Result
0:2
19/03/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 28
- Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
Chances of winning
Ajaccio
15.9% | Draw
25.1% | Monaco
59% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ajaccio - Monaco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.97 ↑
(4.65) |
3.82 ↑
(3.66) |
1.61 ↓
(1.75) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Monaco?
Users Predictions:
Monaco will win
(69 of 76 users predict this - 90.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.29% – 97.29%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage)).
- Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (32.3%), project points - 31, currently - 21, a good chance of relegated (84%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Monaco has the most likely position - 4 (23.68%), project points - 69, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (30%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 57, importance 52, match rating 55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- The competitors look crappy now.
- In this match Monaco is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Monaco?
Ajaccio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Ajaccio?
Monaco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Monaco were as follows:
15.01.2023
Monaco
-
Ajaccio
7:1
Latest results of Ajaccio
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 54:22 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Monaco | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | Rennes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 37 |
| 9 | Lorient | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Brest | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 34 |
| 12 | Angers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 | Nantes | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22:42 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
