Monaco vs Galatasaray, UEFA Champions League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7, Play Sports 7, Play Sports 7
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, Canal+
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 6
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.371.34
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
92
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
77% (250/324)84% (392/465)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
3.371.34
xG on target (xGOT)
2.730.05
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
149
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
92
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2927
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
77% (250/324)84% (392/465)
Long passes
42% (22/53)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
64% (64/100)73% (86/118)
Crosses
33% (7/21)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.841.81
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
1215
Tackles
63% (12/19)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5655
Clearances
2923
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.052.73
Goals prevented
0.051.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Sanchez D. 🟨,
  • 51', Zakaria D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 63', Gundogan I. , Akgun Y. ,
  • 68', Cakir U. , Guvenc G. ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, Balogun F. ,
  • 75', Minamino T. , Teze J. ,
  • 79', Jakobs I. , Icardi M. ,
  • 82', Golovin A. , Ouattara K. ,
  • 86', Balogun F. , Biereth M. ,
  • 88', Yilmaz B. A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monaco
49.9%
Draw
24.1%
Galatasaray
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 24.3% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 24.3% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monaco's performance.
  • Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galatasaray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monaco that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Monaco - Galatasaray Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.22)
    3.97
    (3.95)
    3.7
    (2.96)
    4.2%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Monaco - Galatasaray?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 31 - 63.3%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 9 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 49.8%76.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Galatasaray (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • DC - Galatasaray (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Galatasaray (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Galatasaray (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 14 - 56%). Galatasaray (votes: 6 - 24%). Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Monaco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Galatasaray has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Monaco might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Diatta K. (Inactive) Dier E. (Calf Injury) Fati A. (Muscle Injury) Ilenikhena G. (Knee Injury) Mawissa C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Ayhan K. (Injury) Baltaci M. (Suspended) Elmali E. (Suspended) Gurpuz G. (Inactive) Karatas K. (Inactive) Lemina M. (Injury) Singo W. (Muscle Injury) Unyay A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Balogun F. (Groin Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Monaco
    05.12.2025 Brest - Monaco 1:0
    26.11.2025 Paphos - Monaco 2:2
    22.11.2025 Rennes - Monaco 4:1
    08.11.2025 Monaco - Lens 1:4
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2