Result
2:4
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (555/645) | 79% (319/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 3.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (555/645) | 79% (319/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (13/49) | 40% (27/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (138/191) | 61% (47/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/24) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.93 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 42 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.08 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Neal H. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Orsi-Dadomo D. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Virtue-Thick M. ⚽, Rooney S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 49', 1 - 2, Bolton J. ⚽,
- 59', 1 - 3, Marsh L. ⚽, Patterson P. (A),
- 61', Nemane A. ↓, O'Reilly T. ↑,
- 61', Kelly L. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 66', Rooney S. 🟨,
- 70', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 70', Crowley D. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 4, Devonport O. ⚽, Rooney S. (A),
- 76', Marsh L. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
- 79', Neal H. ↓, Potter F. ↑,
- 79', Rooney S. ↓, Hunt M. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 4, Hogan S. ⚽, Maguire L. (A),
- 86', Patterson P. ↓, Cover B. ↑,
- 86', Devonport O. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
43% | Draw
28.4% | Fleetwood Town
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milton Keynes Dons's performance.Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fleetwood Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milton Keynes Dons that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fleetwood Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.6) |
3.31 ↑
(3.25) |
3.27 ↑
(2.64) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 17 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 0.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Fleetwood could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently MK Dons have a series of guest games.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Patterson T.
(Inactive)
Sherring S.
(Inactive)
Thompson N.
(Knee Injury)
Williams J.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Holgate H.
(Knee Injury)
Medley Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Graydon R.
(Injury)
Harrington D.
(Injury)
Rooney S.
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:16 (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Fleetwood Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Fleetwood Town has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
21.01.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
22.04.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
10.12.2022
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Fleetwood Town
1:2
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Fleetwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Salford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 24 | Crawley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
