Result
2:1
29/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 18
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (231/340) | 67% (222/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (231/340) | 67% (222/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (23/68) | 35% (27/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (75/129) | 51% (61/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (8/35) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Mendez-Laing N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Ekpiteta M. 🟨,
- 61', Ennis E. ↓, Medley Z. ↑,
- 61', Coughlan R. ↓, Graydon R. ↑,
- 62', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 0, Nemane A. ⚽,
- 70', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
- 70', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
- 70', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 70', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Bonds E. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Evans C. ⚽, Graydon R. (A),
- 82', Tomlinson J. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
- 85', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons 54.5% | Draw 24.7% | Fleetwood Town 20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↓ (1.82) |
3.82 ↑ (3.76) |
4.46 ↑ (3.84) |
6.5% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 0.
- MK Dons has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fleetwood is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, MK Dons is the team to beat.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Leko J.
(Red Card)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Red Card)
Davies J.
(Inactive)
Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Suspended)
Potter F.
(Inactive)
Roberts L.
(Inactive)
Rooney S.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hogan S.
(Inactive)
Lemonheigh-Evans C.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Graydon R.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Fleetwood Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Fleetwood Town has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
29.03.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Fleetwood Town
2:4
21.01.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
22.04.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
10.12.2022
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Fleetwood Town
1:2
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 30:19 | 11 | 39 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 35:22 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Swindon | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 34:25 | 9 | 37 |
| 4 | Bromley | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 32:23 | 9 | 36 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38:24 | 14 | 33 |
| 6 | Salford | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 36:31 | 5 | 32 |
| 8 | Crewe | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 31 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 30 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 30 |
| 12 | Colchester | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
| 13 | Barnet | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 28 |
| 14 | Grimsby | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 27 |
| 15 | Tranmere | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 26 |
| 16 | Oldham | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 24 |
| 17 | Accrington | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 24 |
| 18 | Barrow | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 21 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 16:33 | -17 | 21 |
| 20 | Shrewsbury | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
| 21 | Crawley | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 22 | Harrogate | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18:31 | -13 | 17 |
| 23 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 15:38 | -23 | 17 |
| 24 | Newport | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 13 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League