Result
2:1
03/05/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Relegation Group - Round 34
- Referee: Mitic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (341/419) | 83% (419/503) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 0.92 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.57 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
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| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (341/419) | 83% (419/503) |
| Long passes |
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| 54% (27/50) | 37% (16/43) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 66% (89/134) | 74% (67/90) |
| Crosses |
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| 33% (8/24) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.70 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
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| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
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| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
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| 69% (9/13) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
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| 36 | 35 |
| Clearances |
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| 19 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
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| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.08 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.08 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 32', 1 - 0, Ciric J. ⚽, Boranijasevic N. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Trajkovic A. ⚽, Ezequiel (A),
- 36', 2 - 1, Bojic P. ⚽, Boranijasevic N. (A),
- 39', Bojic P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kolaric D. 🟨,
- 64', Tasic N. ↓, Miranovic N. ↑,
- 65', Djokic D. ↓, Todosijevic M. ↑,
- 66', Kijevcanin V. ↓, Tumbasevic J. ↑,
- 70', Trajkovic A. ↓, Babic I. ↑,
- 72', Andric N. 🟨,
- 82', Ebuka ↓, Abdul K. S. ↑,
- 82', Ezequiel ↓, Enzo ↑,
- 83', Ciric J. ↓, Djurkovic J. ↑,
- 83', Udovicic Z. ↓, Orescanin M. ↑,
- 87', Bojic P. ↓, Hadzic I. ↑,
- 90', Tumbasevic J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mladost Lučani
68.8% | Draw
20.6% | Spartak Subotica
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladost Lučani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mladost Lučani's performance.Spartak Subotica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Subotica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (-14.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mladost Lučani that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Subotica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mladost Lučani - Spartak Subotica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.75) |
4.5 ↑
(3.45) |
8.86 ↑
(4.5) |
7.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mladost Lučani - Spartak Subotica?
Users Predictions:
Mladost Lučani will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladost Lučani won 1.
- Mladost Lučani is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Spartak Subotica is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Mladost Lučani is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mladost Lučani won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mladost Lučani won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Mladost Lučani won against Spartak Subotica?
Mladost Lučani has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Subotica won against Mladost Lučani?
Spartak Subotica has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mladost Lučani - Spartak Subotica were as follows:
14.12.2025
Mladost Lučani
-
Spartak Subotica
0:0
09.08.2025
Spartak Subotica
-
Mladost Lučani
1:1
30.03.2025
Spartak Subotica
-
Mladost Lučani
0:0
04.11.2024
Mladost Lučani
-
Spartak Subotica
0:0
18.02.2024
Spartak Subotica
-
Mladost Lučani
0:1
Latest results of Mladost Lučani
Latest results of Spartak Subotica
Serbian Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 96:26 | 70 | 82 |
| 2 | Partizan | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 66:44 | 22 | 68 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 56:33 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 56 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 48 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45:43 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Radnik | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 43 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
