Result
3:0
25/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 45
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (294/361) | 71% (228/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (294/361) | 71% (228/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (25/53) | 23% (13/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (71/109) | 50% (52/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -1.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Mendez-Laing N. ⚽,
- 21', 2 - 0, Gilbey A. ⚽, Mendez-Laing N. (A),
- 38', Patrick O. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Woolery K. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
- 66', Finley S. 🟨,
- 70', Plant J. ↓, Bristow E. ↑,
- 72', Jones G. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 73', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
- 77', Bristow E. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
- 79', Finley S. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
- 80', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 88', Paterson C. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 88', Wiles B. ↓, Offord L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
66.9% | Draw
20.9% | Tranmere Rovers
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-3%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Tranmere Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.3) |
4.46 ↓
(4.9) |
7.68 ↓
(9.45) |
6.9%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Tranmere Rovers?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Tranmere will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 80.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milton Keynes Dons will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
- Recent performances by MK Dons have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tranmere's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, MK Dons is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Knee Injury)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Murphy J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Hamstring Injury)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Matete J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Tranmere Rovers?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Tranmere Rovers has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
22.11.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:2
15.02.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:1
05.10.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:1
13.01.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:2
12.08.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:0
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
