Result
2:0
18/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Mombasa United
36.8% | Draw
31.3% | Kibera Black Stars
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mombasa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mombasa United's form might have worsened.Kibera Black Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mombasa United than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mombasa United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kibera Black Stars than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kibera Black Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mombasa United - Kibera Black Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.1) |
2.94 ↓
(3) |
2.89 ↓
(3.1) |
8.6%
(13.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).
- Mombasa United has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Kibera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Mombasa United has had a series of away games.
- Mombasa United could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Mombasa United won against Kibera Black Stars?
Mombasa United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kibera Black Stars won against Mombasa United?
Kibera Black Stars has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mombasa United - Kibera Black Stars were as follows:
Latest results of Mombasa United
Latest results of Kibera Black Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mombasa United | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Migori | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 40 |
| 3 | MOFA | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:13 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | 3K FC | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 31:15 | 16 | 37 |
| 5 | Equity Bank | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 | Talanta FC | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 21:14 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Kibera | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 16:19 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Soy United | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 17:15 | 2 | 29 |
| 10 | Nairobi City | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 29 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 29 |
| 12 | Naivas FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 28 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 22:23 | -1 | 25 |
| 14 | Kabati | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 15:19 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 | Luanda Villa | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 14:25 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Mwatate United | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
| 18 | Kisumu All-Stars | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 18 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 13:30 | -17 | 16 |
| 20 | MCF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
