Benfica vs Monaco, UEFA Champions League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Benfica - Monaco
Result
3:3
18/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
argentinaArgentinaESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilMax
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFrancebeIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
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maltaMaltaTSN Malta 5
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netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan
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north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2, Canal+ Sport Online
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
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south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
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ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, Virgin Media More
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.26
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
1015
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
03
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
23
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
914
Offsides
14
Fouls
149
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
3017
Touches in the Opposition Box
2127
Passes
76% (255/337)85% (432/510)
Passes in the final third
62% (62/100)73% (98/135)
Crosses
30% (3/10)38% (6/16)
Tackles
67% (12/18)73% (16/22)
Clearances Total
2927
Interceptions
819

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. , Pavlidis V. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Minamino T. , Embolo B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Ben Seghir E. , Akliouche M. (A),
  • 58', Schjelderup A. , Dahl S. ,
  • 58', Akturkoglu K. , Amdouni Z. ,
  • 62', Akliouche M. 🟨,
  • 65', Embolo B. , Biereth M. ,
  • 67', Barreiro L. 🟨,
  • 71', Amdouni Z. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Pavlidis V. (Pen),
  • 80', Caio Henrique , Ouattara K. ,
  • 80', Mawissa Elebi C. , Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 81', 2 - 3, Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 84', 3 - 3, Kokcu O. , Carreras A. (A),
  • 87', Minamino T. , Michal L. ,
  • 87', Pavlidis V. , Belotti A. ,
  • 87', Kokcu O. , Rego J. ,

Chances of winning


Benfica
51.7%
Draw
23%
Monaco
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 27.5% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 28.6% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Benfica - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.08)
    4.21
    (3.56)
    3.81
    (3.86)
    3.5%
    (2.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Benfica - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 60 - 78.9%). Monaco will win (votes: 9 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 9.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 69.7%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Benfica in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Monaco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Benfica have a series of guest games.
    • Benfica will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Araujo T. (Injury) Aursnes F. (Knee Injury) Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Inactive) Di Maria A. (Muscle Injury) Florentino (Yellow Cards) Gouveia T. (Shoulder Injury) Manu (Knee Injury) Sanches R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Al Musrati (Red Card) Balogun F. (Shoulder Injury) Golovin A. (Groin Injury) Vanderson (Yellow Cards) Zakaria D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Ilenikhena G. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Benfica won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Monaco were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Monaco - Benfica 0:1
    27.11.2024 Monaco - Benfica 2:3
    Latest results of Benfica
    15.02.2025 Santa Clara - Benfica 0:1
    12.02.2025 Monaco - Benfica 0:1
    08.02.2025 Benfica - Moreirense 3:2
    29.01.2025 Juventus - Benfica 0:2
    Latest results of Monaco
    15.02.2025 Monaco - Nantes 7:1
    12.02.2025 Monaco - Benfica 0:1
    01.02.2025 Monaco - Auxerre 4:2
    29.01.2025 Inter Milan - Monaco 3:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV1 : 3