Result
2:0
20/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 16
- Referee: Klitte F. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, Kanal 5, max Extra 1, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (367/464) | 73% (272/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (367/464) | 73% (272/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (37/86) | 34% (22/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (81/121) | 56% (64/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+3', Saletros A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', Nordfeldt K. 🟨,
- 55', Besirovic D. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 0, Hove J. (Own goal),
- 58', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
- 61', Ayari T. ↓, Celina B. ↑,
- 62', Flataker E. ↓, Guidetti J. ↑,
- 66', Thorell L. 🟨,
- 74', Thorell L. ↓, Petersson A. ↑,
- 75', Pettersson T. ↓, Iqbal A. ↑,
- 75', Johansson A. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
- 82', Johansson H. ↓, Stavitski T. ↑,
- 82', Besirovic D. ↓, Kakoullis A. ↑,
- 82', Isherwood T. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Tidstrand L. ⚽,
- 87', Manneh A. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mjällby
41.1% | Draw
28.8% | AIK
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Mjällby - AIK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.27) |
3.28 ↓
(3.57) |
3.13 ↑
(2.92) |
5.9%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mjällby - AIK?
Users Predictions:
Mjällby will win
(74 of 85 users predict this - 87.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.92% – 94.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mjällby will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 0.
- Mjällby has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- AIK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mjällby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mjällby could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Mjällby: Isaksson M.
(Inactive)
Miettinen T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in AIK: Andersson V.
(Inactive)
Edh E.
(Back Injury)
Ellingsen M.
(Leg Injury)
Filling K.
(Inactive)
Redkin A.
(Inactive)
van der Laan E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mjällby: Tchouante C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mjällby won against AIK?
Mjällby has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AIK won against Mjällby?
AIK has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mjällby - AIK were as follows:
11.05.2025
AIK
-
Mjällby
2:1
11.08.2024
AIK
-
Mjällby
1:0
13.04.2024
Mjällby
-
AIK
1:1
09.03.2024
Mjällby
-
AIK
1:3
07.10.2023
AIK
-
Mjällby
1:0
Latest results of Mjällby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | GAIS | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 21:47 | -26 | 28 |
| 14 | Oster | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27:48 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
