Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 88', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Mineros de Fresnillo
28.8% | Draw
27.5% | Tigres de Álica
43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Tigres de Álica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres de Álica than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigres de Álica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↓
(3.4) |
3.31 ↑
(3.25) |
2.09 ↑
(1.93) |
9.8%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
- In recent matches, Mineros de Fresnillo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tigres de Álica is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tigres de Álica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tigres de Álica has had a series of home games.
- Tigres de Álica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Mineros de Fresnillo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mineros de Fresnillo won against Tigres de Álica?
Mineros de Fresnillo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres de Álica won against Mineros de Fresnillo?
Tigres de Álica has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica were as follows:
13.10.2025
Tigres de Álica
-
Mineros de Fresnillo
0:1
18.01.2025
Tigres de Álica
-
Mineros de Fresnillo
1:0
14.09.2024
Mineros de Fresnillo
-
Tigres de Álica
0:1
Latest results of Mineros de Fresnillo
Latest results of Tigres de Álica
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | WO | D | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango ✔ | 20 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 54:14 | 57 |
| 2 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 21 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 36:15 | 43 |
| 3 | Tigres de Alica | 21 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 37:20 | 43 |
| 4 | Tecos | 20 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 44:28 | 43 |
| 5 | Leones Negros 2 | 21 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 34:21 | 40 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 36 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 21 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 8 | Los Cabos | 20 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 30:31 | 29 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 20 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 32:33 | 27 |
| 10 | Ensenada FC | 21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 22:39 | 25 |
| 11 | UA Zacatecas | 19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 20 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 26:44 | 18 |
| 13 | ACF Zapotlanejo | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 29:57 | 14 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16:42 | 9 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | WO | D | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Apodaca ✔ | 21 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 40:17 | 54 |
| 2 | Santiago | 20 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 26:19 | 36 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 21 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19:10 | 35 |
| 4 | Halcones | 21 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 35:25 | 34 |
| 5 | Correcaminos 2 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20:15 | 32 |
| 6 | Club Calor | 19 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 25:22 | 31 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 21 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 8 | Matamoros | 20 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 22:17 | 29 |
| 9 | Cordobes FC | 21 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 23:22 | 25 |
| 10 | Chilpancingo | 21 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 27:34 | 25 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 21 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 18:26 | 23 |
| 12 | Canamy | 20 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26:34 | 21 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 21 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16:38 | 16 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 20 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 21:45 | 16 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | WO | D | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz ✔ | 19 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 39:7 | 57 |
| 2 | Celaya | 20 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 38:23 | 41 |
| 3 | Deportiva Venados | 19 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 45:21 | 37 |
| 4 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 29:22 | 35 |
| 5 | Chiapas | 19 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 30:22 | 32 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 27:28 | 29 |
| 8 | Tapachula | 19 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37:31 | 28 |
| 9 | Chapulineros | 19 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Heroes de Zaci | 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 21:34 | 21 |
| 11 | Neza FC | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 21:50 | 19 |
| 12 | Dragones Toluca | 20 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 17:38 | 13 |
| 13 | Canoneros | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13:39 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
Apodaca is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
