Tapatío vs Mineros de Zacatecas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
19/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Armenta J. E. H. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
45
Total shots
79
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Mazatan O. 🟨,
  • 5', 1 - 0, Moragrega V. ,
  • 29', Villaseca D. 🟨,
  • 32', Villacorta A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Munoz J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Garcia A. , Lopez F. ,
  • 46', Rios P. , Avila J. ,
  • 47', Moragrega V. 🟨,
  • 59', De Los Rios S. , Perez M. ,
  • 60', Zamora S. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Perez M. , Razo L. (A),
  • 68', Inda C. , Ledesma L. ,
  • 68', Castro A. , Latorre D. ,
  • 76', Jimenez L. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Perez M. ,
  • 80', Moragrega V. , Martinez R. ,
  • 80', Jimenez L. , Uribe J. ,
  • 80', Villaseca D. , Tellez B. ,
  • 81', Jimenez J. , Barajas V. ,
  • 82', 1 - 3, Perez M. ,
  • 85', 2 - 3, Ledesma L. (Pen),
  • 86', Mendoza A. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 90+3', Valenzuela J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tapatío
34.7%
Draw
27.4%
Mineros de Zacatecas
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 27.8% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 26.7% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Mineros de Zacatecas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.65)
    3.38
    (3.32)
    2.45
    (2.46)
    7.8%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 2.
    • Tapatío has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Mineros de Zacatecas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tapatío may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas 0:1
    06.09.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas - Tapatío 3:1
    18.01.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas - Tapatío 0:4
    07.09.2023 Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas 1:0
    19.04.2023 Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas 1:2
    Latest results of Tapatío
    27.09.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:0
    13.09.2025 Tlaxcala - Tapatío 1:0
    Latest results of Mineros de Zacatecas
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Morelia751111:3816
    2Tepatitlan de Morelos84318:4415
    3Tapatio742116:10614
    4Tlaxcala741211:9213
    5Cancun731310:8210
    6Atlante723210:739
    7Atletico La Paz62318:539
    8Irapuato730413:14-19
    9Alebrijes Oaxaca72329:10-19
    10Venados822416:17-18
    11Zacatecas Mineros72239:10-18
    12Leones Negros71338:13-56
    13Jaiba Brava62045:10-56
    14Correcaminos71336:12-66
    15Dorados de Sinaloa813411:19-86

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)