Result
1:0
05/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 15
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (223/320) | 82% (383/467) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (223/320) | 82% (383/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (23/62) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/96) | 71% (96/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Minamino T. 🟨,
- 27', Caio Henrique 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Doumbia K. ⚽,
- 32', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 44', Doumbia K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Vanderson 🟨,
- 60', Ajorque L. 🟥,
- 69', Golovin A. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
- 69', Coulibaly M. ↓, Pogba P. ↑,
- 69', Doumbia K. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 77', Minamino T. ↓, Brunner P. ↑,
- 77', Camara L. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
- 78', Mboup P. 🟨,
- 83', Chotard J. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
- 83', Del Castillo R. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
- 83', Vanderson ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
- 90+4', Teze J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brest
28.1% | Draw
25% | Monaco
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-4%)
Brest - Monaco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(3) |
3.81 ↑
(3.72) |
2.05 ↓
(2.19) |
4.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Brest - Monaco?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Brest (1.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Brest (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Brest (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Monaco will win
(40 of 47 users predict this - 85.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.93% – 95.29%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Monaco (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Monaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Brest: Majecki R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F.
(Groin Injury)
Dier E.
(Calf Injury)
Fati A.
(Muscle Injury)
Kehrer T.
(Red Card)
Mawissa C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Zakaria D.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Brest: Bourgault J.
(Injury)
Zogbe L.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Brest won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Monaco?
Brest has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Brest?
Monaco has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Monaco were as follows:
05.04.2025
Brest
-
Monaco
2:1
22.11.2024
Monaco
-
Brest
3:2
21.04.2024
Brest
-
Monaco
0:2
05.11.2023
Monaco
-
Brest
2:0
19.02.2023
Brest
-
Monaco
1:2
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52:19 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Lens | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Lyon | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:40 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
