Cimarrones de Sonora vs Mineros de Fresnillo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Reserves - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • (1 - 1)

Chances of winning


Cimarrones de Sonora
69.8%
Draw
18.8%
Mineros de Fresnillo
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 22.2% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 21.6% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cimarrones de Sonora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cimarrones de Sonora's performance.
  • Mineros de Fresnillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mineros de Fresnillo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cimarrones de Sonora that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mineros de Fresnillo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Fresnillo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.52)
    4.84
    (4.16)
    7.99
    (5.35)
    10%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Cimarrones de Sonora is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cimarrones de Sonora won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cimarrones de Sonora won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Fresnillo were as follows:
    15.04.2026 Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora 1:1
    24.01.2026 Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora 2:3
    05.09.2025 Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Fresnillo 1:0
    21.03.2025 Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Fresnillo 3:0
    09.11.2024 Mineros de Fresnillo - Cimarrones de Sonora 0:3
    Latest results of Cimarrones de Sonora
    Latest results of Mineros de Fresnillo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Racing de VeracruzBye
    2Tigres de AlicaHalcones2 : 1, 0 : 2
    3Alacranes de DurangoBye
    4SantiagoZacatepec2 : 3, 1 : 1
    5Deportiva VenadosClub Calor2 : 1, 1 : 0
    6TapachulaTritones Vallarta1 : 1, 0 : 1
    7ApodacaBye
    8TecosInter Playa Del Carmen0 : 0, 0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Racing de VeracruzHalcones0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Alacranes de DurangoZacatepec1 : 1, 2 : 2
    3Deportiva VenadosTritones Vallarta1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ApodacaInter Playa Del Carmen3 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1HalconesAlacranes de Durango1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Deportiva VenadosApodaca4 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Alacranes de DurangoDeportiva Venados