Result
2:0
23/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Liga - Championship Group - Round 32
- Referee: Zivkovic A. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (213/274) | 87% (390/447) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (213/274) | 87% (390/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (35/65) | 46% (13/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (59/89) | 79% (139/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Ljubomirac U. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Ljubomirac U. ⚽, Udovicic Z. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Stanic P. 🟨,
- 59', Radin M. ↓, Stancic A. ↑,
- 60', Lazetic M. ↓, Mboungou V. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 0, Bondzulic O. ⚽,
- 65', Stancic A. 🟨,
- 68', Zunic F. ↓, Krsmanovic O. ↑,
- 77', Vulic M. ↓, Milosavljevic I. ↑,
- 79', Bojic P. ↓, Varjacic A. ↑,
- 88', Radojevic V. ↓, Krstic V. ↑,
- 90', Bondzulic O. ↓, Ciric J. ↑,
- 90+3', Stamenkovic S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mladost Lučani
21.4% | Draw
24.4% | Bačka Topola
54.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladost Lučani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Mladost Lučani - Bačka Topola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.33 ↓
(4.4) |
3.8 ↑
(3.5) |
1.71 ↓
(1.85) |
7.9%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mladost Lučani - Bačka Topola?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bačka Topola (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bačka Topola will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mladost Lučani won 3.
- Mladost Lučani is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Bačka Topola is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Bačka Topola is a favorite.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Mladost Lučani won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:31 (average 1.5:2.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mladost Lučani won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mladost Lučani won against Bačka Topola?
Mladost Lučani has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against Mladost Lučani?
Bačka Topola has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mladost Lučani - Bačka Topola were as follows:
08.02.2025
Mladost Lučani
-
Bačka Topola
4:1
01.09.2024
Bačka Topola
-
Mladost Lučani
1:2
17.05.2024
Mladost Lučani
-
Bačka Topola
2:0
12.03.2024
Bačka Topola
-
Mladost Lučani
4:1
30.09.2023
Mladost Lučani
-
Bačka Topola
1:1
Latest results of Mladost Lučani
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Sp. Subotica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | TSC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Partizan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Mladost | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | IMT Novi Beograd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Radnicki 1923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Radnicki Nis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Napredak | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | OFK Beograd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Radnik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Javor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
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