Monaco vs Lyon, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
03/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 17
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, DAZN France, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
israelIsrael5 GOLD Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 3
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4, Arena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
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usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.42
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
82% (299/366)85% (409/480)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.883.22
Total shots
613
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
82% (299/366)85% (409/480)
Long passes
57% (26/46)54% (21/39)
Passes in final third
67% (64/96)80% (94/118)
Crosses
4% (1/24)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.95
Throw-ins
1824
Fouls
1412
Tackles
62% (8/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
1036
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
3.220.88
Goals prevented
0.22-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Kehrer T. 🟨,
  • 12', Hradecky L. , Kohn P. ,
  • 35', Mata C. 🟨,
  • 36', Mawissa C. , Ouattara K. ,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Sulc P. , Tagliafico N. (A),
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Coulibaly M. , Balogun F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', Pocognoli S. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Sulc P. , Maitland-Niles A. (A),
  • 66', Merah K. , Tessmann T. ,
  • 70', Kluivert R. 🟨,
  • 70', Tolisso C. 🟨,
  • 71', Coulibaly M. 🟥,
  • 77', Biereth M. , Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 77', Golovin A. , Idumbo S. ,
  • 79', Balogun F. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 3, Abner Vinicius , Tagliafico N. (A),
  • 81', Sulc P. , Karabec A. ,
  • 81', Abner Vinicius , Mangala O. ,
  • 90+3', Tolisso C. , Satriano M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/y4t4vsyc

Chances of winning


Monaco
46.1%
Draw
25.4%
Lyon
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 23.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 24.4% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Monaco - Lyon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.92)
    3.76
    (4.02)
    3.34
    (3.46)
    4.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Monaco - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Lyon will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 30%70%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lyon (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Lyon (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Lyon (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.
    • Recent performances by Monaco have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lyon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Lyon has had a series of home games.
    • Monaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Camara L. (International duty) Diatta K. (International duty) Fati A. (Muscle Injury) Minamino T. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Calf Injury) Zakaria D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Endrick (Inactive) Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Niakhate M. (International duty) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Lyon were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Monaco - Lyon 2:0
    24.08.2024 Lyon - Monaco 0:2
    28.04.2024 Lyon - Monaco 3:2
    15.12.2023 Monaco - Lyon 0:1
    19.05.2023 Lyon - Monaco 3:1
    Latest results of Monaco
    21.12.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2
    09.12.2025 Monaco - Galatasaray 1:0
    05.12.2025 Brest - Monaco 1:0
    Latest results of Lyon
    21.12.2025 Lyon - Saint-Cyr Collonges 3:0
    14.12.2025 Lyon - Le Havre 1:0
    11.12.2025 Lyon - Go Ahead Eagles 2:1
    07.12.2025 Lorient - Lyon 1:0
    30.11.2025 Lyon - Nantes 3:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2