Chesterfield vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield).

League Two - Round 8
Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.50	0.37
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
11	4
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
80% (341/427)	67% (218/324)
Yellow Cards
1	5
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50	0.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.56	0.14
Total shots
11	4
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
2	0
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
3	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
19	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
15	9
Passes
80% (341/427)	67% (218/324)
Long passes
36% (23/64)	33% (26/80)
Passes in final third
69% (89/129)	48% (56/117)
Crosses
21% (6/29)	27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.54	0.90
Throw-ins
30	20
Fouls
9	16
Tackles
67% (8/12)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
45	56
Clearances
38	33
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.14	0.56
Goals prevented
-0.86	-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
35', Crowley D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
62', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
63', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
63', Daley-Campbell V. ↓, Tanton D. ↑,
65', Dobra A. 🟨,
65', Hepburn-Murphy R. 🟨,
68', Gilbey A. 🟨,
74', Crowley D. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
78', Markanday D. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
78', Darcy R. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
83', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Naylor T. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
87', 🟨,
90+2', Dobra A. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Chesterfield
34.9%

Draw
29.4%

Milton Keynes Dons
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.2%

28%

Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.07)	3.4 ↑ (3.36)	2.75 ↓ (3.36)	-0.4% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.
Chesterfield is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of away games.
Chesterfield will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L. (Foot Injury) Dibley-Dias M. (Injury) Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G. (Injury) Maguire L. (Hamstring Injury) Mellish J. (Red Card) Tomlinson J. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Berry-McNally J. (Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Chesterfield?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

01.01.2025 Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2

03.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Chesterfield 3:0

Latest results of Chesterfield

06.09.2025 Walsall - Chesterfield 1:0 ✺

02.09.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Chesterfield 7:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Chesterfield - Crawley Town 2:2 ✺

23.08.2025 Harrogate Town - Chesterfield 1:2 ✺

19.08.2025 Gillingham - Chesterfield 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

06.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 2:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Walsall 0:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2 ✺

19.08.2025 Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 5:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	18	11	2	5	28:18	10	35
2	Swindon	18	10	4	4	31:24	7	34
3	MK Dons	18	9	5	4	35:20	15	32
4	Notts Co	18	9	4	5	30:20	10	31
5	Bromley	18	8	6	4	28:22	6	30
6	Gillingham	19	7	8	4	26:20	6	29
7	Cambridge Utd	18	8	5	5	20:16	4	29
8	Salford	18	9	2	7	24:25	-1	29
9	Colchester	19	7	7	5	28:21	7	28
10	Chesterfield	18	7	7	4	32:29	3	28
11	Crewe	18	8	3	7	27:24	3	27
12	Grimsby	18	7	5	6	32:25	7	26
13	Fleetwood	18	7	5	6	27:26	1	26
14	Barnet	18	6	7	5	22:19	3	25
15	Tranmere	18	5	8	5	30:27	3	23
16	Oldham	18	5	8	5	16:13	3	23
17	Accrington	18	5	6	7	21:22	-1	21
18	Barrow	18	5	5	8	18:23	-5	20
19	Crawley	18	4	5	9	22:30	-8	17
20	Shrewsbury	18	4	5	9	18:31	-13	17
21	Bristol Rovers	18	5	2	11	15:31	-16	17
22	Cheltenham	18	5	2	11	14:32	-18	17
23	Harrogate	18	4	4	10	17:28	-11	16
24	Newport	18	3	3	12	18:33	-15	12

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League