Monaco vs Aston Villa, UEFA Champions League: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Louis II (Monaco).

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.61	1.00
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Goal Attempts
12	10
Shots on Goal
4	5
Shots off Goal
4	4
Blocked Shots
4	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
4	7
Shots inside the Box
10	9
Shots outside the Box
2	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
Free Kicks
14	14
Offsides
4	2
Fouls
14	14
Yellow Cards
1	3
Throw-ins
9	20
Touches in the Opposition Box
28	30
Passes
76% (241/319)	84% (427/511)
Passes in the final third
63% (58/92)	67% (85/126)
Crosses
36% (4/11)	10% (2/20)
Tackles
55% (11/20)	60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
41	13
Interceptions
18	11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Singo W. ⚽, Kehrer T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Digne L. 🟨,
56', Bailey L. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
65', Camara L. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
65', Ben Seghir E. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
67', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
78', Minamino T. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
78', Zakaria D. ↓, Teze J. ↑,
82', Rogers M. 🟨,
86', Rogers M. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
86', Buendia E. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
90+2', Kamara B. 🟨,
90+2', Golovin A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Monaco
36.7%

Draw
27.6%

Aston Villa
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

26.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monaco's form might have worsened.

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Monaco - Aston Villa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.16)	3.46 ↓ (3.61)	2.7 ↓ (3.26)	4.2% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Monaco - Aston Villa?

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 19 - 30.6%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 26 - 41.9%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 27.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 29.6% – 54.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Monaco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aston Villa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Monaco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Monaco have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F. (Shoulder Injury) Diatta K. (Injury) Ilenikhena G. (Groin Injury) Singo W. (Back Injury) Zakaria D. (Illness)
There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Calf Injury) Diego Carlos (Yellow Cards) McGinn J. (Thigh Injury) Torres P. (Foot Injury)
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Aston Villa?

Monaco has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Monaco?

Aston Villa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Aston Villa were as follows:

Latest results of Monaco

17.01.2025 Montpellier - Monaco 2:1 ✺

14.01.2025 Reims - Monaco 2:1 ✺

10.01.2025 Nantes - Monaco 2:2 ✺

05.01.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco 1:0 ✺

22.12.2024 L`Union Saint Jean - Monaco 1:4 ✺

Latest results of Aston Villa

18.01.2025 Arsenal - Aston Villa 2:2 ✺

15.01.2025 Everton - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺

10.01.2025 Aston Villa - West Ham United 2:1 ✺

04.01.2025 Aston Villa - Leicester City 2:1 ✺

30.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Levadia	RFS
2	Iberia 1999	Malmo FF
3	Zalgiris	Hamrun
4	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
5	Pafos	Bye
6	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
7	Vikingur	Lincoln Red Imps
8	Bye	Crvena zvezda
9	Noah	Buducnost
10	Bye	Ferencvaros
11	Lech Poznan	Bye
12	Egnatia	Breidablik
13	FC Copenhagen	Bye
14	Drita	Differdange
15	Rijeka	Bye
16	Ludogorets	Din. Minsk
17	TNS	Shkendija
18	FCSB	Inter Escaldes
19	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
20	Virtus	Zrinjski
21	Shelbourne	Linfield
22	Bye	Qarabag
23	KuPS	Milsami
24	O. Ljubljana	Kairat Almaty
25	Brann	Bye
26	Bye	Salzburg
27	Plzen	Bye
28	Bye	Servette
29	Rangers	Bye
30	Bye	Panathinaikos

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	Dyn. Kyiv
3	Pafos	Maccabi Tel Aviv
4	TBD #7	Crvena zvezda
5	TBD #9	Ferencvaros
6	Lech Poznan	TBD #12
7	FC Copenhagen	TBD #14
8	Rijeka	TBD #16
9	TBD #17	TBD #18
10	Slovan Bratislava	TBD #20
11	TBD #21	Qarabag
12	TBD #23	TBD #24
13	Brann	Salzburg
14	Plzen	Servette
15	Rangers	Panathinaikos

Which TV channels are streaming of Monaco - Aston Villa?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Usa	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app