Benfica vs Monaco, UEFA Champions League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Benfica - Monaco
Result
3:3
18/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
argentinaArgentinaESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilMax
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFrancebeIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
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hungaryHungaryRTL+
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maltaMaltaTSN Malta 5
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netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan
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north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2, Canal+ Sport Online
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
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south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, Virgin Media More
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.26
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
1015
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
03
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
23
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
914
Offsides
14
Fouls
149
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
3017
Touches in the Opposition Box
2127
Passes
76% (255/337)85% (432/510)
Passes in the final third
62% (62/100)73% (98/135)
Crosses
30% (3/10)38% (6/16)
Tackles
67% (12/18)73% (16/22)
Clearances Total
2927
Interceptions
819

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. , Pavlidis V. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Minamino T. , Embolo B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Ben Seghir E. , Akliouche M. (A),
  • 58', Schjelderup A. , Dahl S. ,
  • 58', Akturkoglu K. , Amdouni Z. ,
  • 62', Akliouche M. 🟨,
  • 65', Embolo B. , Biereth M. ,
  • 67', Barreiro L. 🟨,
  • 71', Amdouni Z. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Pavlidis V. (Pen),
  • 80', Caio Henrique , Ouattara K. ,
  • 80', Mawissa Elebi C. , Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 81', 2 - 3, Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 84', 3 - 3, Kokcu O. , Carreras A. (A),
  • 87', Minamino T. , Michal L. ,
  • 87', Pavlidis V. , Belotti A. ,
  • 87', Kokcu O. , Rego J. ,

Chances of winning


Benfica
51.7%
Draw
23%
Monaco
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 27.5% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 28.6% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Benfica - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.08)
    4.21
    (3.56)
    3.81
    (3.86)
    3.5%
    (2.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Benfica - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 60 - 78.9%). Monaco will win (votes: 9 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 9.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 69.7%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Benfica in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Monaco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Benfica have a series of guest games.
    • Benfica will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Araujo T. (Injury) Aursnes F. (Knee Injury) Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Inactive) Di Maria A. (Muscle Injury) Florentino (Yellow Cards) Gouveia T. (Shoulder Injury) Manu (Knee Injury) Sanches R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Al Musrati (Red Card) Balogun F. (Shoulder Injury) Golovin A. (Groin Injury) Vanderson (Yellow Cards) Zakaria D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Ilenikhena G. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Benfica won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Monaco were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Monaco - Benfica 0:1
    27.11.2024 Monaco - Benfica 2:3
    Latest results of Benfica
    15.02.2025 Santa Clara - Benfica 0:1
    12.02.2025 Monaco - Benfica 0:1
    08.02.2025 Benfica - Moreirense 3:2
    29.01.2025 Juventus - Benfica 0:2
    Latest results of Monaco
    15.02.2025 Monaco - Nantes 7:1
    12.02.2025 Monaco - Benfica 0:1
    01.02.2025 Monaco - Auxerre 4:2
    29.01.2025 Inter Milan - Monaco 3:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce