Result
3:0
24/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 35
- Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (430/480) | 89% (385/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (430/480) | 89% (385/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 83% (35/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (45/65) | 85% (145/170) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 21% (7/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -1.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Negueba ⚽,
- 17', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 23', 2 - 0, Reinaldo ⚽,
- 32', Willian Machado 🟨,
- 45+3', Fabiano 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ramos R. ↓, Aylon ↑,
- 52', Jemmes 🟨,
- 67', Jose Aldo ↓, Roni ↑,
- 67', Negueba ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 67', Chico ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 73', Walter 🟨,
- 77', 3 - 0, Alesson ⚽, Gabriel (A),
- 78', Galeano A. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 78', Lucas Mugni ↓, Lourenco ↑,
- 82', Gabriel ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 90+2', Diego ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
- 90+3', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
53% | Draw
27.1% | Ceará
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Mirassol have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-1%)
Mirassol - Ceará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.77) |
3.5 ↑
(3.38) |
4.83 ↓
(4.85) |
4.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Ceará?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- EH -1 - Mirassol (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -2 - Mirassol (5.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Mirassol (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Ceará (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Ceará (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mirassol will win
(30 of 35 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.12% – 97.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mirassol will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Ceará (votes: 3 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 14).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Mirassol is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
Neto Moura
(Yellow Cards)
PH
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ceará: Pedro Raul
(Yellow Cards)
Vina
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ceará: Fernando Sobral
(Ankle Injury)
Pedro Henrique
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Ceará?
Mirassol has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceará won against Mirassol?
Ceará has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Ceará were as follows:
23.07.2025
Ceará
-
Mirassol
0:2
17.08.2024
Ceará
-
Mirassol
1:2
29.04.2024
Mirassol
-
Ceará
3:2
12.11.2023
Ceará
-
Mirassol
2:0
16.07.2023
Mirassol
-
Ceará
1:1
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 18 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
