Result
2:0
18/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Mombasa United
36.8% | Draw
31.3% | Kibera Black Stars
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mombasa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mombasa United's form might have worsened.Kibera Black Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mombasa United than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mombasa United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kibera Black Stars than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kibera Black Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mombasa United - Kibera Black Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.1) |
2.94 ↓
(3) |
2.89 ↓
(3.1) |
8.6%
(13.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).
- Mombasa United has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Kibera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Mombasa United has had a series of away games.
- Mombasa United could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Mombasa United won against Kibera Black Stars?
Mombasa United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kibera Black Stars won against Mombasa United?
Kibera Black Stars has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mombasa United - Kibera Black Stars were as follows:
Latest results of Mombasa United
Latest results of Kibera Black Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Migori | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 39:23 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Mombasa United | 25 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 38:22 | 16 | 52 |
| 3 | MOFA | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:17 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 32:25 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Fortune Sacco | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39:22 | 17 | 42 |
| 6 | 3K FC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 33:17 | 16 | 41 |
| 7 | Kibera | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 20:20 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Naivas FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 23:19 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Talanta FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 25:19 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Nzoia Sugar | 25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 36 |
| 11 | Nairobi City | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 24:22 | 2 | 33 |
| 12 | Soy United | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 20:19 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 32 |
| 14 | Luanda Villa | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Kabati | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 15:31 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
| 17 | Kisumu All-Stars | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 15:33 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Mwatate United | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19:42 | -23 | 18 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 19:36 | -17 | 16 |
| 20 | MCF | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 12:23 | -11 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
