Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/03/2025 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/8-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Super Tennis

Match Stats


Aces
0	2
Double Faults
3	1
1st Serve Percentage
53%	63%
1st Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)	81% (21/26)
2nd Serve Points Won
31% (8/26)	40% (6/15)
Break Points Saved
50% (6/12)	0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
19% (5/26)	48% (14/29)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (9/15)	69% (18/26)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)	50% (6/12)
Service Points Won
42% (23/55)	65% (26/40)
Return Points Won
35% (14/40)	58% (32/55)
Total Points Won
39% (37/95)	61% (58/95)
Last 10 Balls
4	6
Match Points Saved
1	0
Service Games Won
25% (2/8)	86% (6/7)
Return Games Won
14% (1/7)	75% (6/8)
Total Games Won
20% (3/15)	80% (12/15)

Chances of winning

Elena Rybakina
50.2%

Mirra Andreeva
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Mirra Andreeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elena Rybakina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirra Andreeva than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirra Andreeva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Elena Rybakina - Mirra Andreeva Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)		1.91 ↑ (1.79)	5.3% (9.3%)

What is the prediction for Elena Rybakina - Mirra Andreeva?

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Rybakina will win (votes: 10 - 30.3%). Andreeva will win (votes: 23 - 69.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Andreeva: 54% – 85.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Interrupted due to rain.
Rybakina is ranked WTA: 7. Andreeva is ranked WTA: 11.
Recent matches Rybakina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Andreeva is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Rybakina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Elena Rybakina won against Mirra Andreeva?

Elena Rybakina has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mirra Andreeva won against Elena Rybakina?

Mirra Andreeva has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Elena Rybakina - Mirra Andreeva were as follows:

21.02.2025 Elena Rybakina - Mirra Andreeva 1:2

22.12.2024 Elena Rybakina - Mirra Andreeva 0:1

04.10.2023 Mirra Andreeva - Elena Rybakina 1:2

Latest results of Elena Rybakina

09.03.2025 Elena Rybakina - Katie Boulter 2:0 ✺

07.03.2025 Elena Rybakina - Suzan Lamens 2:0 ✺

21.02.2025 Elena Rybakina - Mirra Andreeva 1:2 ✺

20.02.2025 Elena Rybakina - Sofia Kenin 2:0 ✺

19.02.2025 Elena Rybakina - Paula Badosa 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Mirra Andreeva

09.03.2025 Clara Tauson - Mirra Andreeva 0:2 ✺

07.03.2025 Varvara Gracheva - Mirra Andreeva 0:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Clara Tauson - Mirra Andreeva 0:2 ✺

