Result
2:2
24/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 26
- Referee: Shipitsa A. (Blr)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Makas A. ⚽, Nazarenko P. (A),
- 16', Dubinets I. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Yablonskiy M. ⚽, Dukso M. (A),
- 42', Tishko A. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Varaksa V. ⚽,
- 45', Dorokhovich S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Chebotar V. ↓, Budko M. ↑,
- 46', Bamba L. ↓, Tonkevich V. ↑,
- 49', Tonkevich V. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 2, Budko M. ⚽, Dukso M. (A),
- 58', Tishko A. ↓, Levkovets A. ↑,
- 67', Dubinets I. ↓, Ernisov E. ↑,
- 67', Nazarenko P. ↓, Dikhtievskiy V. ↑,
- 74', Yablonskiy M. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
- 79', Migdalenok A. ↓, Malitskiy K. ↑,
- 79', Makas A. ↓, Bondarenko M. ↑,
- 83', Malitskiy K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Varaksa V. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bondarenko M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Minsk 49.1% | Draw 27.3% | Smorgon 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Minsk - Smorgon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↓ (1.95) |
3.42 ↓ (3.45) |
3.95 ↑ (3.45) |
7.2% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Minsk - Smorgon?
Users Predictions:
Minsk will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 2.
- Minsk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Smorgon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Minsk is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Minsk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Minsk won against Smorgon?
Minsk has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smorgon won against Minsk?
Smorgon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Minsk - Smorgon were as follows:
01.06.2025
Smorgon
-
Minsk
0:2
18.08.2024
Smorgon
-
Minsk
1:1
05.04.2024
Minsk
-
Smorgon
2:3
05.11.2023
Smorgon
-
Minsk
0:0
10.06.2023
Minsk
-
Smorgon
2:1
Latest results of Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 42:16 | 26 | 55 |
| 2 | Din. Minsk | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 45:25 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Slavia Mozyr | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Zhodino | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 44 |
| 5 | Dynamo Brest | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38:24 | 14 | 44 |
| 6 | Isloch | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 41:22 | 19 | 43 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Neman | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 34:25 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | BATE | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Gomel | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Vitebsk | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 27 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 | Naftan | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32:46 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21:38 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Slutsk | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 16:43 | -27 | 18 |
| 16 | Molodechno | 25 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 18:57 | -39 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga