Result
16/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Match Stats
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| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 68% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (35/55) | 70% (39/56) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (17/37) | 46% (12/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 50% (3/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (17/56) | 36% (20/55) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (14/26) | 54% (20/37) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 31% (4/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (52/92) | 62% (51/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (31/82) | 43% (40/92) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (83/174) | 52% (91/174) |
| Last 10 Balls |
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| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 77% (10/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 52% (14/27) |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
62.8% | Mirra Andreeva
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Mirra Andreeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aryna Sabalenka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirra Andreeva than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirra Andreeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.46) |
|
2.57 ↓
(2.74) |
5%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 34 - 85%). Andreeva will win (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 73.9% – 96.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Andreeva is ranked WTA: 11.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 4.
- One and the other player during the last matches got a chain of wins.
- Sabalenka will have a small advantage in this match.
- Our prediction for today's Sabalenka to win the game is with odds 1.53.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:2 (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Mirra Andreeva?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirra Andreeva won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Mirra Andreeva has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva were as follows:
18.01.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Mirra Andreeva
2:0
04.01.2025
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Mirra Andreeva
2:0
05.06.2024
Mirra Andreeva
-
Aryna Sabalenka
2:1
01.05.2024
Mirra Andreeva
-
Aryna Sabalenka
0:2
21.12.2023
Aryna Sabalenka
-
Mirra Andreeva
1:0
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Mirra Andreeva
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Sakatsume H. (Q) | Parks A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Cristian J. | Tjen J. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Joint M. (29) | |
| 5 | Jovic I. (18) | Bye | |
| 6 | Stephens S. (WC) | Osorio C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q) | McNally C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Osaka N. (16) | |
| 9 | Mboko V. (10) | Bye | |
| 10 | Birrell K. | Selekhmeteva O. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Sonmez Z. | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (23) | |
| 13 | Raducanu E. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Seidel E. | Zakharova A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Galfi D. (LL) | Blinkova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Anisimova A. (6) | |
| 17 | Gauff C. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Andreescu B. (WC) | Rakhimova K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Yastremska D. | Zhang S. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Eala A. (31) | |
| 21 | Shnaider D. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Cirstea S. | Maria T. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Noskova L. (14) | |
| 25 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Gibson T. (Q) | Li A. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Putintseva Y. | Badosa P. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Tauson C. (17) | |
| 29 | Wang Xin. (30) | Bye | |
| 30 | Tomljanovic A. | Ruse G. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Potapova A. | Stakusic M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Paolini J. (7) | |
| 33 | Pegula J. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Vekic D. (WC) | Valentova T. | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Volynets K. (WC) | Sramkova R. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (26) | |
| 37 | Mertens E. (22) | Bye | |
| 38 | Bucsa C. | Vidmanova D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Hunter S. (Q) | Frech M. | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Bye | Bencic B. (12) | |
| 41 | Keys M. (15) | Bye | |
| 42 | Parry D. (Q) | Williams V. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Tararudee L. (Q) | Kartal S. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Navarro E. (20) | |
| 45 | Kostyuk M. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Bouzkova M. | Townsend T. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Arango E. | Baptiste H. | 1 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Rybakina E. (3) | |
| 49 | Andreeva M. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Stearns P. | Sierra S. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Siniakova K. | Kenin S. | 2 : 1 |
| 52 | Bye | Fernandez L. (27) | |
| 53 | Samsonova L. (19) | Bye | |
| 54 | Linette M. | Krueger A. | 0 : 2 |
| 55 | Siegemund L. | Marcinko P. | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Svitolina E. (9) | |
| 57 | Muchova K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Jacquemot E. | Bondar A. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Ruzic A. | Brady J. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Bye | Zheng Q. (24) | |
| 61 | Sakkari M. (32) | Bye | |
| 62 | Gracheva V. | Tagger L. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Jones F. | Day K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Sakatsume H. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cristian J. | Joint M. (29) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Jovic I. (18) | Osorio C. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. | Osaka N. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mboko V. (10) | Birrell K. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sonmez Z. | Kalinskaya A. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Raducanu E. (25) | Zakharova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Blinkova A. | Anisimova A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Gauff C. (4) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Yastremska D. | Eala A. (31) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Shnaider D. (21) | Cirstea S. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Noskova L. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Alexandrova E. (11) | Gibson T. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Putintseva Y. | Tauson C. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Wang Xin. (30) | Tomljanovic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Potapova A. | Paolini J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Pegula J. (5) | Vekic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Volynets K. | Ostapenko J. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Mertens E. (22) | Bucsa C. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Hunter S. | Bencic B. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Keys M. (15) | Parry D. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Kartal S. | Navarro E. (20) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Kostyuk M. (28) | Townsend T. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Baptiste H. | Rybakina E. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Andreeva M. (8) | Sierra S. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Siniakova K. | Fernandez L. (27) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Samsonova L. (19) | Krueger A. | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Siegemund L. | Svitolina E. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Muchova K. (13) | Bondar A. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Ruzic A. | Zheng Q. (24) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Sakkari M. (32) | Tagger L. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Day K. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Osorio C. | Osaka N. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mboko V. (10) | Kalinskaya A. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Raducanu E. (25) | Anisimova A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Gauff C. (RET.) (4) | Eala A. (31) | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Cirstea S. | Noskova L. (14) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Gibson T. | Tauson C. (17) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Tomljanovic A. | Paolini J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Pegula J. (5) | Ostapenko J. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Mertens E. (22) | Bencic B. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Keys M. (15) | Kartal S. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Kostyuk M. (28) | Rybakina E. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Andreeva M. (8) | Siniakova K. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Krueger A. | Svitolina E. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Muchova K. (13) | Ruzic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Sakkari M. (32) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Osaka N. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mboko V. (10) | Anisimova A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Eala A. (31) | Noskova L. (14) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Gibson T. | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Pegula J. (5) | Bencic B. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Kartal S. (RET.) | Rybakina E. (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Siniakova K. (RET.) | Svitolina E. (9) | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Muchova K. (13) | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Mboko V. (10) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Noskova L. (14) | Gibson T. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Pegula J. (5) | Rybakina E. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Svitolina E. (9) | Swiatek I. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Noskova L. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rybakina E. (3) | Svitolina E. (9) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Rybakina E. (3) | 2 : 1 |
