Result
2:4
04/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 28
- Referee: Benes J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (368/447) | 78% (276/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (368/447) | 78% (276/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 57% (31/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (107/152) | 67% (86/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.05 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', 0 - 1, Kabongo C. ⚽, Kostka D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 56', 0 - 2, Kabongo C. ⚽, Macek R. (A),
- 56', Kabongo C. 🟨,
- 59', Sip J. ↓, Mikulenka M. ↑,
- 59', Sejk V. ↓, Krivak F. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 3, John S. ⚽, Kozel D. (A),
- 65', 1 - 3, Barath P. ⚽, Slama J. (A),
- 70', Slama J. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
- 71', John S. ↓, Subert M. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 3, Sturm D. ⚽, Barath P. (A),
- 79', Sevcik M. ↓, Langhamer D. ↑,
- 79', Kabongo C. ↓, Kolarik J. ↑,
- 89', Kozel D. ↓, Lehky F. ↑,
- 89', Kostka D. ↓, Mares D. ↑,
- 89', Beran M. ↓, Ghali A. ↑,
- 89', Slavicek F. ↓, Janosek D. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 4, Langhamer D. ⚽,
- 90+7', Matousek F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sigma Olomouc
52.2% | Draw
26.3% | Mladá Boleslav
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sigma Olomouc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+2.4%)The ML Model estimate for Mladá Boleslav aligns with the current prediction.
Sigma Olomouc - Mladá Boleslav Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.81) |
3.57 ↓
(3.63) |
4.34 ↑
(4.1) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sigma Olomouc - Mladá Boleslav?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sigma (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sigma Olomouc will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sigma won 4.
- Sigma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mladá Boleslav is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mladá Boleslav may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sigma is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Sigma: Dembe J.
(Knee Injury)
Muritala Y.
(Injury)
Tkac D.
(Muscle Injury)
Urica F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Buryan J.
(Injury)
Klima J.
(Injury)
Ogungbayi B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sigma: Kral J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sigma won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:30. (average 2.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sigma won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sigma Olomouc won against Mladá Boleslav?
Sigma Olomouc has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Sigma Olomouc?
Mladá Boleslav has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sigma Olomouc - Mladá Boleslav were as follows:
02.11.2025
Mladá Boleslav
-
Sigma Olomouc
1:4
15.12.2024
Mladá Boleslav
-
Sigma Olomouc
1:3
18.08.2024
Sigma Olomouc
-
Mladá Boleslav
3:2
16.03.2024
Mladá Boleslav
-
Sigma Olomouc
2:1
07.10.2023
Sigma Olomouc
-
Mladá Boleslav
4:0
Latest results of Sigma Olomouc
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 27 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 67 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 56:30 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Plzen ✔ | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Jablonec | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 35:27 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Liberec | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:26 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Hradec Kralove | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:44 | -11 | 32 |
| 10 | Zlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 40:51 | -11 | 30 |
| 12 | Teplice | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Bohemians | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20:34 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 16:38 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
