Result
2:2
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (476/587) | 80% (274/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (476/587) | 80% (274/341) |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Saito S. ⚽, Omori S. (A),
- 42', Takahashi T. 🟨,
- 45+2', Matsumoto N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Matsumoto N. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Arai H. ⚽, Nishikawa J. (A),
- 54', Nishizawa K. 🟨,
- 58', Saito S. ↓, Arai M. ↑,
- 59', Tsukagawa K. 🟨,
- 65', Osaki K. 🟨,
- 67', Sakurai T. ↓, Nishiya K. ↑,
- 67', Yamada H. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
- 71', Watanabe A. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
- 71', Tsukagawa K. ↓, Nagao Y. ↑,
- 77', Nagasawa S. ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
- 80', Yamamoto H. ↓, Okita S. ↑,
- 80', Kato C. ↓, Tada K. ↑,
- 82', Nishikawa J. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Omori S. ⚽,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Sakai N. ⚽, Kimoto Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
34.2% | Draw
30.8% | Mito HollyHock
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Sagan Tosu - Mito HollyHock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(2.78) |
2.99 ↓
(3.25) |
2.65 ↑
(2.35) |
8.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Mito HollyHock?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tosu: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tosu (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tosu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Mito HollyHock?
Sagan Tosu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Sagan Tosu?
Mito HollyHock has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Mito HollyHock were as follows:
14.06.2025
Mito HollyHock
-
Sagan Tosu
1:0
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 55:40 | 15 | 62 |
| 2 | Mito | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 50:30 | 20 | 61 |
| 3 | Chiba | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 4 | Tokushima | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 38:20 | 18 | 57 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 48:32 | 16 | 56 |
| 6 | Sagan Tosu | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 56 |
| 7 | Vegalta Sendai | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 40:30 | 10 | 55 |
| 8 | Iwata | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 49:46 | 3 | 51 |
| 9 | Imabari | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 48 |
| 10 | Iwaki | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 33 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 46 |
| 12 | Montedio Yamagata | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 48:47 | 1 | 42 |
| 13 | Kofu | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Blaublitz | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 40:50 | -10 | 38 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Kumamoto | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40:52 | -12 | 35 |
| 17 | Oita Trinita | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 35 |
| 18 | Toyama | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 25:45 | -20 | 27 |
| 19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
| 20 | Ehime | 33 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 32:59 | -27 | 20 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League
