Mineros de Fresnillo vs Cimarrones de Sonora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Reserves - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Mineros de Fresnillo
27.9%
Draw
27.5%
Cimarrones de Sonora
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 24.6% 50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 23.9% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cimarrones de Sonora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cimarrones de Sonora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (3.75)
    3.31
    (3.75)
    2.04
    (1.81)
    9.7%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Cimarrones de Sonora is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Fresnillo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora were as follows:
    24.01.2026 Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora 2:3
    05.09.2025 Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Fresnillo 1:0
    21.03.2025 Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Fresnillo 3:0
    09.11.2024 Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora 0:3
    Latest results of Mineros de Fresnillo
    Latest results of Cimarrones de Sonora
    Draw
    Reserves - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Cimarrones de SonoraMineros de Fresnillo
    2Leones Negros 2Celaya

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2