Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 26
- Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 4, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (383/469) | 80% (323/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (383/469) | 80% (323/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 38% (20/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (105/141) | 60% (52/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', Gustafson V. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Bergstrom J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 2 - 0, Pettersson T. ⚽, Gustafson V. (A),
- 64', Ostman L. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
- 64', Aronsson F. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
- 66', Stavitski T. ↓, Kjaer J. ↑,
- 66', Arrhenius R. ↓, Thorell L. ↑,
- 77', Wenderson ↓, Hellemaa A. ↑,
- 77', Zeneli A. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
- 85', Magnusson J. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
- 86', Gustafson V. ↓, Petersson A. ↑,
- 86', Manneh A. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
- 90+1', Ihler F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Wikstrom R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mjällby
60.1% | Draw
24.6% | Elfsborg
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mjällby - Elfsborg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.67) |
3.99 ↓
(4.1) |
6.72 ↑
(4.2) |
1.5%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mjällby - Elfsborg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Mjällby will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 1.
- Mjällby has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Elfsborg is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Mjällby is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Mjällby: Charles U.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Elfsborg: Holmen S.
(Knee Injury)
Hult N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mjällby: Miettinen T.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Mjällby will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Mjällby won against Elfsborg?
Mjällby has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elfsborg won against Mjällby?
Elfsborg has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mjällby - Elfsborg were as follows:
19.06.2025
Elfsborg
-
Mjällby
0:1
30.03.2025
Elfsborg
-
Mjällby
2:2
18.08.2024
Mjällby
-
Elfsborg
1:1
21.07.2024
Elfsborg
-
Mjällby
3:1
20.08.2023
Elfsborg
-
Mjällby
2:0
Latest results of Mjällby
Latest results of Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | Malmo FF | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | GAIS | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | AIK | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Hacken | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 39:46 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Sirius | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | Norrkoping | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 21:47 | -26 | 28 |
| 14 | Oster | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27:48 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
