Benevento vs Modena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Benevento - Modena
Result
2:1
13/05/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 37
  • Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Chances of winning


Benevento
38.9%
Draw
28.3%
Modena
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 29.3% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 28.2% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Benevento - Modena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.55)
    3.29
    (3.17)
    2.91
    (2.72)
    5.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Benevento - Modena?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Modena will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 16.4%61.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Benevento has the most likely position - 20 (85.59%), project points - 34, currently - 32, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Modena has the most likely position - 12 (26.26%), project points - 48, currently - 45, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has small quality 26, very small importance 1, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Benevento is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Modena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benevento - Modena were as follows:
    18.12.2022 Modena - Benevento 1:1
    Latest results of Benevento
    06.05.2023 Cittadella - Benevento 3:1
    01.05.2023 Benevento - Parma 2:2
    22.04.2023 Palermo - Benevento 1:1
    15.04.2023 Benevento - Reggina 1:1
    10.04.2023 Benevento - SPAL 1:3
    Latest results of Modena
    06.05.2023 Modena - Bari 1:1
    01.05.2023 Venezia - Modena 5:0
    22.04.2023 Modena - SPAL 0:0
    14.04.2023 Modena - Parma 1:1
    10.04.2023 Perugia - Modena 0:1
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2