Result
03/05/2026 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Barba A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | AYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
50.8% | Draw
25.9% | Mineros de Zacatecas
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tepatitlán de Morelos's performance.Mineros de Zacatecas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mineros de Zacatecas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tepatitlán de Morelos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mineros de Zacatecas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Mineros de Zacatecas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.15) |
3.54 ↑
(3.3) |
3.93 ↑
(3.05) |
9.1%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Tepatitlán may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tepatitlán is a strong favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Mineros de Zacatecas?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mineros de Zacatecas won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Mineros de Zacatecas has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Mineros de Zacatecas were as follows:
30.04.2026
Mineros de Zacatecas
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:1
08.03.2026
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Mineros de Zacatecas
4:0
26.09.2025
Mineros de Zacatecas
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
3:3
19.04.2025
Mineros de Zacatecas
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:2
02.11.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Mineros de Zacatecas
1:1
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Mineros de Zacatecas
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Final
