Ajaccio vs Monaco, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Ajaccio - Monaco
Result
0:2
19/03/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 28
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
15.9%
Draw
25.1%
Monaco
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.3% 25.8% 53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6% 26.2% 53%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ajaccio - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.97
    (4.65)
    3.82
    (3.66)
    1.61
    (1.75)
    5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: Monaco will win (69 of 76 users predict this - 90.79%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.29%97.29%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage)).
    • Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (32.3%), project points - 31, currently - 21, a good chance of relegated (84%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Monaco has the most likely position - 4 (23.68%), project points - 69, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (30%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 57, importance 52, match rating 55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • In this match Monaco is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Monaco were as follows:
    15.01.2023 Monaco - Ajaccio 7:1
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    12.03.2023 Ajaccio - Montpellier 0:1
    05.03.2023 Reims - Ajaccio 1:0
    26.02.2023 Ajaccio - Troyes 2:1
    19.02.2023 Lorient - Ajaccio 3:0
    10.02.2023 Nice - Ajaccio 3:0
    Latest results of Monaco
    12.03.2023 Monaco - Reims 0:1
    05.03.2023 Troyes - Monaco 2:2
    26.02.2023 Monaco - Nice 0:3
    23.02.2023 Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen 2:4
    19.02.2023 Brest - Monaco 1:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2