Mirassol vs EC Noroeste – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Mirassol - EC Noroeste
Result
1:1
08/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 8
  • Referee: Araujo V. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilBrasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.960.36
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
185
Shots on Goal
51
Shots off Goal
112
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
93
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Free Kicks
98
Offsides
10
Fouls
89
Throw-ins
1618
Touches in the Opposition Box
306
Passes
87% (426/491)74% (228/310)
Passes in the final third
76% (152/200)61% (37/61)
Crosses
25% (11/44)10% (1/10)
Tackles
63% (5/8)53% (8/15)
Clearances Total
1833
Interceptions
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Thiago Lopes , Adriano Filho ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Chico Kim , Clayson ,
  • 58', Gabriel , Diego Goncalves ,
  • 65', Cicinho , Felipe Rodrigues ,
  • 72', Negueba , Leo Gamalho ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Leo Gamalho (Pen),
  • 80', Maykon Jesus , Diego Maia ,
  • 80', Matheus Blade , Jenison ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Maycon , Dudu Miraima (A),
  • 86', Neto Moura 🟨,
  • 90', Dudu Miraima 🟨,
  • 90+2', Iury Castilho , Daniel Borges ,
  • 90+2', Lucas Ramon , Guilherme Pato ,

Chances of winning


Mirassol
66.3%
Draw
21.3%
EC Noroeste
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 23.4% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 22.6% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Mirassol - EC Noroeste Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.48)
    4.35
    (3.95)
    7.39
    (6.43)
    8%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Mirassol is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Noroeste is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Mirassol is absolute favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Mirassol to win the game is with odds 1.43.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - EC Noroeste were as follows:
    11.08.2023 EC Noroeste - Mirassol 2:0
    10.07.2023 Mirassol - EC Noroeste 1:1
    Latest results of Mirassol
    05.02.2025 São Paulo - Mirassol 4:1
    01.02.2025 Velo Clube - Mirassol 0:1
    29.01.2025 Mirassol - Guarani 3:2
    26.01.2025 Mirassol - Portuguesa 2:1
    23.01.2025 São Bernardo - Mirassol 1:2
    Latest results of EC Noroeste
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao BernardoPalmeiras0 : 3
    2Sao PauloNovorizontino1 : 0
    3CorinthiansMirassol2 : 0
    4SantosBragantino2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1PalmeirasSao Paulo1 : 0
    2CorinthiansSantos2 : 1

    Final
    1PalmeirasCorinthians0 : 0, 0 : 1