Result
2:2
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (476/587) | 80% (274/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (476/587) | 80% (274/341) |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Saito S. ⚽, Omori S. (A),
- 42', Takahashi T. 🟨,
- 45+2', Matsumoto N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Matsumoto N. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Arai H. ⚽, Nishikawa J. (A),
- 54', Nishizawa K. 🟨,
- 58', Saito S. ↓, Arai M. ↑,
- 59', Tsukagawa K. 🟨,
- 65', Osaki K. 🟨,
- 67', Sakurai T. ↓, Nishiya K. ↑,
- 67', Yamada H. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
- 71', Watanabe A. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
- 71', Tsukagawa K. ↓, Nagao Y. ↑,
- 77', Nagasawa S. ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
- 80', Yamamoto H. ↓, Okita S. ↑,
- 80', Kato C. ↓, Tada K. ↑,
- 82', Nishikawa J. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Omori S. ⚽,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Sakai N. ⚽, Kimoto Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
34.2% | Draw
30.8% | Mito HollyHock
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Sagan Tosu - Mito HollyHock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(2.78) |
2.99 ↓
(3.25) |
2.65 ↑
(2.35) |
8.1%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Mito HollyHock?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tosu: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tosu (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tosu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Mito HollyHock?
Sagan Tosu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Sagan Tosu?
Mito HollyHock has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Mito HollyHock were as follows:
14.06.2025
Mito HollyHock
-
Sagan Tosu
1:0
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mito | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 47:28 | 19 | 58 |
| 2 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 49:40 | 9 | 56 |
| 3 | Chiba | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 55 |
| 4 | Vegalta Sendai | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 39:28 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Tokushima | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 33:20 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Omiya Ardija | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 | Iwata | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 48:42 | 6 | 48 |
| 9 | Imabari | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 47 |
| 10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 38:53 | -15 | 43 |
| 11 | Kofu | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 42 |
| 12 | Iwaki | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 46:40 | 6 | 40 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 45:45 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Blaublitz | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 37:41 | -4 | 36 |
| 16 | Kumamoto | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
| 17 | Oita Trinita | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 31 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 28:40 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Toyama | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 24:43 | -19 | 24 |
| 20 | Ehime | 31 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30:54 | -24 | 20 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League
