Monaco vs Lyon, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Louis II (Monaco).

Ligue 1 - Round 33
Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, VOOsport World 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	DAZN 3, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	0.43
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
85% (378/445)	82% (343/417)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	0.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.51	1.10
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
34	13
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
18	16
Passes
85% (378/445)	82% (343/417)
Long passes
54% (25/46)	52% (22/42)
Passes in final third
70% (88/125)	70% (64/92)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.41	0.34
Throw-ins
14	14
Fouls
16	18
Tackles
87% (13/15)	45% (10/22)
Duels won
54	44
Clearances
32	25
Interceptions
10	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.10	1.51
Goals prevented
1.10	-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Clinton Mata 🟨,
22', Clinton Mata ↓, Caleta-Car D. ↑,
45+2', Almada T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Camara L. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Minamino T. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
65', Matic N. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Zakaria D. ⚽, Camara L. (A),
76', Veretout J. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
76', Biereth M. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
76', Teze J. ↓, Vanderson ↑,
78', Camara L. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
86', Zakaria D. ↓, Mawissa Elebi C. ↑,
86', Minamino T. ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
88', Diatta K. 🟨,
90', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
90+2', Niakhate M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Monaco
52%

Draw
22.4%

Lyon
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

22.3%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

22.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Monaco - Lyon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.77)	4.24 ↓ (4.27)	3.73 ↓ (4)	5.2% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Monaco - Lyon?

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Lyon will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 38.7% – 76.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Monaco is the team to beat.
There will not play in Monaco: Al Musrati (Calf Injury) Golovin A. (Groin Injury)
There will not play in Lyon: Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tolisso C. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 27:41. (average 1.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Lyon?

Monaco has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Monaco?

Lyon has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Lyon were as follows:

24.08.2024 Lyon - Monaco 0:2

28.04.2024 Lyon - Monaco 3:2

15.12.2023 Monaco - Lyon 0:1

19.05.2023 Lyon - Monaco 3:1

11.09.2022 Monaco - Lyon 2:1

Latest results of Monaco

03.05.2025 Saint-Étienne - Monaco 1:3 ✺

26.04.2025 Le Havre - Monaco 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Monaco - Olympique Marseille 3:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Brest - Monaco 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Lyon

04.05.2025 Lyon - Lens 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Lyon - Rennes 4:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Saint-Étienne - Lyon 2:1 ✺

17.04.2025 Manchester United - Lyon 5:4 ✺

13.04.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 1:3 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Lille	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Metz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Nice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	PSG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Angers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Brest	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Lens	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2