Result
3:2
07/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 25
- Referee: de Almeida Andrade E. R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 521 | 497 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 442 | 438 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 103 | 98 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 32 | 44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Thonny Anderson ⚽, Miqueias (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Leo Gamalho ⚽,
- 45+1', Leo Gamalho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Lucas Gazal ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 46', Rodrigo ↓, de Almeida J. V. X. ↑,
- 47', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
- 52', de Almeida J. V. X. 🟨,
- 58', Yann Rolim ↓, Eduardo Person ↑,
- 58', Joao Carlos ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 59', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Neto Moura ↑,
- 59', Leo Gamalho ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
- 65', Zeca ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
- 65', Chico Kim ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Bruno Xavier ⚽, Eduardo Person (A),
- 73', 2 - 2, Fernandinho ⚽, Dellatorre (A),
- 74', 3 - 2, Leozinho ⚽, Eduardo Person (A),
- 75', Leozinho 🟨,
- 81', Thonny Anderson ↓, Alvaro ↑,
- 82', Bruno Xavier ↓, Leo Duarte ↑,
- 84', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 86', Dellatorre 🟨,
- 90+2', Miqueias 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ituano
30.6% | Draw
30.4% | Mirassol
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ituano - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↓
(3.32) |
3.08 ↓
(3.2) |
2.4 ↑
(2.16) |
6.9%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ituano - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ituano won 1.
- Recent matches Ituano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Mirassol is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Mirassol will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Ituano: Eduardo Diniz
(Injury)
Eduardo Person
(Injury)
Lipe
(Injury)
Madison
(Injury)
Salatiel
(Injury)
Ze Carlos
(Injury)
Ze Eduardo
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Ituano won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-11.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ituano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Mirassol?
Ituano has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Ituano?
Mirassol has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ituano - Mirassol were as follows:
19.05.2024
Mirassol
-
Ituano
2:0
14.02.2024
Ituano
-
Mirassol
1:1
28.10.2023
Ituano
-
Mirassol
0:0
03.07.2023
Mirassol
-
Ituano
0:1
16.02.2023
Mirassol
-
Ituano
1:0
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 42 |
| 2 | Goias | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 41 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 40 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Remo | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 34 |
| 6 | Vila Nova FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 22:20 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Criciuma | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 28:21 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Avai | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | CRB | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24:21 | 3 | 31 |
| 11 | Ferroviaria | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
| 13 | Athletico-PR | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | America MG | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 22 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:24 | -10 | 22 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 22 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 21 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
