Minsk vs Smorgon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
24/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vysshaya Liga - Round 26
  • Referee: Shipitsa A. (Blr)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
110
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
110
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1522
Throw-ins
2832
Fouls
2114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Makas A. , Nazarenko P. (A),
  • 16', Dubinets I. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Yablonskiy M. , Dukso M. (A),
  • 42', Tishko A. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Varaksa V. ,
  • 45', Dorokhovich S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Chebotar V. , Budko M. ,
  • 46', Bamba L. , Tonkevich V. ,
  • 49', Tonkevich V. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 2, Budko M. , Dukso M. (A),
  • 58', Tishko A. , Levkovets A. ,
  • 67', Dubinets I. , Ernisov E. ,
  • 67', Nazarenko P. , Dikhtievskiy V. ,
  • 74', Yablonskiy M. , Diallo M. ,
  • 79', Migdalenok A. , Malitskiy K. ,
  • 79', Makas A. , Bondarenko M. ,
  • 83', Malitskiy K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Varaksa V. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bondarenko M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Minsk
49.1%
Draw
27.3%
Smorgon
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 26.5% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 25.5% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Minsk - Smorgon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.95)
    3.42
    (3.45)
    3.95
    (3.45)
    7.2%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Minsk - Smorgon?
  • Users Predictions: Minsk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 2.
    • Minsk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Smorgon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Minsk is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minsk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minsk - Smorgon were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Smorgon - Minsk 0:2
    18.08.2024 Smorgon - Minsk 1:1
    05.04.2024 Minsk - Smorgon 2:3
    05.11.2023 Smorgon - Minsk 0:0
    10.06.2023 Minsk - Smorgon 2:1
    Latest results of Minsk
    19.10.2025 ML Vitebsk - Minsk 4:1
    03.10.2025 Minsk - Dinamo Brest 1:0
    21.09.2025 Minsk - Slutsk 3:0
    14.09.2025 Minsk - Dinamo Minsk 2:1
    Latest results of Smorgon
    18.10.2025 Smorgon - BATE Borisov 1:0
    05.10.2025 Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon 3:1
    28.09.2025 Smorgon - Neman Grodno 1:0
    24.09.2025 Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk 1:2
    19.09.2025 Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon 0:1
    Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Isloch11002:023
    2Din. Minsk11002:113
    3Belshina11001:013
    4ML Vitebsk11001:013
    5FC Gomel10101:101
    6Vitebsk10101:101
    7FC Minsk10101:101
    8Arsenal Dzerzhinsk10101:101
    9BATE10100:001
    10Naftan10100:001
    11Neman10100:001
    12Dnepr Mogilev10100:001
    13Slavia Mozyr10011:2-10
    14Dynamo Brest10010:1-10
    15Zhodino10010:1-10
    16Baranovici10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga