Monaco vs Aston Villa, UEFA Champions League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Monaco - Aston Villa
Result
1:0
21/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFrancebeIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanWowow Prime
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.00
Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
1210
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
47
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
53
Free Kicks
1414
Offsides
42
Fouls
1414
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
920
Touches in the Opposition Box
2830
Passes
76% (241/319)84% (427/511)
Passes in the final third
63% (58/92)67% (85/126)
Crosses
36% (4/11)10% (2/20)
Tackles
55% (11/20)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
4113
Interceptions
1811

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Singo W. ⚽, Kehrer T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 56', Bailey L. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
  • 65', Camara L. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
  • 65', Ben Seghir E. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
  • 67', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
  • 78', Minamino T. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
  • 78', Zakaria D. ↓, Teze J. ↑,
  • 82', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 86', Rogers M. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 86', Buendia E. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
  • 90+2', Kamara B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Golovin A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monaco
36.7%		Draw
27.6%		Aston Villa
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 26.4% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 27.2% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monaco's form might have worsened.
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Monaco - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.62 ↑
    (2.16)    		 3.46 ↓
    (3.61)    		 2.7 ↓
    (3.26)    		 4.2%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Monaco - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 19 - 30.6%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 26 - 41.9%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 27.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 29.6% – 54.2%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Monaco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Aston Villa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Monaco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Monaco have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F. (Shoulder Injury) Diatta K. (Injury) Ilenikhena G. (Groin Injury) Singo W. (Back Injury) Zakaria D. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Calf Injury) Diego Carlos (Yellow Cards) McGinn J. (Thigh Injury) Torres P. (Foot Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Monaco
    17.01.2025 Montpellier - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    14.01.2025 Reims - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    10.01.2025 Nantes - Monaco 2:2 ✺
    05.01.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco 1:0 ✺
    22.12.2024 L`Union Saint Jean - Monaco 1:4 ✺
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    18.01.2025 Arsenal - Aston Villa 2:2 ✺
    15.01.2025 Everton - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺
    10.01.2025 Aston Villa - West Ham United 2:1 ✺
    04.01.2025 Aston Villa - Leicester City 2:1 ✺
    30.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

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