Monaco vs Manchester City, UEFA Champions League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:2
01/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
japanJapanWowow Live
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, TNT Sports 2, Virgin Media More
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.37
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
81% (243/300)94% (730/780)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.292.43
Total shots
818
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1935
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
139
Passes
81% (243/300)94% (730/780)
Long passes
59% (23/39)69% (11/16)
Passes in final third
73% (58/80)88% (246/278)
Crosses
19% (3/16)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.96
Throw-ins
917
Fouls
913
Tackles
55% (6/11)47% (8/17)
Duels won
4043
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.431.29
Goals prevented
0.43-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽, Gvardiol J. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Teze J. ⚽, Diatta K. (A),
  • 22', Vanderson ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
  • 39', Donnarumma G. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Haaland E. ⚽, O'Reilly N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Rodri 🟨,
  • 61', Doku J. ↓, Savinho ↑,
  • 61', Rodri ↓, Nico ↑,
  • 63', Diatta K. 🟨,
  • 64', Fati A. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
  • 72', Stones J. ↓, Nunes M. ↑,
  • 82', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
  • 82', Coulibaly M. ↓, Cabral P. ↑,
  • 82', Salisu M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
  • 88', Silva B. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Dier E. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Savinho 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monaco
9.6%		Draw
16.7%		Manchester City
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 22.9% 56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2% 24.8% 61.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monaco's form might have worsened.
  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Monaco - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 11.12 ↑
    (4.6)    		 6.06 ↑
    (4.18)    		 1.33 ↓
    (1.7)    		 0.8%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Monaco - Manchester City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Man City (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Man City (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Man City (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Man City (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Man City (1.88) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Monaco (2.58) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Man City (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Man City (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Man City (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Man City (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Man City (1.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Man City (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Man City (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Half - Man City (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH +1 - Man City (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (82 of 92 users predict this - 89.13%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.77% – 95.49%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (48 of 51 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 72 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 5 - 6.9%). Man City (votes: 66 - 91.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 1.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Monaco have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Man City is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Man City is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Golovin A. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Mawissa C. (Muscle Injury) Michal L. (International duty) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Ait Nouri R. (Ankle Injury) Cherki R. (Thigh Injury) Khusanov A. (Ankle Injury) Marmoush O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Bamba A. (Hamstring Injury) Camara L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man City: Rodri (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Monaco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    Latest results of Monaco
    27.09.2025 Lorient - Monaco 3:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2 ✺
    18.09.2025 Club Brugge - Monaco 4:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Manchester City
    27.09.2025 Manchester City - Burnley 5:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Huddersfield Town - Manchester City 0:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Arsenal - Manchester City 1:1 ✺
    18.09.2025 Manchester City - Napoli 2:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Manchester City - Manchester United 3:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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