Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 28
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (259/347) | 82% (413/504) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (259/347) | 82% (413/504) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (35/75) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (82/129) | 66% (86/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.92 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 42 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Embolo B. 🟨,
- 30', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Kohn P. (Own goal),
- 44', Camara M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kehrer T. ↓, Vanderson ↑,
- 46', Minamino T. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Zakaria D. (Pen),
- 64', Camara L. 🟨,
- 64', Lala K. 🟨,
- 72', Camara L. ↓, Al Musrati ↑,
- 77', Magnetti H. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
- 78', Sima A. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 81', Akliouche M. ↓, Golovin A. ↑,
- 84', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
- 86', Embolo B. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Camara M. ⚽, Lees-Melou P. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/29p7w9te
Chances of winning
Brest
23.7% | Draw
25.4% | Monaco
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Brest - Monaco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(3.57) |
3.76 ↑
(3.72) |
1.87 ↓
(1.99) |
5.1%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Brest - Monaco?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 7 - 21.2%). Monaco will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 50.6% – 82.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Monaco (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Brest won 0.
- Recent matches Brest is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Monaco is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Monaco is a favorite.
- There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J.
(Foot Injury)
Faivre R.
(Inactive)
Locko B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Martin J.
(Hip Injury)
Salah I.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Brest: Amavi J.
(Calf Injury)
Coulibaly S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Monaco: Magassa S.
(Face Injury)
Mawissa Elebi C.
(Muscle Injury)
Ouattara K.
(Calf Injury)
Teze J.
(Thigh Injury)
Zakaria D.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Brest won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9:20 (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Brest won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Monaco?
Brest has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Brest?
Monaco has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Monaco were as follows:
22.11.2024
Monaco
-
Brest
3:2
21.04.2024
Brest
-
Monaco
0:2
05.11.2023
Monaco
-
Brest
2:0
19.02.2023
Brest
-
Monaco
1:2
01.01.2023
Monaco
-
Brest
1:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