21.02.2025 Elena Rybakina - Mirra Andreeva 1:2 ✺

20.02.2025 Mirra Andreeva - Iga Swiatek 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Sakatsume H. (Q)	Parks A. (WC)	2 : 0
3	Cristian J.	Tjen J.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Joint M. (29)
5	Jovic I. (18)	Bye
6	Stephens S. (WC)	Osorio C.	0 : 2
7	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)	McNally C.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Osaka N. (16)
9	Mboko V. (10)	Bye
10	Birrell K.	Selekhmeteva O.	2 : 0
11	Sonmez Z.	Kessler M.	2 : 0
12	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (23)
13	Raducanu E. (25)	Bye
14	Seidel E.	Zakharova A. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Galfi D. (LL)	Blinkova A.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Anisimova A. (6)
17	Gauff C. (4)	Bye
18	Andreescu B. (WC)	Rakhimova K. (Q)	1 : 2
19	Yastremska D.	Zhang S.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Eala A. (31)
21	Shnaider D. (21)	Bye
22	Cirstea S.	Maria T.	2 : 1
23	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Haddad Maia B.	2 : 1
24	Bye	Noskova L. (14)
25	Alexandrova E. (11)	Bye
26	Gibson T. (Q)	Li A.	2 : 0
27	Putintseva Y.	Badosa P.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Tauson C. (17)
29	Wang Xin. (30)	Bye
30	Tomljanovic A.	Ruse G.	2 : 0
31	Potapova A.	Stakusic M. (Q)	2 : 1
32	Bye	Paolini J. (7)
33	Pegula J. (5)	Bye
34	Vekic D. (WC)	Valentova T.	2 : 0
35	Volynets K. (WC)	Sramkova R. (RET.)	1 : 0
36	Bye	Ostapenko J. (26)
37	Mertens E. (22)	Bye
38	Bucsa C.	Vidmanova D. (Q)	2 : 0
39	Hunter S. (Q)	Frech M.	2 : 1
40	Bye	Bencic B. (12)
41	Keys M. (15)	Bye
42	Parry D. (Q)	Williams V. (WC)	2 : 1
43	Tararudee L. (Q)	Kartal S.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Navarro E. (20)
45	Kostyuk M. (28)	Bye
46	Bouzkova M.	Townsend T. (Q)	0 : 2
47	Arango E.	Baptiste H.	1 : 2
48	Bye	Rybakina E. (3)
49	Andreeva M. (8)	Bye
50	Stearns P.	Sierra S.	0 : 2
51	Siniakova K.	Kenin S.	2 : 1
52	Bye	Fernandez L. (27)
53	Samsonova L. (19)	Bye
54	Linette M.	Krueger A.	0 : 2
55	Siegemund L.	Marcinko P.	2 : 1
56	Bye	Svitolina E. (9)
57	Muchova K. (13)	Bye
58	Jacquemot E.	Bondar A.	0 : 2
59	Ruzic A.	Brady J. (WC)	2 : 1
60	Bye	Zheng Q. (24)
61	Sakkari M. (32)	Bye
62	Gracheva V.	Tagger L. (WC)	0 : 2
63	Jones F.	Day K. (Q)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Sakatsume H.	2 : 0
2	Cristian J.	Joint M. (29)	2 : 1
3	Jovic I. (18)	Osorio C.	1 : 2
4	Jimenez Kasintseva V.	Osaka N. (16)	0 : 2
5	Mboko V. (10)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
6	Sonmez Z.	Kalinskaya A. (23)	0 : 2
7	Raducanu E. (25)	Zakharova A.	2 : 0
8	Blinkova A.	Anisimova A. (6)	1 : 2
9	Gauff C. (4)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 0
10	Yastremska D.	Eala A. (31)	1 : 2
11	Shnaider D. (21)	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
12	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Noskova L. (14)	0 : 2
13	Alexandrova E. (11)	Gibson T.	0 : 2
14	Putintseva Y.	Tauson C. (17)	0 : 2
15	Wang Xin. (30)	Tomljanovic A.	0 : 2
16	Potapova A.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2
17	Pegula J. (5)	Vekic D.	2 : 1
18	Volynets K.	Ostapenko J. (26)	0 : 2
19	Mertens E. (22)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
20	Hunter S.	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
21	Keys M. (15)	Parry D.	2 : 0
22	Kartal S.	Navarro E. (20)	2 : 1
23	Kostyuk M. (28)	Townsend T.	2 : 0
24	Baptiste H.	Rybakina E. (3)	1 : 2
25	Andreeva M. (8)	Sierra S.	2 : 0
26	Siniakova K.	Fernandez L. (27)	2 : 1
27	Samsonova L. (19)	Krueger A.	1 : 2
28	Siegemund L.	Svitolina E. (9)	1 : 2
29	Muchova K. (13)	Bondar A.	2 : 0
30	Ruzic A.	Zheng Q. (24)	2 : 0
31	Sakkari M. (32)	Tagger L.	2 : 0
32	Day K.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Cristian J.	2 : 0
2	Osorio C.	Osaka N. (16)	1 : 2
3	Mboko V. (10)	Kalinskaya A. (23)	2 : 0
4	Raducanu E. (25)	Anisimova A. (6)	0 : 2
5	Gauff C. (RET.) (4)	Eala A. (31)	0 : 1
6	Cirstea S.	Noskova L. (14)	1 : 2
7	Gibson T.	Tauson C. (17)	2 : 1
8	Tomljanovic A.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2
9	Pegula J. (5)	Ostapenko J. (26)	2 : 1
10	Mertens E. (22)	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
11	Keys M. (15)	Kartal S.	1 : 2
12	Kostyuk M. (28)	Rybakina E. (3)	0 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (8)	Siniakova K.	1 : 2
14	Krueger A.	Svitolina E. (9)	0 : 2
15	Muchova K. (13)	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
16	Sakkari M. (32)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Osaka N. (16)	2 : 0
2	Mboko V. (10)	Anisimova A. (6)	2 : 0
3	Eala A. (31)	Noskova L. (14)	0 : 2
4	Gibson T.	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 1
5	Pegula J. (5)	Bencic B. (12)	2 : 0
6	Kartal S. (RET.)	Rybakina E. (3)	0 : 1
7	Siniakova K. (RET.)	Svitolina E. (9)	0 : 1
8	Muchova K. (13)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Mboko V. (10)	2 : 0
2	Noskova L. (14)	Gibson T.	2 : 1
3	Pegula J. (5)	Rybakina E. (3)	0 : 2
4	Svitolina E. (9)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Noskova L. (14)	2 : 0
2	Rybakina E. (3)	Svitolina E. (9)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Rybakina E. (3)

2 : 1