Monaco vs Aston Villa, UEFA Champions League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Monaco - Aston Villa
Result
1:0
21/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
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cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
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denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
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indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
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norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
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vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.00
Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
1210
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
47
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
53
Free Kicks
1414
Offsides
42
Fouls
1414
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
920
Touches in the Opposition Box
2830
Passes
76% (241/319)84% (427/511)
Passes in the final third
63% (58/92)67% (85/126)
Crosses
36% (4/11)10% (2/20)
Tackles
55% (11/20)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
4113
Interceptions
1811

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Singo W. ⚽, Kehrer T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 56', Bailey L. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
  • 65', Camara L. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
  • 65', Ben Seghir E. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
  • 67', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
  • 78', Minamino T. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
  • 78', Zakaria D. ↓, Teze J. ↑,
  • 82', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 86', Rogers M. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 86', Buendia E. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
  • 90+2', Kamara B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Golovin A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monaco
36.7%		Draw
27.6%		Aston Villa
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 26.4% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 27.2% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monaco's form might have worsened.
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Monaco - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.62 ↑
    (2.16)    		 3.46 ↓
    (3.61)    		 2.7 ↓
    (3.26)    		 4.2%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Monaco - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 19 - 30.6%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 26 - 41.9%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 27.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 29.6% – 54.2%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Monaco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Aston Villa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Monaco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Monaco have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F. (Shoulder Injury) Diatta K. (Injury) Ilenikhena G. (Groin Injury) Singo W. (Back Injury) Zakaria D. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Calf Injury) Diego Carlos (Yellow Cards) McGinn J. (Thigh Injury) Torres P. (Foot Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Monaco
    17.01.2025 Montpellier - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    14.01.2025 Reims - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    10.01.2025 Nantes - Monaco 2:2 ✺
    05.01.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco 1:0 ✺
    22.12.2024 L`Union Saint Jean - Monaco 1:4 ✺
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    18.01.2025 Arsenal - Aston Villa 2:2 ✺
    15.01.2025 Everton - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺
    10.01.2025 Aston Villa - West Ham United 2:1 ✺
    04.01.2025 Aston Villa - Leicester City 2:1 ✺
    30.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticKairat Almaty
    5BaselFC Copenhagen
    6FenerbahceBenfica
    7RangersClub Brugge KV
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