Mineros de Fresnillo vs Alacranes de Durango – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:6
22/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 14', 0 - 1, ,
  • 20', 0 - 2, ,
  • 40', 1 - 2, ,
  • 45+4', 1 - 3, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 71', 1 - 4, ,
  • 75', 1 - 5, ,
  • 86', 1 - 6, ,

Chances of winning


Mineros de Fresnillo
8.4%
Draw
15%
Alacranes de Durango
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.2% 22.9% 59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7% 22.3% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mineros de Fresnillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mineros de Fresnillo's form might have worsened.
  • Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alacranes de Durango's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mineros de Fresnillo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alacranes de Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    12.25
    (5.03)
    6.87
    (4)
    1.34
    (1.55)
    -2.6%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Alacranes de Durango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Alacranes de Durango is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:27. (average 1:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango were as follows:
    17.02.2025 Alacranes de Durango - Mineros de Fresnillo 4:2
    11.10.2024 Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango 2:3
    19.04.2024 Alacranes de Durango - Mineros de Fresnillo 4:1
    17.11.2023 Mineros de Fresnillo - Alacranes de Durango 1:0
    Latest results of Mineros de Fresnillo
    Latest results of Alacranes de Durango
    Draw
    Reserves - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Cimarrones de SonoraMineros de Fresnillo1 : 1
    2Leones Negros 2Celaya

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2