Result
2:1
29/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 18
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (231/340) | 67% (222/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (231/340) | 67% (222/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (23/68) | 35% (27/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (75/129) | 51% (61/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (8/35) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Mendez-Laing N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Ekpiteta M. 🟨,
- 61', Ennis E. ↓, Medley Z. ↑,
- 61', Coughlan R. ↓, Graydon R. ↑,
- 62', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 0, Nemane A. ⚽,
- 70', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
- 70', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
- 70', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 70', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Bonds E. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Evans C. ⚽, Graydon R. (A),
- 82', Tomlinson J. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
- 85', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
54.5% | Draw
24.7% | Fleetwood Town
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.82) |
3.82 ↑
(3.76) |
4.46 ↑
(3.84) |
6.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - MK Dons (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 0.
- MK Dons has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fleetwood is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, MK Dons is the team to beat.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Leko J.
(Red Card)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Red Card)
Davies J.
(Inactive)
Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Suspended)
Potter F.
(Inactive)
Roberts L.
(Inactive)
Rooney S.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hogan S.
(Inactive)
Lemonheigh-Evans C.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Graydon R.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Fleetwood Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Fleetwood Town has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
29.03.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Fleetwood Town
2:4
21.01.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
22.04.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
10.12.2022
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Fleetwood Town
1:2
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 56:34 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62:33 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 52:32 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Swindon | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 52:43 | 9 | 53 |
| 8 | Salford | 32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 45:43 | 2 | 52 |
| 9 | Barnet | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Walsall | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Colchester | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 48:34 | 14 | 49 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 44 |
| 15 | Oldham | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 42 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:52 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | -12 | 35 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 33:54 | -21 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 32:56 | -24 | 30 |
| 21 | Crawley | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:51 | -27 | 26 |
| 24 | Newport | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
