Mjällby vs Elfsborg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 26
  • Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 4, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.19
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
90
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
126
Passes
82% (383/469)80% (323/403)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.00
Total shots
166
Shots on target
90
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
126
Touches in opposition box
2413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
188
Passes
82% (383/469)80% (323/403)
Long passes
52% (27/52)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
74% (105/141)60% (52/87)
Crosses
36% (9/25)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.18
Throw-ins
2123
Fouls
818
Tackles
70% (7/10)43% (6/14)
Duels won
4232
Clearances
2232
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.002.05
Goals prevented
0.000.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', Gustafson V. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Bergstrom J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 2 - 0, Pettersson T. , Gustafson V. (A),
  • 64', Ostman L. , Frick P. ,
  • 64', Aronsson F. , Sigurpalsson A. ,
  • 66', Stavitski T. , Kjaer J. ,
  • 66', Arrhenius R. , Thorell L. ,
  • 77', Wenderson , Hellemaa A. ,
  • 77', Zeneli A. , Rapp G. ,
  • 85', Magnusson J. , Ihler F. ,
  • 86', Gustafson V. , Petersson A. ,
  • 86', Manneh A. , Johansson A. ,
  • 90+1', Ihler F. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Wikstrom R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mjällby
60.1%
Draw
24.6%
Elfsborg
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 22.6% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 21.2% 20.6%

Mjällby - Elfsborg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.62
(1.67)
3.99
(4.1)
6.72
(4.2)
1.5%
(8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mjällby - Elfsborg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Mjällby will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 1.
    • Mjällby has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Elfsborg is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Mjällby is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Mjällby: Charles U. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Elfsborg: Holmen S. (Knee Injury) Hult N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Mjällby: Miettinen T. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Mjällby will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mjällby - Elfsborg were as follows:
    19.06.2025 Elfsborg - Mjällby 0:1
    30.03.2025 Elfsborg - Mjällby 2:2
    18.08.2024 Mjällby - Elfsborg 1:1
    21.07.2024 Elfsborg - Mjällby 3:1
    20.08.2023 Elfsborg - Mjällby 2:0
    Latest results of Mjällby
    28.09.2025 Brommapojkarna - Mjällby 0:1
    20.09.2025 Mjällby - Öster 1:1
    13.09.2025 Degerfors - Mjällby 0:1
    30.08.2025 Mjällby - Halmstad 1:0
    25.08.2025 GAIS - Mjällby 0:2
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    27.09.2025 Elfsborg - Degerfors 1:2
    20.09.2025 GAIS - Elfsborg 2:0
    14.09.2025 Elfsborg - Malmö 2:2
    30.08.2025 Brommapojkarna - Elfsborg 3:0
    24.08.2025 Elfsborg - Halmstad 1:2
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1NorrkopingOrgryte0 : 0, 0 : 3