Milton Keynes Dons vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
29/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 18
  • Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.520.33
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
68% (231/340)67% (222/333)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.520.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.880.92
Total shots
198
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2915
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
68% (231/340)67% (222/333)
Long passes
34% (23/68)35% (27/77)
Passes in final third
58% (75/129)51% (61/119)
Crosses
23% (8/35)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.32
Throw-ins
2826
Fouls
1314
Tackles
63% (5/8)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5865
Clearances
4647
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.921.88
Goals prevented
-0.08-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Mendez-Laing N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Ekpiteta M. 🟨,
  • 61', Ennis E. , Medley Z. ,
  • 61', Coughlan R. , Graydon R. ,
  • 62', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Nemane A. ,
  • 70', Mendez-Laing N. , Collins A. ,
  • 70', Nemane A. , Jones G. ,
  • 70', Davies W. , Evans C. ,
  • 70', Virtue-Thick M. , Bonds E. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Evans C. , Graydon R. (A),
  • 82', Tomlinson J. , Mellish J. ,
  • 85', Thompson-Sommers K. , Collar W. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
54.5%
Draw
24.7%
Fleetwood Town
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 24.7% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 25.5% 23.4%

Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.73
(1.82)
3.82
(3.76)
4.46
(3.84)
6.5%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - MK Dons (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 0.
    • MK Dons has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fleetwood is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, MK Dons is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R. (Hamstring Injury) Leko J. (Red Card) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Red Card) Davies J. (Inactive) Hume D. (Inactive) Johnson W. (Inactive) Norwood J. (Suspended) Potter F. (Inactive) Roberts L. (Inactive) Rooney S. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A. (Hamstring Injury) Hogan S. (Inactive) Lemonheigh-Evans C. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fleetwood: Graydon R. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town 2:4
    21.01.2025 Fleetwood Town - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1
    22.04.2023 Fleetwood Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0
    10.12.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town 1:2
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley29178452:312159
    2Notts Co29166744:291554
    3Cambridge Utd28158538:221653
    4Swindon29164947:341352
    5Salford29164941:35652
    6MK Dons29149656:312551
    7Walsall29147837:28949
    8Chesterfield291112646:39745
    9Grimsby28128841:32944
    10Crewe301281046:38844
    11Barnet291110837:30743
    12Accrington291271035:30543
    13Colchester28119841:311042
    14Gillingham28911838:35338
    15Fleetwood281071137:37037
    16Oldham27811828:26235
    17Tranmere29881342:49-732
    18Cheltenham28931627:48-2130
    19Bristol Rovers29831826:47-2127
    20Crawley29681532:47-1526
    21Barrow27661528:42-1424
    22Shrewsbury28581523:47-2423
    23Newport28551829:54-2520
    24Harrogate30462020:49-2918

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League