Cerro vs Miramar Misiones – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
34
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
16
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
10
Total shots
34
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
02
Corner Kicks
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Morales B. ,
  • 30', Villar M. 🟨,
  • 30', Diaz O. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Caceres S. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sosa A. , Da Silva S. ,
  • 46', Ocampo M. , Cuello E. ,
  • 46', Nunez D. , Roldan M. ,
  • 54', Morales B. 🟨,
  • 57', Morales B. , Camacho S. ,
  • 61', Pandiani A. , Crisafi J. F. ,
  • 61', Diaz O. , Lopez S. ,
  • 66', Gomez M. , Tirado F. ,
  • 71', Bacchia R. 🟨,
  • 72', Paiva S. , Miranda A. ,
  • 78', Ayala J. 🟨,
  • 85', Ramirez G. 🟨,
  • 85', Neira I. , Farias M. ,
  • 89', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 89', Roldan M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Lopez S. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cerro
39.4%
Draw
30.4%
Miramar Misiones
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 28.8% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 27.4% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miramar Misiones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cerro - Miramar Misiones Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.54)
    3.23
    (3.25)
    3.34
    (2.71)
    1.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Cerro - Miramar Misiones?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Cerro (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Miramar Misiones were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Miramar Misiones - Cerro 1:1
    05.10.2024 Cerro - Miramar Misiones 0:1
    14.06.2024 Miramar Misiones - Cerro 1:0
    31.03.2024 Miramar Misiones - Cerro 2:2
    08.10.2022 Cerro - Miramar Misiones 1:3
    Latest results of Cerro
    14.09.2025 Danubio - Cerro 5:1
    07.09.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 0:1
    17.08.2025 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 0:2
    Latest results of Miramar Misiones
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1393122:111130
    2Maldonado1372421:15623
    3Penarol1372419:13623
    4Albion1364322:14822
    5Central Esp1363420:20021
    6Defensor Sp1355311:8320
    7Montevideo City1354419:14519
    8Nacional1361620:18219
    9Danubio1346317:17018
    10Liverpool M1345417:17017
    11Wanderers1352614:19-517
    12Cerro Largo1342713:16-314
    13Boston River1342711:17-614
    14Progreso1324711:20-910
    15CA Cerro132478:19-1110
    16Juventud1323813:20-79

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