daley-Campbell V. ↓, Tanton D. ↑,
- 65', Dobra A. 🟨,
- 65', Hepburn-Murphy R. 🟨,
- 68', Gilbey A. 🟨,
- 74', Crowley D. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
- 78', Markanday D. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
- 78', Darcy R. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
- 83', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Naylor T. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
- 87', 🟨,
- 90+2', Dobra A. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chesterfield
34.9% | Draw
29.4% | Milton Keynes Dons
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chesterfield's form might have worsened.Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milton Keynes Dons's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesterfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.07) |
3.4 ↑
(3.36) |
2.75 ↓
(3.36) |
-0.4%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.
- Chesterfield is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of away games.
- Chesterfield will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G.
(Injury)
Maguire L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mellish J.
(Red Card)
Tomlinson J.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Berry-McNally J.
(Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Chesterfield?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
01.01.2025
Chesterfield
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:2
03.12.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Chesterfield
3:0
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
