Result
1:2
12/02/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 9
- Referee: Pantoja R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Brasileirao Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (361/424) | 75% (221/293) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/128) | 61% (57/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 20% (1/5) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 59% (10/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 11 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Leo Oliveira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', 0 - 1, Jean Dias ⚽, Leo Oliveira (A),
- 48', 1 - 1, Emerson Santos (Own goal),
- 49', Sergio Raphael 🟨,
- 52', Iury Castilho (Pen),
- 63', Clayson ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 63', Neto Moura ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
- 67', Leo Oliveira ↓, Maguinho ↑,
- 67', Pedro Vilhena ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 69', Gabriel ↓, Roni ↑,
- 69', Negueba ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
- 77', Victor Andrade ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
- 78', Emerson Santos 🟨,
- 84', Iury Castilho ↓, Matheus Davo ↑,
- 84', Jean Dias ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 84', Pacheco ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Dudu ⚽, Maguinho (A),
Chances of winning
Mirassol 57.5% | Draw 25.8% | Ponte Preta 16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Mirassol - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↓ (1.69) |
3.55 ↑ (3.48) |
5.6 ↑ (4.82) |
8.1% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Ponte Preta?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 3.
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- Mirassol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Mirassol is a favorite.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Ponte Preta?
Mirassol has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Mirassol?
Ponte Preta has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Ponte Preta were as follows:
26.10.2024
Mirassol
-
Ponte Preta
3:0
12.07.2024
Ponte Preta
-
Mirassol
4:2
20.01.2024
Ponte Preta
-
Mirassol
1:1
22.09.2023
Ponte Preta
-
Mirassol
0:3
03.06.2023
Mirassol
-
Ponte Preta
1:0
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |