Result
5:2
03/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Mustafayev E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 2)
- 50', 2 - 0, Kalunga K. ⚽,
- 55', 2 - 1, Zamanov E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', 3 - 1, Qarayev T. ⚽,
- 88', 4 - 1, Abba U. ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 2, Ebrahimzadeh A. ⚽,
- 90+5', 5 - 2, Qarayev T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mingachevir
33.2% | Draw
33% | Şəfa
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Şəfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Şəfa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şəfa than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Şəfa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mingachevir - Şəfa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↓
(3.15) |
2.9 ↓
(3.3) |
2.84 ↑
(2.12) |
4.2%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Mingachevir has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Şəfa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Şəfa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Mingachevir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Mingachevir won against Şəfa?
Mingachevir has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Şəfa won against Mingachevir?
Şəfa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mingachevir - Şəfa were as follows:
19.02.2026
Şəfa
-
Mingachevir
2:2
05.11.2025
Mingachevir
-
Şəfa
2:3
Latest results of Mingachevir
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 47:19 | 28 | 48 |
| 2 | Baku Sporting | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32:18 | 14 | 40 |
| 3 | Mingachevir | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 38:19 | 19 | 39 |
| 4 | Sabail | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 37 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:31 | -6 | 26 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Difai Agsu | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 25:49 | -24 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimal | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 18:53 | -35 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
